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Tesla’s Robotaxi event has lots of hype, but the real excitement comes after (Op-ed)

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Tesla’s Robotaxi unveiling event is tonight, and it has a lot of hype based on what investors, analysts, and fans are all expecting.

But the real excitement comes after, and it all leans on Tesla’s ability to execute what it details this evening.

In the past, we’ve seen Tesla hold many events, including vehicle unveilings and “days” dedicated to batteries, autonomy, and investors.

These events, especially the vehicle unveilings and Battery Day event, all hyped up future products, creating somewhat of a visual roadmap for investors and fans to look toward for years to come.

While they are absolutely exciting and paint a vivid picture of Tesla’s prowess in manufacturing and its ability to disrupt the industries it enters, they are, in essence, hype for what the company could bring, not necessarily what it will bring.

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Tesla posts livestream link to 10/10 Robotaxi event

Tesla will likely talk about things like timelines, vehicle manufacturing details, and a lot of other juicy details that will have investors, analysts, and fans salivating at what they plan to bring to market in the next couple of years.

Rumors have gone mad in the past few weeks. We have heard some people guess that Tesla will unveil more than just a “Cybercab” this evening, with everything from the $25,000 mass-market EV, a Robovan, and even the Roadster, circulating through the rumor mill.

Tesla bull makes bold claim, says three cars will be unveiled at Robotaxi event

No matter what Tesla brings out tonight and reveals, the true excitement will come down the road, and it all depends on whether the company can maintain a strict adherence to its timelines, something that it has had trouble doing in the past.

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Some analysts have estimated that the Robotaxi will be commercially scaled in 2026 or 2027. Others have estimated that it will become a $1 trillion business on its own. These things might be true, but in the coming years, Tesla will need to execute on whatever it says this evening.

This is not to say things cannot change. Ununforeseen circumstances may arise outside of the business. For example, the Cybertruck was unveiled in November 2019, and just six months later, COVID-19 had essentially stopped the entire world from spinning. It impacted everything from the workforce to economics to the supply chain.

Barring any significant macro-level issues, Tesla will gain so much credit for listing a timeline this evening and sticking to it. Some will say that no matter when the Robotaxi comes out, it will be a success.

I would be prone to agree because if Full Self-Driving gets to Level 5 autonomy and does not require human interaction, even if it is two years late, it would still be a success.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk talks Level 5 Full Autonomy for 2021

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However, there are competitors out there that are worthy, and they will only get better, like Tesla.

Keeping expectations realistic, not overreaching, and coming through on what it says at the timelines it lists would be a big boost of credibility for Tesla and investors might feel a little more comfortable.

I don’t care if Elon Musk comes on stage and says Robotaxi will be here by the end of 2025 or by the beginning of 2028. I do care that Tesla gets it done by the time it says.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Tesla’s Elon Musk shares optimistic teaser about FSD V14: “Feels sentient”

FSD V14 is arguably the second biggest update to Tesla AI/Autopilot after the release of V12, Musk wrote.

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Credit: Tesla Europe & Middle East/X

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has provided a rather exciting teaser about the capabilities of Full Self-Driving’s (FSD) upcoming V14 update. 

As per Musk, V14 is arguably the second biggest update to Tesla AI/Autopilot after the release of V12, which started its initial rollout to Tesla employees way back November 2023.

Tesla FSD V14

Elon Musk has been teasing the capabilities of FSD V14 in recent weeks. Earlier this month, the CEO shared that FSD V14 will feature a 10X higher parameter count, and it will also nag drivers significantly less than the system’s current iteration. While FSD V14 is not Unsupervised FSD, which is being used in the Austin Robotaxi pilot, it is expected to be a significant improvement nonetheless.

“The FSD release in about 6 weeks will be a dramatic gain with a 10X higher parameter count and many other improvements. It’s going through training & testing now. Once we confirm real-world safety of FSD 14, which we think will be amazing, the car will nag you much less,” Musk wrote in his post.

“Feels sentient”

Musk recently shared some more details about FSD V14 on X. In response to a video of a William Blair analyst who mentioned that Tesla’s Robotaxi service felt a lot more like a person was driving it compared to Waymo’s robotic maneuvers, Musk noted that “Version 14 of Tesla self-driving fells sentient.”

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Musk also clarified that the system that the William Blair analyst experienced was Version 13, so the system’s performance will definitely get even better. “He was just on version 13. Version 14 is the second biggest update to Tesla AI/Autopilot ever after V12. It feels alive,” Musk wrote in his post.

Musk’s comments bode well for the rollout of FSD V14. So far, FSD has reached a point where drivers and passengers have commented that the system already operates a vehicle in a very cautious and humanlike manner. Having a system that feels “sentient,” as the CEO noted, would most definitely be game-changing.

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Tesla Model Y L attracts crowds across China stores

The Tesla Model Y L is shaping up to be a big hit in China.

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Credit: @thaichiminh1907/X

Tesla has officially rolled out the Model Y L, a six-seat variant of its best-selling SUV, across all showrooms in China, and it is getting a lot of attention from potential buyers.

Images and videos from Tesla stores in China show crowds of people checking out the recently released extended wheelbase all-electric crossover.

Model Y L details

The vehicle, which carries a starting price of RMB 339,000 ($47,180), went live in Tesla China’s configurator this week. Deliveries are scheduled to begin in September, and early media reviews have already been released following the lifting of an embargo.

Unlike a full model refresh, the Model Y L is positioned as a new variant within the existing Model Y lineup. It joins the five-seat rear-wheel drive (RWD) and long-range all-wheel drive (AWD) Model Y variants currently available in China.

The six-seat Model Y L features dual-motor all-wheel drive, a 0–100 km/h time of 4.5 seconds, and an 82.0-kWh battery pack from LG Energy Solution. Its CLTC-rated range reaches 751 km, the highest among Tesla’s Model Y trims.

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So far, the reception to the Model Y L appears to be very warm, with photos and videos of stores in locations such as Shanghai and Shenyang showing numerous people checking out the recently released vehicle. Reports from industry watchers in China also suggest that Tesla received about 35,000 orders for the Model Y L on its first day of release.

Market backdrop

The timing of the Model Y L’s release comes as Tesla faces headwinds in China’s competitive SUV segment. Between January and July, Model Y retail sales in the country reached 202,257 units, a 17.15 percent decline compared to the same period last year, according to data cited by CNEVPost. It should be noted, however, that a good portion of this decline was due to the retooling of Tesla’s factories to make way for the new Model Y.

Despite the slowdown, the Model Y remains one of Tesla’s strongest performers globally. By introducing a higher-range, six-seat option, Tesla appears to be positioning the Model Y L as a way to boost demand and appeal to new buyers in a market that was previously only accessible to the much more expensive Model X.

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Tesla Model Y L gets disappointingly far production date in the United States

Fans of the extended wheelbase six-seater in the United States are in for a long wait.

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Credit: @TeslaNewswire/X

The Tesla Model Y L is making a lot of waves in the electric vehicle community, but fans of the extended wheelbase six-seater in the United States are in for a long wait.

This was, at least, according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who provided a disappointingly long timeline for the Model Y L’s production in the United States.

The Model Y L

The Model Y L has received near universal acclaim from electric vehicle enthusiasts and auto reviewers in China alike. Priced at just RMB 339,000 ($47,180) and fitted with a spacious and comfortable cabin, the Model Y L seemed destined to become a segment killer. And since the vehicle is also produced in Tesla’s existing Model Y lines, it seemed like the vehicle would be released worldwide soon. 

It was then no surprise that many Tesla community members were keen on asking if the Model Y L will be released in the United States anytime soon. Others also wondered why CEO Elon Musk was very quiet about the vehicle despite all the buzz it was generating. Eventually, Musk did share an update about the Model Y L, but it was not what many expected.

Elon Musk’s update

Amidst the conversations on X about the Model Y L, longtime FSD tester Whole Mars Catalog noted that Elon Musk would not be saying anything about the vehicle until its international release, likely because he would like to avoid an Osbourne Effect on the standard Model Y. Tesla’s sales today are still highly dependent on the standard Model Y, after all, as it is the company’s best-selling vehicle.

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Musk responded to the FSD tester, stating that the Model Y L will not start production in the United States until the end of 2026. He also noted that the vehicle might not even make it in America at all, considering Tesla’s focus on self-driving. “This variant of the Model Y doesn’t start production in the US until the end of next year. Might not ever, given the advent of self-driving in America,” Musk wrote in his post.

Musk’s post was received with much disappointment from many X users, some of whom joked that the CEO was risking alienating families with three kids with his comments. The Model Y L, after all, is a legitimate family car that can comfortably seat six, and it seemed like a vehicle that Musk would prioritize considering his stance on people having bigger families. Of course, the CEO might still just be preventing an Osbourne Effect with his comments, but it’s difficult to deny that a 2026 U.S. production date for the Model Y L is still disappointing.

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