Rivian is now in discussions about a new incentive arrangement with the state of Illinois, after the electric vehicle (EV) maker unveiled its upcoming R2 SUV earlier this week, now set to be built within the state.
During the automaker’s unveiling of the highly anticipated R2 on Thursday, Rivian said it would start producing the forthcoming SUV at its factory in Normal, Illinois, rather than following initial plans to produce the EV at a future plant in Georgia. Rivian is also pausing construction on the new factory, set to be located outside of Atlanta, in hopes to focus instead on achieving profitability with the upcoming R2, R3 and R3X EVs.
In a statement on Tuesday, the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity (DCEO) referenced the plans for a new incentives package, saying that it would share details upon finalizing certain parts of the proposal.
Tesla Lead Engineer urges Rivian to optimize R2 for existing Supercharger Network
“The elements of an economic development package are still being finalized,” the DCEO said (via Automotive News). “Once they are finalized, we will update the public on the details of the incentive package.”
Deliveries of the R2 are expected to begin in 2026, and the company says the change of plans to produce the R2 at its currently operational Normal facility will help it get the $45,000 SUV on the market sooner. Meanwhile, plans and construction for the Georgia plant are delayed indefinitely.
“Once again, Rivian has reaffirmed the message that Illinois is one of the best places to do business in the country,” DCEO added. “We stand by Rivian and stand ready to support them as they increase capacity at their Bloomington-Normal facility to rollout the R2.”
Rivian has already created more than 8,000 jobs in Illinois, and with the future of the Georgia plant now unclear, the former state has a chance to scoop up additional employment opportunities as the industry turns toward EVs. Still, it isn’t clear whether Rivian plans to expand its Normal factory to accommodate the R2 line or re-tool production lines to increase output, nor is it clear if the addition will add more jobs.
"Ultimately, Rivian exists to not only help transition the world away from combustion fuels and into electrification — we exist to help generate amazing memories in the process of doing so. These vehicles represent our future — what we've been building to with the R1 products and… pic.twitter.com/EW4K43yNHH
— Rivian (@Rivian) March 9, 2024
CEO RJ Scaringe says he expects launching the R2 at its Normal production facility could save the company almost $2.3 billion, after the automaker posted an operating loss of $5.7 billion in 2023.
“Just as we were faced with incredibly daunting challenges during the launch of our flagship R1 product line — ramping production in the throes of a global pandemic amid an unprecedented supply chain crisis — we are applying those same lessons today,” Scaringe wrote in a recent statement. “Historically high interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty are affecting everyone, and we must adjust and stay ahead of those situations.”
Beyond unveiling the expected R2 earlier this week, Rivian also surprised the world by unveiling designs for new compact crossover EVs, dubbed the R3 and R3X. The automaker didn’t share a price or production timeline for the crossovers, though it did say both EV lineups will offer three configurations: single-motor, dual-motor and tri-motor trims. Rivian also says the EVs will have DC fast-charging capabilities, featuring both an NACS and CCS charging option.
What are your thoughts? Let me know at zach@teslarati.com, find me on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send your tips to us at tips@teslarati.com.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
