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Tesla is pushing the limits of its proven Gigafactory formula in Texas
Tesla has, for all intents and purposes, developed a strategy for building its Gigafactories in a quick and efficient manner. This was shown in Gigafactory Shanghai, which started mass production of the Made-in-China Model 3 within a year after its groundbreaking ceremony, and in Giga Berlin, which is now also taking form despite the trickle of permits from German authorities.
Tesla’s Gigafactory formula seems to have been inspired by GA4, a “tent”-based Model 3 production line constructed in the Fremont Factory grounds as a way for the company to manufacture more vehicles during a period described by Elon Musk as “production hell.” The concept of GA4 was simple. Cars are progressively assembled as they pass through the sprung structure, while supplies are delivered through the loading bays at the side.

A look at Gigafactory Shanghai suggests that the facility is but a more permanent and evolved form of GA4, from its straightforward vehicle assembly process to its numerous loading bays. This was true for both the first and second phases of the facility, which produce the Model 3 and Model Y, respectively. Giga Shanghai’s construction was extremely rapid, with crews working 24/7 to finish the Phase 1 building’s factory shell. Once this was done, equipment was installed, and trial production of Model 3 test units started.
Gigafactory Berlin appears to be following a relatively similar pattern. During the massive facility’s buildout, it seemed that equipment was only installed after the complex’s buildings themselves were nearing completion. Granted, part of this may be due to the fact that Giga Berlin had to be constructed according to the permits that the facility receives. But despite this, the German plant seems to be progressing at a pattern that is quite similar to its China-based counterpart.
This does not seem to be true for Gigafactory Texas at all. Over the past months and as the facility enters its eighth month of construction, the activities surrounding Giga Texas have been incredibly interesting. In January, shipments from IDRA, the company behind the Model Y’s massive Giga Press in the Fremont Factory, were spotted in the complex. What appeared to be robots for vehicle production lines were spotted not long after.

Recent flyovers of the Gigafactory Texas complex suggest that there is now a steady stream of equipment being delivered and possibly being installed on the site. This was evident in a recently shared video from the Terafactory Texas YouTube channel, which captured images of what seemed to be Model Y Body-in-White machines being moved around the area.
It should be noted that Gigafactory Texas has only been under construction for eight months, and a significant part of its factory shell is yet to be completed. Despite this, Tesla already seems intent on initiating the installation and setup of its production equipment. This includes its Giga Press machines, which would produce the Model Y’s single-piece rear underbody.
This strategy would require a great deal of synchronization, of course. But if successfully done, such a system could result in Giga Texas being built at a rate that’s significantly faster than Giga Shanghai or Gigafactory Berlin.
Overall, it appears that over the years, Tesla has come up with a solid formula that enables the company to build its Gigafactories quickly. But in true Elon Musk fashion, Tesla seems to be determined to improve a proven formula nonetheless. Gigafactory Texas is quite fascinating in this sense, as it could very well be a project that demonstrates once and for all that it takes boldness and a constant urge to innovate to truly change the industry.
Watch a recent flyover of the Gigafactory Texas complex in the video below.
https://youtu.be/kaKI7aMG6_k
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Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.