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Tesla’s future capabilities in autonomy, chip building are best in industry: expert
Tesla’s leadership status as king of the electric vehicle sector has been established through several years of innovation and the company’s ability to influence an entire industry. Now that more automakers have adopted plans for electrification, it comes down to preparation, according to Howard Yu, IMD Business School LEGO Professor of Management & Innovation.
Yu joined Yahoo! Finance to discuss what is priming companies for the future, along with where they rank in terms of preparedness. Yu believes Tesla’s recent performances in 2020 and 2021 have only solidified the company’s recognition as a mainstay in the sector. While the past two years are key indicators of Tesla’s ability to adapt to hardships, they are more indicative of the company’s relevance to the future. Tesla, for one, is in prime position to dominate the next several years, especially in autonomy and chip building, simply because of what it has been able to accomplish in the past few years.
Most impressive to Yu seems to be Tesla’s scrappy ability to navigate the global chip shortage. Yu asks the rhetorical question of how companies are going to be able to scale software capability and autonomy in the coming years, skeptical of whether or not companies will be able to handle the evolution of software and its part in vehicles moving forward.
“So you talk about the automotive sector. And of course, it’s no longer just about building the electric vehicle. These days, everybody can build electric vehicles. But it’s really this idea, how do you able to scale up the software capability, autonomous driving, as well as building chipset around the electronic component?,” Yu asked, only to give an answer that many of those who follow the EV sector would know. “And the late lead shortages of the global semiconductor sector really just exposed how important these new future capabilities are. And from that perspective, Tesla, obviously, ranks number one. And you’re looking at Toyota. They have been able to stockpile, in terms of chipset, until most recently because of their supply chain digitization.”
Tesla navigated the 2021 chip shortage by developing microcontroller variants internally. The developments helped the company avoid massive stoppages in production, which halted many other automakers’ manufacturing lines.
Tesla reveals its secret to surviving semiconductor shortages
Essentially, the past two years have shown which companies are prepared for a new type of vehicle. As Yu mentioned, nearly every automotive company in the world has announced plans for electrification, but bringing those products to market is what is proving to be increasingly difficult. Additionally, Tesla’s ability to fend off competition and really establish itself as a leader for so many years, continuing to improve an already industry-leading product, is what is most impressive to Yu. “If you miss a product life cycle, then you are really in a precarious position. If you miss twice or three times, then you send home packing. And what we’ve been seeing is an organization that can stay on top of competition in this particular sector are the ones who are very entrepreneurial,” Yu adds. “Meaning, they are able to branch out to new services, bringing out new business models as exemplified by Amazon, and going through many, many of these moonshot innovations as well.”
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Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.