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Chances are good that one of the three Falcon 9 boosters to the right is assigned to SpaceX's next launch, its first orbital mission in more than three months. (SpaceX) Chances are good that one of the three Falcon 9 boosters to the right is assigned to SpaceX's next launch, its first orbital mission in more than three months. (SpaceX)

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SpaceX’s ‘In-Flight Abort’ Crew Dragon capsule and Falcon 9 booster arrive in Florida

According to NASA, the Falcon 9 rocket and Crew Dragon capsule that will support SpaceX's In-Flight Abort (IFA) test both arrived in Florida within the last several days. (SpaceX)

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Approaching its second month between launches, SpaceX Falcon 9 boosters and their associated payloads continue to arrive in Florida in preparation for what will likely be a burst of several orbital launches in the final months of 2019.

On Tuesday, October 1st, local resident Marcos Hicks (@SpaceCoast_Life) and several other locals captured the latest arrival of a Falcon 9 booster in Cape Canaveral, Florida. This delivery comes just two weeks after Andrew Stoltz – another Space Coast local – lucked upon the arrival of a Falcon 9 payload fairing and one week after Arizona locals spotted a Falcon 9 booster heading East through the state.

On September 24th, an iconic and easily recognizable Falcon 9 booster was spotted heading East through Maricopa, Arizona, an extremely common (if not universal) pass-through point for SpaceX’s cross-country booster shipments. More likely than not, the booster spotted arriving in Cape Canaveral on October 1st is the same SpaceX rocket seen in Arizona one week prior, an indication that the Falcon 9 skipped testing in McGregor, Texas and is thus likely flight-proven.

https://www.facebook.com/CityOfMaricopaAZ/photos/a.926782984000491/2686488894696549/

48 hours later, NASA published photos of the arrival from SpaceX and announced that the rocket is, in fact, the flight-proven booster that will support the Crew Dragon’s critical In-Flight Abort test (IFA). SpaceX employees were still in the process of unwrapping the Falcon 9 booster, but enough of its body was visible to reveal soot, the telltale sign of a flight-proven SpaceX rocket. Impressively, the Crew Dragon that will support the spacecraft’s IFA test also apparently arrived in Florida in recent days.

According to NASASpaceflight.com, B1046 – the first Block 5 booster and first thrice-flown SpaceX rocket – is expected to support the critical Crew Dragon test flight. SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has tweeted several times that there is a “high probability” that the booster will be completely destroyed during the suborbital test flight, a necessary sacrifice to prove that Dragon can escape from a failing rocket at any point during launch. SpaceX has a growing fleet of flight-proven boosters with multiple launches under their belts – B1046 will certainly be missed but its ‘retirement’ will impose no burden on the company’s launch manifest.

As stated in a recent FCC filing, Crew Dragon’s IFA test is scheduled to launch no earlier than (NET) November 23rd. The mission will proceed like any other routine Falcon 9 launch for the first 60 or so seconds, but will feature a “simulated orbital second stage” with a fake Merlin Vacuum engine that will almost certainly be smashed to pieces after Crew Dragon departs the rocket. It’s unclear if SpaceX will physically create failure conditions or if Crew Dragon’s abort will be directly triggered, but the spacecraft will ultimately ignite its SuperDraco abort system to speed half a mile away from the booster in just a few seconds.

This will occur during Max Q, the point during launch when the booster is experiencing maximum aerodynamic and thermal stresses, and Crew Dragon’s departure will essentially smash the rocket headfirst into a wall of supersonic air. The upper stage will likely disintegrate almost immediately, a process that will most likely lead to the destruction of the booster, as well.

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Crew Dragon’s onboard launch abort system consists of four “powerpacks” composed of two SuperDracos each, equating to eight SuperDraco thrusters capable of producing up to 570 kN (130,000 lbf) of thrust. SpaceX recently highlighted their confidence in the abort thrusters with a brief video that showed off testing and touted an impressive record of successful static fires and overall reliability.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B2Uj5lZlBG5/

As Teslarati previously reported, the window for the test launch is expected to open no earlier than (NET) November 23rd. With both the booster and spacecraft now in Cape Canaveral, Florida, it is increasingly likely that SpaceX will be able to complete the IFA test before the end of 2019, a milestone that would increase the odds of SpaceX and NASA attempting Crew Dragon’s astronaut launch debut sometime in early 2020.

Aside from Crew Dragon, SpaceX has plans for as many as four internal Starlink launches between now and the new year, potentially placing as many as 240 more high-performance ‘v1.0’ satellites in orbit. Regardless of the specifics of how the schedule actually shakes out, it looks like SpaceX is working hard to end 2019 with a burst of orbital launch activity.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

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Tesla expands new Full Self-Driving program in Europe

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Credit: Tesla Europe & Middle East/X

Tesla expanded its new Full Self-Driving program, which gives people the opportunity to experience the company’s suite, in Europe.

Tesla recently launched an opportunity for Europeans to experience Full Self-Driving, not in their personal vehicles, but through a new ride-along program that initially launched in Italy, France, and Germany back in late November.

People could experience it by booking a reservation with a local Tesla showroom, but timeslots quickly filled up, making it difficult to keep up with demand. Tesla expanded the program and offered some additional times, but it also had its sights set on getting the program out to new markets.

It finally achieved that on December 9, as it launched rides in Denmark and Switzerland, adding the fourth and fifth countries to the program.

Tesla confirmed the arrival of the program to Denmark and Switzerland on X:

The program, while a major contributor to Tesla’s butts in seats strategy, is truly another way for the company to leverage its fans in an effort to work through the regulatory hurdles it is facing in Europe.

Tesla has faced significant red tape in the region, and although it has tested the FSD suite and been able to launch this ride-along program, it is still having some tremendous issues convincing regulatory agencies to allow it to give it to customers.

CEO Elon Musk has worked with regulators, but admitted the process has been “insanely painful.”

The most recent development with FSD and its potential use in Europe dealt with the Dutch approval authority, known as the RDW.

Tesla says Europe could finally get FSD in 2026, and Dutch regulator RDW is key

Tesla said it believes some regulations are “outdated and rules-based,” which makes the suite ineligible for use in the European jurisdiction.

The RDW is working with Tesla to gain approval sometime early next year, but there are no guarantees. However, Tesla’s angle with the ride-along program seems to be that if it can push consumers to experience it and have a positive time, it should be easier for it to gain its footing across Europe with regulatory agencies.

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Tesla ramps hiring for Roadster as latest unveiling approaches

Tesla published three new positions for the Roadster this week, relating to Battery Manufacturing, General Manufacturing, and Vision Engineering.

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Tesla Roadster at Tesla Battery Day 2020 Credit: @BLKMDL3 | Twitter

Tesla is ramping up hiring for positions related to the Roadster program, the company’s ultra-fast supercar that has been teased to potentially hover by CEO Elon Musk.

The company seems to be crossing off its last handful of things before it plans to unveil the vehicle on April Fool’s Day, just about four months away.

Tesla published three new positions for the Roadster this week, relating to Battery Manufacturing, General Manufacturing, and Vision Engineering. All three are located in Northern California, with two being at the Fremont Factory and the other at the company’s Engineering HQ in Palo Alto.

Technical Program Manager, Battery Manufacturing

Located in Fremont, this role specifically caters to the design of the Roadster to factory operations. It appears this role will mostly have to do with developing and engineering the Roadster’s battery pack and establishing the production processes for it:

“You will foster collaboration across design engineering, manufacturing, quality, facilities, and production to align with company priorities. Additionally, you will understand project opportunities, challenges, and dependencies; translate scattered information into concise, complete messages; and communicate them to every team member. As the business process development lead, you will develop, maintain, and implement tools and processes to accelerate battery manufacturing execution, achieve cross-functional alignment, and deliver highly efficient systems.”

Manufacturing Engineer, Roadster

Also located in Fremont, this role also has to deal with the concept development and launch of battery manufacturing equipment. Tesla says:

“In this role, you will take large-scale manufacturing systems for new battery products and architectures from the early concept development stage through equipment launch, optimization, and handover to local operations teams.”

Manufacturing Vision Engineer, Battery Vision

This position is in Palo Alto at Tesla’s Engineering Headquarters, and requires the design and scale of advanced inspection and control systems to next-generation battery products:

“You’ll work on automation processes that directly improve battery performance, quality, and cost, collaborating with world-class engineers in a fast-paced, hands-on environment.”

Developing and deploying 2D and 3D vision and measurement systems from proof-of-concept to deployment on high-volume battery manufacturing lines is part of the job description.

Roadster Unveiling

Tesla plans to unveil the Roadster on April 1, and although it was planned for late this year, it is nice to see the company put out a definitive date.

Musk said on the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast in late October:

“Whether it’s good or bad, it will be unforgettable. My friend Peter Thiel once reflected that the future was supposed to have flying cars, but we don’t have flying cars. I think if Peter wants a flying car, he should be able to buy one…I think it has a shot at being the most memorable product unveil ever.”

Production should begin between 12 to 18 months after unveiling, so we could see it sometime in 2027.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla Full Self-Driving statistic impresses Wall Street firm: ‘Very close to unsupervised’

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla Full Self-Driving performance and statistics continue to impress everyone, from retail investors to Wall Street firms. However, one analyst believes Tesla’s driving suite is “very close” to achieving unsupervised self-driving.

On Tuesday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said that Tesla’s recent launch of Full Self-Driving version 14 increased the number of miles traveled between interventions by a drastic margin, based on data compiled by a Full Self-Driving Community Tracker.

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

Interestingly, there was a slight dip in the miles traveled between interventions with the release of v14.2. Piper Sandler said investor interest in FSD has increased.

Full Self-Driving has displayed several improvements with v14, including the introduction of Arrival Options that allow specific parking situations to be chosen by the driver prior to arriving at the destination. Owners can choose from Street Parking, Parking Garages, Parking Lots, Chargers, and Driveways.

Additionally, the overall improvements in performance from v13 have been evident through smoother operation, fewer mistakes during routine operation, and a more refined decision-making process.

Early versions of v14 exhibited stuttering and brake stabbing, but Tesla did a great job of confronting the issue and eliminating it altogether with the release of v14.2.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk also recently stated that the current v14.2 FSD suite is also less restrictive with drivers looking at their phones, which has caused some controversy within the community.

Although we tested it and found there were fewer nudges by the driver monitoring system to push eyes back to the road, we still would not recommend it due to laws and regulations.

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2.1 texting and driving: we tested it

With that being said, FSD is improving significantly with each larger rollout, and Musk believes the final piece of the puzzle will be unveiled with FSD v14.3, which could come later this year or early in 2026.

Piper Sandler reaffirmed its $500 price target on Tesla shares, as well as its ‘Overweight’ rating.

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