Investor's Corner
Tesla becomes 3rd most-shorted stock behind AMZN, AAPL as Q3 rush begins
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) recently lost its place as the No.1 most shorted company in the US stock market, giving away the position to Amazon. Even more recently, Apple also overtook Tesla in the US market’s rankings for most-shorted companies, making the electric car maker as the 3rd most-shorted stock in the US market as of writing.
The updates to Tesla’s short interest was posted yesterday by S3 Partners LLC Managing Director of Predictive Analytics Ihor Dusaniwsky, who shared Tesla’s latest stats on Twitter. Dusaniwsky noted that Tesla’s short interest currently stands at $9.6 billion, which corresponds to 31.83 million shares, or 24.96% of the company’s float. The S3 Managing Director also noted that Tesla shorts are currently up $1.68 billion since Elon Musk announced his intentions to take the company private last month.
$TSLA short interest $9.60 bn, 31.83 mm shares short, 24.96% of float. Shs shorted down 2.9mm since The Tweet.#tesla is now only the 3rd largest U.S. short behind $AMZN & $AAPL. Shorts are up $404mm in MTM profits today,up $1.68 billion since The Tweet & down only $27 million YTD pic.twitter.com/coB9E3pTtb
— Ihor Dusaniwsky🇺🇦 (@ihors3) September 4, 2018
Tesla’s latest stats on its short interest shows what appears to be a slight yet consistent decline in the number of TSLA shares that are held short. Just last week, for example, the S3 Partners executive noted that Tesla’s short interest stood at $9.83 billion, which translates to around 32.43 million shares, or 25.43% of the company’s float.
Back in May, there were 39 million TSLA shares that were held short — the highest in Tesla’s history. That being said, as Tesla started to find its footing with the production of the Model 3, the number of Tesla shares that are held short have seen a steady decline, dropping to 34.9 million shares at the end of July. Even amidst the controversy surrounding Elon Musk’s attempt to take Tesla private in August, Tesla’s short interest seems to have continued its slight decline, falling to 32.7 million shares by the middle of the month.
Tesla is currently attempting to hit its Model 3 production targets for the third quarter. After hitting its then-elusive goal of producing 5,000 Model 3 per week at the end of Q2 2018, Tesla is now looking to sustain and ramp the manufacturing of the electric sedan. This is highlighted in the company’s production target of building 50,000-55,000 Model 3 in Q3 2018. As of Friday last week, reports have claimed that Tesla had produced more than 34,700 Model 3 in the quarter so far. That’s less than 16,000 vehicles away from the lower end of the company’s Q3 target for the Model 3.
The final months of Tesla’s quarters usually correspond to unorthodox measures that the company adopts to meet its self-imposed targets. Back in Q1 2018, Tesla’s goal was only to build 2,500 Model 3 in a week — a feat that was almost achieved after a seven-day blitz that saw the company manufacture just over 2,000 of the electric cars in one week. In Q2 2018, Tesla adopted even more radical strategies to hit its goal of producing 5,000 Model 3 per week. Some of these strategies involved building GA4, an entirely new assembly line set up at the grounds of the Fremont factory, as well as air-freighting robots and equipment from Europe to the United States to quickly address production bottlenecks in Gigafactory 1.
With these in mind, it would not be surprising if Tesla initiates an aggressive push for the Model 3 and its operations this September. With less than four weeks to go before the end of Q3, and with the company actively trying to become profitable this quarter, the coming days would likely be very compelling.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Investor's Corner
SpaceX IPO is coming, CEO Elon Musk confirms
However, it appears Musk is ready for SpaceX to go public, as Ars Technica Senior Space Editor Eric Berger wrote an op-ed that indicated he thought SpaceX would go public soon. Musk replied, basically confirming it.
Elon Musk confirmed through a post on X that a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) is on the way after hinting at it several times earlier this year.
It also comes one day after Bloomberg reported that SpaceX was aiming for a valuation of $1.5 trillion, adding that it wanted to raise $30 billion.
Musk has been transparent for most of the year that he wanted to try to figure out a way to get Tesla shareholders to invest in SpaceX, giving them access to the stock.
He has also recognized the issues of having a public stock, like litigation exposure, quarterly reporting pressures, and other inconveniences.
However, it appears Musk is ready for SpaceX to go public, as Ars Technica Senior Space Editor Eric Berger wrote an op-ed that indicated he thought SpaceX would go public soon.
Musk replied, basically confirming it:
As usual, Eric is accurate
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) December 10, 2025
Berger believes the IPO would help support the need for $30 billion or more in capital needed to fund AI integration projects, such as space-based data centers and lunar satellite factories. Musk confirmed recently that SpaceX “will be doing” data centers in orbit.
AI appears to be a “key part” of SpaceX getting to Musk, Berger also wrote. When writing about whether or not Optimus is a viable project and product for the company, he says that none of that matters. Musk thinks it is, and that’s all that matters.
It seems like Musk has certainly mulled something this big for a very long time, and the idea of taking SpaceX public is not just likely; it is necessary for the company to get to Mars.
The details of when SpaceX will finally hit that public status are not known. Many of the reports that came out over the past few days indicate it would happen in 2026, so sooner rather than later.
But there are a lot of things on Musk’s plate early next year, especially with Cybercab production, the potential launch of Unsupervised Full Self-Driving, and the Roadster unveiling, all planned for Q1.
Investor's Corner
Tesla Full Self-Driving statistic impresses Wall Street firm: ‘Very close to unsupervised’
The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.
Tesla Full Self-Driving performance and statistics continue to impress everyone, from retail investors to Wall Street firms. However, one analyst believes Tesla’s driving suite is “very close” to achieving unsupervised self-driving.
On Tuesday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said that Tesla’s recent launch of Full Self-Driving version 14 increased the number of miles traveled between interventions by a drastic margin, based on data compiled by a Full Self-Driving Community Tracker.
🚨 Piper Sandler reiterated its Overweight rating and $500 PT on Tesla $TSLA stock
Analyst Alexander Potter said FSD is near full autonomy and latest versions showed the largest improvement in disengagements, from 440 miles to 9,200 miles between critical interventions pic.twitter.com/u4WCLfZcA9
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) December 9, 2025
The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.
Interestingly, there was a slight dip in the miles traveled between interventions with the release of v14.2. Piper Sandler said investor interest in FSD has increased.
Full Self-Driving has displayed several improvements with v14, including the introduction of Arrival Options that allow specific parking situations to be chosen by the driver prior to arriving at the destination. Owners can choose from Street Parking, Parking Garages, Parking Lots, Chargers, and Driveways.
Additionally, the overall improvements in performance from v13 have been evident through smoother operation, fewer mistakes during routine operation, and a more refined decision-making process.
Early versions of v14 exhibited stuttering and brake stabbing, but Tesla did a great job of confronting the issue and eliminating it altogether with the release of v14.2.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk also recently stated that the current v14.2 FSD suite is also less restrictive with drivers looking at their phones, which has caused some controversy within the community.
Although we tested it and found there were fewer nudges by the driver monitoring system to push eyes back to the road, we still would not recommend it due to laws and regulations.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2.1 texting and driving: we tested it
With that being said, FSD is improving significantly with each larger rollout, and Musk believes the final piece of the puzzle will be unveiled with FSD v14.3, which could come later this year or early in 2026.
Piper Sandler reaffirmed its $500 price target on Tesla shares, as well as its ‘Overweight’ rating.
Tesla received a price target boost from Morgan Stanley, according to a new note on Monday morning, but there is some considerable caution also being communicated over the next year or so.
Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco took over Tesla coverage for the firm from longtime bull Adam Jonas, who appears to be focusing on embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.
Percoco took over and immediately adjusted the price target for Tesla from $410 to $425, and changed its rating on shares from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’
Percoco said he believes Tesla is the leading company in terms of electric vehicles, manufacturing, renewable energy, and real-world AI, so it deserves a premium valuation. However, he admits the high expectations for the company could provide for a “choppy trading environment” for the next year.
He wrote:
“However, high expectations on the latter have brought the stock closer to fair valuation. While it is well understood that Tesla is more than an auto manufacturer, we expect a choppy trading environment for the TSLA shares over the next 12 months, as we see downside to estimates, while the catalysts for its non-auto businesses appear priced at current levels.”
Percoco also added that if market cap hurdles are achieved, Morgan Stanley would reduce its price target by 7 percent.
Perhaps the biggest change with Percoco taking over the analysis for Jonas is how he will determine the value of each individual project. For example, he believes Optimus is worth about $60 per share of equity value.
He went on to describe the potential value of Full Self-Driving, highlighting its importance to the Tesla valuation:
“Full Self Driving (FSD) is the crown jewel of Tesla’s auto business; we believe that its leading-edge personal autonomous driving offering is a real game changer, and will remain a significant competitive advantage over its EV and non-EV peers. As Tesla continues to improve its platform with increased levels of autonomy (i.e., hands-off, eyes-off), it will revolutionize the personal driving experience. It remains to be seen if others will be able to keep pace.”
Additionally, Percoco outlined both bear and bull cases for the stock. He believes $860 per share, “which could be in play in the next 12 months if Tesla manages through the EV-downturn,” while also scaling Robotaxi, executing on unsupervised FSD, and scaling Optimus, is in play for the bull case.
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Meanwhile, the bear case is placed at $145 per share, and “assumes greater competition and margin pressure across all business lines, embedding zero value for humanoids, slowing the growth curve for Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to reflect regulatory challenges in scaling a vision-only perception stack, and lowering market share and margin profile for the autos and energy businesses.”
Currently, Tesla shares are trading at around $441.
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