Investor's Corner

Tesla quadruples Model 3 output, commits to 5k/week production in Q2

During the first quarter of 2018, Tesla has managed to deliver a total of 29,980 vehicles, comprised of 11,730 Model S, 10,070 Model X, and 8,180 Model 3, according to its recently released Q1 Vehicle Production and Deliveries report.

From January to March, Tesla has managed to produce 34,494 vehicles, 9,766 of which are Model 3, and 24,728 were Model S and Model X. Moreover, Tesla announced that the production of the Model 3 — arguably its most ambitious project to date — has reached a pace equivalent to 2,020 units per week.

Numbers of Model S, X, and 3 vehicles in transit are as follows.

“Model S and X customer vehicles in transit were high. 4,060 Model S and X vehicles were in transit to customers at the end of Q1, which was 68% higher than at the end of Q4 2017. An additional 2,040 Model 3 vehicles were also in transit to customers. These vehicles will be delivered in early Q2 2018, which keeps us on track for our full-year 2018 Model S and X delivery guidance.”

Tesla also highlighted a couple of notable points for the Model 3:

  • The quality of Model 3 coming out of production is at the highest level we have seen across all our products. This is reflected in the overwhelming delight experienced by our customers with their Model 3’s. Our initial customer satisfaction score for Model 3 quality is above 93%, which is the highest score in Tesla’s history.
  • Net Model 3 reservations remained stable through Q1. The reasons for order cancellation are almost entirely due to delays in production in general and delays in availability of certain planned options, particularly dual motor AWD and the smaller battery pack. As described above, owner happiness with the product is extremely high.

Tesla’s Q1 2018 Vehicle Production and Deliveries report could be accessed here.

Tesla Fremont factory Model S and Model X

Aerial done shot of Tesla Fremont factory

As we noted in a previous report, Tesla’s Q1 Vehicle Production and Deliveries report comes as the Elon Musk-led company’s shares are experiencing a steep plunge. Over the past couple of weeks, Tesla’s shares have dropped to a 52-week low, hitting as low as $246.11 per share.

While Tesla’s shares have been weighed down by a steep dive amidst difficulties with Model 3 production and the ongoing NTSB investigation into the fatal Model X crash last month, Wall Street analysts have expressed some optimism about the company on Monday, a day before the Q1 2018 delivery report’s release.

On April 2, Jeffries upgraded $TSLA to hold (PT $250), stating that after the Q1 delivery figures are released, there is a “high probability that management and the Board will take more drastic action on guidance and funding to restore credibility.”

Baird analyst Ben Kallo also noted that Tesla’s lowered forecasts for Q1 2018 would play a key role in investors’ sentiments.

“We like the set-up headed into Q1 deliveries as we believe sentiment is overly negative, and think Tesla may be able to exceed lower expectations,” Kallo wrote in a note.

Tesla quadruples Model 3 output, commits to 5k/week production in Q2
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