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Tesla Battery Day vs. Volkswagen Power Day: How Wall Street reacted

(Credit: Herbert Diess/LinkedIn)

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Tesla’s Battery Day and Volkswagen’s Power Day were two similar events that showed how the two automakers plan to combat electric vehicle prices within the next few years. Despite the similarities in the events, Wall Street reacted quite differently to both, with Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) seeing a minimal effect on its stock in the days following. However, Volkswagen’s stock (OTCMKTS: VWAGY) is soaring over 12% on the day after the event.

Tesla Battery Day

Tesla’s Battery Day was a marquee event for the electric automaker. While the previous year’s focus was Autonomy, 2020 saw battery cells as Tesla’s main concentration. During the event, CEO Elon Musk revealed how Tesla would combat battery prices by continuing to source cells from third-party suppliers, but also by developing its own 4680 cells that are produced by the company in-house. Additionally, new structural battery packs are being used to house the cells and also provide a more robust crash response in the event of an accident. The rigidity of the new structural battery intends to take Tesla’s safety ratings through the roof, where they already reside.

Tesla also revealed plans for a $25,000 car, a blueprint to manufacture 20 million cars per year, and a roadmap to massive cuts in battery cell production costs.

LIVE BLOG: Tesla Battery Day and Annual Shareholder Meeting 2020 updates

Despite the developments, Tesla didn’t receive a big boost on Wall Street. Interestingly, despite the massive developments and plans that Tesla had revealed during the Battery Day event on September 22nd, 2020, the stock closed at $424.23. The day following saw an 11% drop in the stock, as it closed at $380.36.

Many didn’t understand the reason for the drop. Tesla bull and investor Jim Cramer, who was at one time bearish on the automaker’s stock, stated that the stock fell simply because Tesla didn’t announce what some were expecting. “They’re just bummed the things they hyped didn’t happen,” Cramer said. “Tesla rolls out a plan to create an electric car for the masses and greeted with a yawn because Musk didn’t roll out a magic battery. This is what happens when you let expectations get out of control.”

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Volkswagen Power Day

Volkswagen’s Power Day was, in effect, the German automaker’s version of Tesla’s Battery Day. The company held an event outlining their plans for cell cost reductions, along with plans for six total production plants across Europe. VW also has established several partnerships with European energy companies to roll out an expansive charging infrastructure, among many other developments.

“We aim to reduce the cost and complexity of the battery and at the same time increase its range and performance,” Volkswagen Group Board Member for Technology Thomas Schmall said. “We will use our economies of scale to the benefit of our customers when it comes to the battery too. On average, we will drive down the cost of battery systems to significantly below €100 per kilowatt-hour. This will finally make e-mobility affordable and the dominant drive technology.”

Volkswagen’s Power Day: Six new cell plants, new unified battery cell, charging network partnerships

Volkswagen stock began Monday’s trading session at $28.38. After the developments that VW announced, the stock shot up $1.38, a boost of 4.86%. However, the German company’s stock is enjoying massive gains today, just one day after the big event. After closing at $29.76 yesterday, VW stock has increased another 3.48% at the time of writing, for a total gain of 11.69% as of 2:30 PM EST.

The differences in the presentations and how Wall Street has responded to them are unknown. However, the sheer size of Volkswagen’s production figures could be the main reason for the increased investor response. While Tesla’s rollout of 500,000 vehicles in 2020 was a company best, Volkswagen delivered 9.3 million vehicles last year. For context, VW has also been around since 1937, while Tesla has only produced a mass-market vehicle since 2017.

Tesla is undoubtedly the leader in electric vehicles. Volkswagen, while still working out software kinks, could be considered second-place by some because of the successful adaptation of the ID. family of vehicles in Europe so far. However, it is still admittedly ironing out some software issues with its MEB platform, and it seems somewhat odd that VW’s stock received such a healthy boost in the day following its Power Day event.

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What do you think? What is the reasoning for the substantial difference in Wall Street’s reaction? Let us know in the comments below, or Tweet me directly.

Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Tesla Robotaxi app update now tells riders if Cybercab is the better choice

Tesla’s Robotaxi app now shows ETAs, wait times and availability for Cybercab and Model Y.

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Concept art of a Tesla Cybercab in Las Vegas Strip as rendered via Grok

Tesla has rolled out a new vehicle selection screen in its Robotaxi app, and it puts the numbers riders care about most in front of them before they book.

Version 26.11.0 of the app shows the estimated arrival time, the expected wait and current availability for each vehicle option on a single screen, according to a video shared by @gheeunit  on X on November 7. Riders deciding between a Cybercab and a Model Y Robotaxi can now compare those figures side by side instead of picking a car first and learning how long it will take afterward.

Tesla first gave riders that choice on September 3, the day paid Cybercab rides began in Austin. The original version of the screen listed the Cybercab, which seats two, next to the Model Y, which seats four. A later build, 26.8.2, added a seating capacity indicator so groups knew which car would fit them. What it did not show was whether choosing the Cybercab meant standing on the curb a few extra minutes.

That question matters more now than it did two months ago. Tesla had 45 Cybercabs on the Texas DMV roster when rides started. By late October the state listed 573, alongside 631 Model Ys, and community trackers logged a record 1,576 Cybercab sightings across Austin on Halloween alone. With two large fleets sharing one service area, the closest car and the quickest pickup are not always the same vehicle.

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Inline availability also changes what happens when demand spikes. If no Cybercab is free nearby, the rider sees that on the selection screen rather than after trying to book one.

For now the comparison is mostly an Austin feature. Riders in Dallas, Houston, Fort Worth and the Florida markets are still matched with Model Y vehicles, though Tesla said on its third quarter earnings call that Cybercab rides would launch in Dallas this month.

The update follows a steady run of smaller changes to the rider experience. Late last month Tesla brought a quiet mode that blacks out the cabin screen to Model Y Robotaxis after first testing it in the Cybercab, and it has stretched Austin service to run from 6 a.m. to 2 a.m.

The Cybercab side of that selection screen is about to get much busier. Elon Musk said this week that Tesla will wind down Cybertruck production at Gigafactory Texas around the middle of 2027 to make room for more Cybercab output, and Tesla has said it is aiming to get Cybercabs to customers by the end of this year.

Tesla has not published official release notes for version 26.11.0.

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Tesla is ending Cybertruck production

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Credit: diagnosticdennis/Instagram and @smile__no via Tesla Owners of Santa Clarita Valley/X

Tesla is ending Cybertruck production sometime in mid-2027, according to CEO Elon Musk.

Musk made the announcement on X last night, which came as a shock to many. He said that the Cybertruck will end production “to make room for increased Cybercab production” at Gigafactory Texas.

It is a huge blow to the fans of Tesla who have come to love the Cybertruck and identify with it as a symbol of their fandom. It has been the best-selling electric pickup, but it has had an underwhelming sales performance in terms of what was expected. This is mostly due to Tesla not meeting the prices it planned to offer the Cybertruck, as its unveiling and actual release were four years apart.

Overall, the responses were mixed. Some fans understood the move toward Cybercab production, especially as Tesla is truly pushing the autonomous future through its Robotaxi platform. However, others did not understand it.

“Damn, how many Cybercabs do you guys need?” one response read. Another said it was “Sad but understandable.”Even analyst Gary Black had responded to the news, stating he hoped Tesla planned to replace it with a traditional pickup design.

It doesn’t seem like that will be the case.

Tesla is so hell-bent on delivering autonomy and eventually providing a driverless service that owning a car seems like an arbitrary idea, according to their thesis. Instead, Cybercabs will be available to pick you up and drop you off on demand, safely, without any human help.

As a result, Tesla has thinned its lineup considerably, and one can only ask where the vehicle lineup goes from here. Eventually, it seems like Cybercab could be the only vehicle that Tesla will sell.

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SpaceX’s next Starship flight set to make history on Friday the 13th

SpaceX is targeting Friday, November 13 for Starship Flight 15 and its first ship catch.

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SpaceX is targeting Friday, November 13 for Starship Flight 15, the mission the company plans to use for its first attempt at catching the ship itself with the launch tower.

SpaceX Vice President of Launch Kiko Dontchev shared the date on stage at the UP.Summit on Thursday, according to Ars Technica’s Eric Berger, who was in attendance. It is the first launch target to come directly from a SpaceX executive. Until now, the public schedule had relied on FAA air traffic planning slides, which listed Flight 15 for no earlier than November 8 and later November 12. SpaceX has not posted an official mission page yet, and no launch time has been shared.

The date lands inside the window Elon Musk sketched out last month. Speaking at Giga Texas on October 10, Musk said the flight would “probably launch a little bit before Thanksgiving,” as Teslarati reported. On SpaceX’s third quarter earnings call ten days later, he confirmed that Flight 15 would try to catch both the Super Heavy booster and the ship, and put the odds of a successful ship catch at “more likely than not.” SpaceX also aired an animation of the maneuver during that webcast, showing the ship swinging vertical over Starbase before dropping into the tower’s chopsticks.

The hardware is ready. Booster 22 fired all 33 of its Raptor engines for a full duration static fire at Pad 2 on October 25. Ship 42 followed with a single engine burn simulating a deorbit maneuver on October 26 and a 60 second firing of all six engines the next day, according to NASASpaceflight. Ship 42 had already rehearsed the catch in September, when the Pad 2 arms lifted it into position and crews connected the quick disconnect arm while the vehicle hung from the tower.

The remaining hurdle is regulatory. The FAA’s Starship page does not yet list a Flight 15 license. SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell said in October that, after “significant constructive engagement with the FAA,” she expects the license to cover a return to the launch site and a tower catch for both stages. Bringing the ship home means a reentry path that heads toward land, rather than ending over open ocean as every Starship flight so far has.

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SpaceX has caught Super Heavy three times, on Flights 5, 7 and 8, but the ship comes back from orbital velocity and has never been caught. Flight 14 on September 28 was the first Starship to reach orbit, deploying 26 Starlink V3 satellites before splashing down despite an early engine shutdown that Musk blamed on engine computer software.

Musk has called a successful ship catch “the first time that there’s been full recovery of an orbital class rocket,” and he has already named the step after it: a Flight 16 where both the booster and the ship fly again. NASASpaceflight reports that Ship 43, the next vehicle in line, is set for static fire testing in December.

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