

Investor's Corner
Tesla (TSLA) shares currently ‘oversold,’ says Oppenheimer amid $437 price target
Tesla shares (NASDAQ:TSLA) received a vote of confidence on Tuesday, as Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch gave an optimistic $437 price target for the electric car maker. The analyst also reiterated his “Outperform” rating for TSLA stock.
Rusch noted that while Tesla shares have plummeted on concerns such as the ongoing US-China trade war and the speculation that demand for its vehicles is decreasing, the electric car maker’s stocks are, at their current state, “oversold.” The Oppenheimer analyst nonetheless stated that Tesla would need to show a strong sell-through in critical markets while improving gross margins to recover from its steep dive.
Also adding to Rusch’s bullish stance on Tesla is the underwhelming nature of competitors that are currently emerging from rival automakers. The emergence of competitors in the premium electric vehicle market is among the key pillars of the TSLA bear thesis, though recent offerings such as the Audi e-tron have largely failed to live up to the standard of Tesla’s vehicles. The e-tron, for example, received an EPA rating of 204 miles per charge from its 95 kWh battery, making it far less efficient than the larger Model X, whose 75 kWh variant is EPA rated for 237 miles per charge.
Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch’s positive stance on TSLA stock stands opposite that of Cowen analyst Jeff Osborne, who recently dropped his price target for Tesla shares from $150 to $140 per share. In a note to clients, Osborne, who has held a longtime Sell rating on TSLA, stated that the company’s stock price is beginning to reflect the “lower demand picture in 2020 that we have been forecasting for some time.”
Osborne also noted that there is more room for downside as the “steady state of demand become evident in Q3 2019 when the backlog of lower-priced standard range plus Model 3 is exhausted in Europe and China.”
Tesla shares have been beaten down in recent weeks due to a perfect storm involving multiple bearish takes from Wall Street analysts, the ongoing US-China trade war, a general decline in the auto industry as reflected by the Q1 numbers of veteran automakers such as Jaguar Land Rover and BMW, and the aftermath of the company’s lower-than-expected deliveries and production in the first quarter. Nevertheless, while sentiments on Tesla are currently negative, the electric car maker might make a notable comeback in the second quarter.
In a leaked email from CEO Elon Musk, it was revealed that Tesla might be on track to beat its record 90,700 deliveries in the fourth quarter of 2018, provided that the company could sustain an output of 1,000 Model 3 per day. The leaked email also noted that as of May 21, Tesla has over 50,000 net new orders for the second quarter, further suggesting that the company’s figures for Q2 might pleasantly surprise.
As of writing, Tesla shares are trading -0.31% at $190.01 per share.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Investor's Corner
Tesla “best positioned” for Trump tariffs among automakers: analyst
Ives has a price target of $315 per share for the electric vehicle maker.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives recently shared his thoughts about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) amidst the Trump administration’s tariffs. As per Ives, Tesla is best-positioned relative to its rivals when it comes to the ongoing tariff issue.
Ives has a price target of $315 per share for the electric vehicle maker.
Best Positioned
During an interview with Yahoo Finance, the segment’s hosts asked about his thoughts on Tesla, especially considering Musk’s work with the Trump administration. Musk has previously stated that the effects of tariffs on Tesla are significant due to parts that are imported from abroad.
“When it comes to the tariff issue, they are actually best positioned relative to the Detroit Big Three and others and obviously foreign automakers. Still impacted, Musk has talked about that, in terms of just auto parts,” Ives stated.
China and Musk
Ives also stated that ultimately, a big factor for Tesla in the coming months may be the Chinese market’s reactions to its tariff war. He also noted that the next few quarters will be pivotal for Tesla considering the brand damage that Elon Musk has incited due to his politics and work with the Trump administration.
“When it comes to Tesla, I think the worry is where does retaliatory look like in China, in terms of buying domestic. I think that’s something that’s a play. And they have a pivotal six months head, in terms of what everything we see in Austin, autonomous, and the buildout.
“But the brand issues that Musk self-inflicted is dealing with in terms of demand destruction in Europe and the US. And that’s why this is a key few quarters ahead for Tesla and also for Musk to make, in my opinion, the right decision to take a step back from the administration,” Ives noted.
Investor's Corner
Tesla negativity “priced into the stock at its current levels:” CFRA analyst
The CFRA analyst has given Tesla a price target of $360 per share.

In recent comments to the Schwab Network, CFRA analyst Garrett Nelson stated that a lot of the “negative sentiment towards Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is priced into the stock at its current levels.”
The CFRA analyst has given Tesla a price target of $360 per share.
Q1 A Low Point in Sales
The CFRA analyst stated that Tesla’s auto sales likely bottomed last quarter, as noted in an Insider Monkey report. This was, Nelson noted, due to Q1 typically being the “weakest quarter for automakers.” He also highlighted that all four of Tesla’s vehicle factories across the globe were idled in the first quarter.
While Nelson highlighted the company’s changeover to the new Model Y as a factor in Q1, he also acknowledged the effects of CEO Elon Musk’s politics. The analyst noted that while Tesla lost customers due to Musk’s political opinions, the electric vehicle maker has also gained some new customers in the process.
CFRA’s Optimistic Stance
Nelson also highlighted that Tesla’s battery storage business has been growing steadily over the years, ending its second-best quarter in Q1 2025. The analyst noted that Tesla Energy has higher margins than the company’s electric vehicle business, and Tesla itself has a very strong balance sheet.
The CFRA analyst also predicted that Tesla could gain market share in the United States because it has less exposure to the Trump administration’s tariffs. Teslas are the most American-made vehicles in the country, so the Trump tariffs’ effects on the company will likely be less notable compared to other automakers that produce their cars abroad.
Investor's Corner
Tesla average transaction prices (ATP) rise in March 2025: Cox Automotive
Tesla Model Y and Model 3 saw an increase in their average transaction price (ATP) in March 2025.

Data recently released from Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book has revealed that electric vehicles such as the Tesla Model Y and Model 3 saw an increase in their average transaction price (ATP) in March 2025.
Cox Automotive’s findings were shared in a press release.
March 2025 EV ATPs
As noted by Cox, new electric vehicle prices in March were estimated to be $59,205, a 7% increase year-over-year. In February, new EV prices had an ATP of $57,015. The average transaction price for electric vehicles was 24.7% higher than the overall auto industry ATP of $47,462.
As per Cox, “Compared to the overall industry ATP ($47,462), EV ATPs in March were higher by nearly 25% as the gap between new ICE and new EV grows wider. EV incentives continued to range far above the industry average. In March, the average incentive package for an EV was 13.3% of ATP, down from the revised 14.3% in February.”
Tesla ATPs in Focus
While Tesla saw challenges in the first quarter due to its factories’ changeover to the new Model Y, the company’s ATPs last month were estimated at $54,582, a year-over-year increase of 3.5% and a month-over-month increase of 4.5%. A potential factor in this could be the rollout of the Tesla Model Y Launch Series, a fully loaded, limited-edition variant of the revamped all-electric crossover that costs just under $60,000.
This increase, Cox noted, was evident in Tesla’s two best-selling vehicles, the Model 3 sedan and the Model Y crossover, the best-selling car globally in 2023 and 2024. “ATPs for Tesla’s two core models – Model 3 and Model Y – were higher month over month and year over year in March,” Cox wrote.
Cox’s Other Findings
Beyond electric vehicles, Cox also estimated that new vehicle ATPs held steady month-over-month and year-over-year in March at $47,462, down slightly from the revised-lower ATP of $47,577 in February. Sales incentives in March were flat compared to February at 7% of ATP, though they are 5% higher than 2024, when incentives were equal to 6.7% of ATP.
Estimates also suggest that new vehicle sales in March topped 1.59 million units, the best volume month in almost four years. This was likely due to consumers purchasing cars before the Trump administration’s tariffs took effect. As per Erin Keating, an executive analyst at Cox, all things are pointing to higher vehicle prices this summer.
“All signs point to higher prices this summer, as existing ‘pre-tariff’ inventory is sold down to be eventually replaced with ‘tariffed’ inventory. How high prices rise for consumers is still very much to be determined, as each automaker will handle the price puzzle differently. Should the White House posture hold, our team is expecting new vehicles directly impacted by the 25% tariff to see price increases in the range of 10-15%,” Keating stated.
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