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Global Electric Vehicle market size to swell by five-times to $823.74B by 2030: study

Credit: Tesla Inc.

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A new study suggests that the global electric vehicle market will multiply in valuation by five times by 2030, based on new data acquired by Allied Market Research.

The 2020 EV market size was valued at $163.01 billion, a sizeable figure considering the sector’s relatively low share compared to that of combustion engine vehicles. With several large-scale automotive companies with storied histories transitioning to electric vehicles, these companies will supplement the smaller, EV-focused companies, like Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid, contributing large-scale production operations with relatively limitless amounts of capital.

The new study says that the global EV sector will reach $823.74 billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.2 percent.

The report also includes both PHEVs and FCEVs in the overall EV sector. However, the study also confirms that BEVs have dominated the sector, “accounting for more than three-fourths of the global electric vehicle market.”

According to IBISWorld.com, the global automotive industry will be worth $2.8 trillion this year, a 4 percent increase from its valuation in 2021. More competition, more technological advances, and an everchanging background of consumer wants are driving the electrification industry to grow exponentially over the next several decades. However, in the short term, as in up until the end of the decade, Allied Market Research expects the market to saturate and expand, especially as the cost of driving a combustion engine vehicle continues to bubble, giving consumers more incentive to drive an electric powertrain.

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Allied Market Research suggests that there are several factors that are driving consumers to consider EVs, but the biggest seems to be the issue of cost.

“Surge in fuel costs, rise in need for fuel-efficient, low-emission, and high-performance vehicles, and strict governmental rules about vehicle emissions drive the growth of the global electric vehicle market. Moreover, reduction in cost of electric vehicle batteries supplements the market growth,” the report states. “However, high manufacturing cost, lack of infrastructure for charging, and range anxiety and serviceability hinder the market growth. On the contrary, technological advancements, development of self-driving electric vehicle technology, and proactive government initiatives are expected to open new opportunities for the market players in the future.”

The study also looks into the regions that are highly associated with EVs, like Europe and Asia. Allied Market Research said:

“By region, the market across Asia-Pacific, followed by Europe and North America, held the largest share in 2020, accounting for nearly half of the market, due to rise in vehicle population and surge in vehicle standards. However, the global electric vehicle market across Europe is anticipated to register the highest CAGR of 20.6% during the forecast period, owing to rise in environmental concerns and strict emission norms set by European governments and environmental agencies.”

Electric vehicles outsell ICE cars in Norway, forecasting a combustion engine decline

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Without a doubt, the EV sector is primed for a major expansion in the coming years. With legacy automakers like Ford, General Motors, and others committing to fully-electric lineups in various timeframes, the global EV industry has nowhere to go but up. Additionally, the legacy automakers are riding the coattails of the full-EV manufacturers, who are disrupting the industry more than ever before. In perhaps the largest technological transition to a sector in history, the automotive sector is looking to basically rework its entire concentration in the next 10 to 15 years. As the transition becomes more prevalent moving forward, the combustion engine market will begin to hinder, while EVs continue to snap up more of the global market share.

I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Elon Musk

Tesla CEO Elon Musk sends final warning to Bill Gates over short position

“If Gates hasn’t fully closed out the crazy short position he has held against Tesla for ~8 years, he had better do so soon,” Musk said.

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk sent a final warning to former Microsoft CEO Bill Gates over his short position, which he confirmed he held to Musk directly several years ago.

Gates has been a skeptic of Tesla for some time, but he has also tried to work with Musk on philanthropic opportunities several years ago, which was coincidentally when he admitted to the company’s frontman that he held a short position.

Musk was, in turn, “super mean” to Gates, according to Walter Isaacson’s biography about the Tesla CEO. Gates had put $500 million against Tesla, shorting the stock and hoping to profit from its failure.

Elon Musk explains Bill Gates beef: He ‘placed a massive bet on Tesla dying’

A short position essentially means Gates is betting Tesla shares will go down, which would make him money. However, shares have gone up over six percent this year and increased nearly 150 percent over the past five years.

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At the recent Annual Shareholder Meeting, Musk made many claims about Tesla’s future projects and how they could manage to disrupt various industries. He also recently had a massive $1 trillion compensation package approved, which will be awarded in twelve tranches, all of which combine a company valuation goal and an individual goal related to a product.

Musk was able to complete his last approved pay package, but it was not awarded due to a ruling by a Delaware Chancery Court. Nevertheless, his track record of proving growth for Tesla shareholders is excellent, and investors are obviously very encouraged by his capabilities as a CEO, considering 76.6 percent of shareholders voted to approve his new compensation.

After it was revealed that the Gates Foundation dumped 65 percent of its Microsoft position for nearly $9 billion, Musk had one final message for him: drop your Tesla short position soon, or else.

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Musk’s rivalry with Gates is mostly founded on the Tesla CEO’s discontent with the former Microsoft frontman’s short position. However, Musk might have a bit of a soft spot for Gates, considering he is giving him a warning of what is potentially to come. If he really wanted to do some damage to Gates, he would not give him any heads-up at all.

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Tesla rolls out most aggressive Model Y lease deal in the US yet

With the promotion in place, customers would be able to take home a Model Y at a very low cost.

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(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla has rolled out what could very well be its most aggressive promotion for Model Y leases in the United States yet. With the promotion in place, customers would be able to take home a Model Y at a very low cost.

Zero downpayment leases

The new Model Y lease promotion was initially reported on X, with industry watcher Sawyer Merritt stating that while the vehicles’ monthly payments are still similar to before, the cars can now be ordered with a $0 downpayment. 

Tesla community members noted that this promotion would cut the full payment cost of Model Y leases by several thousand dollars, though prices were still a bit better when the $7,500 federal tax credit was still in effect. Despite this, a $0 downpayment would likely be appreciated by customers, as it lowers the entry point to the Tesla ecosystem by a notable margin.

Premium freebies included

Apart from a $0 downpayment, customers of Model Y leases are also provided one free upgrade for their vehicles. These upgrades could be premium paint, such as Pearl White Multi-Coat, Deep Blue Metallic, Diamond Black, Quicksilver or Ultra Red, or 20″ Helix 2.0 Wheels. Customers could also opt for a White Interior or a Tow Hitch free of charge.

A look at Tesla’s Model Y order page shows that the promotion is available for all the Model Y Premium Rear-Wheel Drive and the Model Y Premium All-Wheel Drive. The Model Y Standard and the Model Y Performance are not eligible for the $0 downpayment or free premium upgrade promotion as of writing. 

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🚨 Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.1.7 is here and here’s some things it did extremely well! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ You Have It – Marscott

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Tesla is looking to phase out China-made parts at US factories: report

Tesla has reportedly swapped out several China-made components already, aiming to complete the transition within the next two years.

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(Source: Tesla)

Tesla has reportedly started directing its suppliers to eliminate China-made components from vehicles built in the United States. This would make Tesla’s US-produced vehicles even more American-made.

The update was initially reported by The Wall Street Journal.

Accelerating North American sourcing

As per the WSJ report, the shift reportedly came amidst escalating tariff uncertainties between Washington and Beijing. Citing people reportedly familiar with the matter, the publication claimed that Tesla has already swapped out several China-made components, aiming to complete the transition within the next two years. The publication also claimed that Tesla has been reducing its reliance on China-based suppliers since the pandemic disrupted supply chains.

The company has quietly increased North American sourcing over the past two years as tariff concerns have intensified. If accurate, Tesla would likely end up with vehicles that are even more locally sourced than they are today. It would remain to be seen, however, if a change in suppliers for its US-made vehicles would result in price adjustments for cars like the Model 3 and Model Y.

Industry-wide reassessments

Tesla is not alone in reevaluating its dependence on China. Auto executives across the automotive industry have been in rapid-response mode amid shifting trade policies, chip supply anxiety, and concerns over rare-earth materials. Fluctuating tariffs between the United States and China during President Donald Trump’s current term have made pricing strategies quite unpredictable as well, as noted in a Reuters report. 

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General Motors this week issued a similar directive to thousands of suppliers, instructing them to remove China-origin components from their supply chains. The same is true for Stellantis, which also announced earlier this year that it was implementing several strategies to avoid tariffs that were placed by the Trump administration. 

@teslarati 🚨 Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.1.7 is here and here’s some things it did extremely well! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ You Have It – Marscott
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