Investor's Corner
Top 3 questions Tesla institutional investors want answered in the Q1 2021 earnings call
Tesla’s institutional investors have voted on the top three questions they would like the company to answer during the Q1 2021 earnings call. The questions were submitted through investor communications platform Say, a startup that aims to create and develop investor communication tools.
Question 1 – Lithium-ion and Tesla’s 4680 batteries
One question an institutional investor submitted that received the most shares and votes related to Tesla’s 4680 battery cell.
“Proponents of alternative grid storage technologies claim that lithium-ion is unsuited to long-term (e.g., intra-seasonal) storage at scale due to vampire drain. Could 4680 address this limitation? Is the limitation even relevant for changing the energy equation?” asked the institutional investor.
During Tesla Battery Day, Drew Baglino—Senior Vice President of Powertrain and Energy Engineering—noted that the lithium-ion industry was only in its third decade of high volume production. “It has so far to go to achieve similar scale and simplicity,” said Baglino.
Question 2 – Tesla Gigafactory Berlin’s Model 3 production
Another institutional investor asked about any production improvements Tesla may apply to Giga Berlin’s Model 3 line.
“You’ve suggested that between a 5-10x improvement is achievable in automotive production vs. the first Model 3 line on a first-principles physics analysis. Where does Berlin sit relative to that limit?” the institutional investors asked.
Tesla investors may recall the Model 3 “production hell” the company experienced several years ago, which resulted in the construction of a production line housed in a sprung structure, GA4. Since those early days of Model 3 production, Tesla has notably improved the assembly of its more affordable sedan.
Question 3 – Tesla’s Urban Transport Vehicle
The last institutional investor question that Tesla may need to answer relates to Elon Musk’s mention of an urban transport vehicle in his Master Plan Part Deux.
“Master Plan Part Deux talks about an urban transport vehicle that is smaller than a traditional bus with greater areal density achieved by removing the central aisle (like a 21st-century Soviet marshrutka except with everyone seated!) Do you have any update to share on that goal?” asked the institutional investor.
In Master Plan Part Deux, Musk described a high-passenger-density urban transport designed without a center aisle. A fleet manager would operate the urban transport instead of a “bus driver.” Musk predicted that Tesla’s urban transport would minimize traffic congestion.
A few years later, Musk created Boring Company, a tunneling company, to address traffic congestion. The Boring Company’s first operational tunnel, the LVCC Loop in Las Vegas, will welcome its first riders in June. LVCC Loop visitors will ride inside Tesla vehicles through the tunnel. However, an urban transport—like the one Musk described in his Master Plan—might be a better fit for Boring Company.
Tesla will answer questions from retail investors and institutional investors during the Q1 2020 earnings call on Monday, April 26, 2021. Tesla will release an Update Letter after the market closes, and the earnings call will start at 2:30 pm Pacific Time or 5:30 pm Eastern Time.
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Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
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