Rivian is now in discussions about a new incentive arrangement with the state of Illinois, after the electric vehicle (EV) maker unveiled its upcoming R2 SUV earlier this week, now set to be built within the state.
During the automaker’s unveiling of the highly anticipated R2 on Thursday, Rivian said it would start producing the forthcoming SUV at its factory in Normal, Illinois, rather than following initial plans to produce the EV at a future plant in Georgia. Rivian is also pausing construction on the new factory, set to be located outside of Atlanta, in hopes to focus instead on achieving profitability with the upcoming R2, R3 and R3X EVs.
In a statement on Tuesday, the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity (DCEO) referenced the plans for a new incentives package, saying that it would share details upon finalizing certain parts of the proposal.
Tesla Lead Engineer urges Rivian to optimize R2 for existing Supercharger Network
“The elements of an economic development package are still being finalized,” the DCEO said (via Automotive News). “Once they are finalized, we will update the public on the details of the incentive package.”
Deliveries of the R2 are expected to begin in 2026, and the company says the change of plans to produce the R2 at its currently operational Normal facility will help it get the $45,000 SUV on the market sooner. Meanwhile, plans and construction for the Georgia plant are delayed indefinitely.
“Once again, Rivian has reaffirmed the message that Illinois is one of the best places to do business in the country,” DCEO added. “We stand by Rivian and stand ready to support them as they increase capacity at their Bloomington-Normal facility to rollout the R2.”
Rivian has already created more than 8,000 jobs in Illinois, and with the future of the Georgia plant now unclear, the former state has a chance to scoop up additional employment opportunities as the industry turns toward EVs. Still, it isn’t clear whether Rivian plans to expand its Normal factory to accommodate the R2 line or re-tool production lines to increase output, nor is it clear if the addition will add more jobs.
"Ultimately, Rivian exists to not only help transition the world away from combustion fuels and into electrification — we exist to help generate amazing memories in the process of doing so. These vehicles represent our future — what we've been building to with the R1 products and… pic.twitter.com/EW4K43yNHH
— Rivian (@Rivian) March 9, 2024
CEO RJ Scaringe says he expects launching the R2 at its Normal production facility could save the company almost $2.3 billion, after the automaker posted an operating loss of $5.7 billion in 2023.
“Just as we were faced with incredibly daunting challenges during the launch of our flagship R1 product line — ramping production in the throes of a global pandemic amid an unprecedented supply chain crisis — we are applying those same lessons today,” Scaringe wrote in a recent statement. “Historically high interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty are affecting everyone, and we must adjust and stay ahead of those situations.”
Beyond unveiling the expected R2 earlier this week, Rivian also surprised the world by unveiling designs for new compact crossover EVs, dubbed the R3 and R3X. The automaker didn’t share a price or production timeline for the crossovers, though it did say both EV lineups will offer three configurations: single-motor, dual-motor and tri-motor trims. Rivian also says the EVs will have DC fast-charging capabilities, featuring both an NACS and CCS charging option.
What are your thoughts? Let me know at zach@teslarati.com, find me on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send your tips to us at tips@teslarati.com.
News
Tesla officially publishes Q4 2025 vehicle delivery consensus
By releasing these numbers directly, Tesla establishes a clear, transparent benchmark ahead of its actual results.
Tesla has taken the rather unusual step of officially publishing its company-compiled Q4 2025 delivery consensus on the Investor Relations site. As per analyst estimates, Tesla is expected to deliver 422,850 vehicles and deploy 13.4 GWh of battery storage systems this Q4 2025.
By releasing these numbers directly, Tesla establishes a clear, transparent benchmark ahead of its actual results, making it harder for narratives to claim a “miss” based on outlier estimates.
Official consensus sets the record straight
Tesla’s IR press release detailed the consensus from 20 analysts for vehicle deliveries and 16 analysts for energy deployments. As per the release, full-year 2025 consensus delivery estimates come in at 1,640,752 vehicles, an 8.3% decline from 2025’s FY deliveries of 1,789,226 cars.
Tesla noted that while it “does not endorse any information, recommendations or conclusions made by the analysts,” its press release does provide a notable reference point. Analysts contributing to the company compiled consensus include Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, Oppenheimer, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, Goldman Sachs, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham, HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair.
Tesla’s busy Q4 2025
Tesla seems to be pushing hard to deliver as many vehicles as possible before the end of 2025, despite the company’s future seemingly being determined not by vehicle deliveries, but FSD and Optimus’ rollout and ramp. Still, reports from countries such as China are optimistic, with posts on social media hinting that Tesla’s delivery centers in the country are appearing packed as the final weeks of 2025 unfold.
The Tesla Model Y and Model 3 are also still performing well in China’s premium EV segment. Based on data from January to November, the Model Y took China’s number one spot in the RMB 200,000-RMB 300,000 segment for electric vehicles, selling 359,463 units. The Model 3 sedan took third place, selling 172,392. This is quite impressive considering that both the Model Y and Model 3 command a premium compared to their domestic rivals.
Elon Musk
Tesla’s Elon Musk accepts invitation to Israel’s Smart Transportation Conference
The announcement was shared by the Israeli Prime Minister in a post on social media platform X.
Elon Musk has reportedly accepted an invitation from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to participate in the country’s Smart Transportation Conference in March 2026.
The announcement was shared by the Israeli Prime Minister in a post on social media platform X.
A call and an invitation
Netanyahu posted on X about Musk, stating in Hebrew: “Last night, I held a joint conference call from Florida with entrepreneur Elon Musk, Minister of Transportation Miri Regev, and the head of the National AI Headquarters, Erez Askal. In the framework of the conversation, Musk responded to my invitation and Minister Regev’s invitation to participate in the Smart Transportation Conference that will be held in March.”
Netanyahu added that he and Musk discussed continuing initiatives such as the promotion of autonomous vehicle laws and the boosting of AI technologies in Israel. This, according to the Prime Minister, is aimed at making the country a global leader in emerging technologies.
“Additionally, we discussed the continuation of collaborations with Tesla and the promotion of the law pertaining to autonomous vehicles. I spoke at length with Musk about promoting and developing artificial intelligence technologies in Israel, and I said in our conversation: We intend to catapult Israel and turn it into a global leader in the field, just as we did in cyber and other technologies,” Netanyahu added.
Tesla FSD’s upcoming rollout in Israel
Elon Musk’s upcoming conference appearance in Israel could hint at Tesla’s upcoming rollout of FSD and its Robotaxi service in the country. Previous reports have hinted that FSD is nearing regulatory approval in Israel, following strong advocacy from local owners and direct intervention from the government.
Nearly 1,000 Tesla drivers petitioned authorities, highlighting FSD’s potential to enhance road safety. Transport and Road Safety Minister Miri Regev responded positively on X, writing “I’ve received the many referrals from Tesla drivers in Israel! Tesla drivers? Soon you won’t need to hold the steering wheel.”
Minister Regev has instructed the ministry’s Director-General to accelerate the approval process, including necessary tests. A dedicated working group, led by Moshe Ben-Zaken, is also coordinating with regulatory and safety agencies to meet international standards.
News
Tesla China delivery centers look packed as 2025 comes to a close
Needless to say, it appears that Tesla China seems intent on ending 2025 on a strong note.
Tesla’s delivery centers in China seem to be absolutely packed as the final days of 2025 wind down, with photos on social media showing delivery locations being filled wall-to-wall with vehicles waiting for their new owners.
Needless to say, it appears that Tesla China seems intent on ending 2025 on a strong note.
Full delivery center hints at year-end demand surge
A recent image from a Chinese delivery center posted by industry watcher @Tslachan on X revealed rows upon rows of freshly prepared Model Y and Model 3 units, some of which were adorned with red bows and teddy bears. Some customers also seem to be looking over their vehicles with Tesla delivery staff.
The images hint at a strong year-end push to clear inventory and deliver as many vehicles as possible. Interestingly enough, several Model Y L vehicles could be seen in the photos, hinting at the demand for the extended wheelbase-six seat variant of the best-selling all-electric crossover.
Strong demand in China
Consumer demand for the Model Y and Model 3 in China seems to be quite notable. This could be inferred from the estimated delivery dates for the Model 3 and Model Y, which have been extended to February 2026 for several variants. Apart from this, the Model Y and Model 3 also continue to rank well in China’s premium EV segment.
From January to November alone, the Model Y took China’s number one spot in the RMB 200,000-RMB 300,000 segment for electric vehicles, selling 359,463 units. The Model 3 sedan took third place, selling 172,392. This is quite impressive considering that both the Model Y and Model 3 are still priced at a premium compared to some of their rivals, such as the Xiaomi SU7 and YU7.
With delivery centers in December being quite busy, it does seem like Tesla China will end the year on a strong note once more.
Tesla officially publishes Q4 2025 vehicle delivery consensus
Tesla’s Elon Musk accepts invitation to Israel’s Smart Transportation Conference
