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Tesla battery supplier see surge amidst IRA tax incentives
Tesla stock has been in the midst of a surge recently, specifically after the Model 3 sedan reached price parity with the Toyota Camry. Tesla battery suppliers are also seeing increased support from investors as they realize the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act.
Panasonic shares climbed up 45% year-to-date in Tokyo, while LG Energy Solutions (LGES) went up 36%. Panasonic and LGES are both long-time Tesla battery suppliers and are outpacing their local benchmarks.
Not all of Tesla’s battery suppliers are experiencing a share surge, though. Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (CATL) is down 4.5%, missing out on a rally. Bloomberg points out that non-Chinese battery suppliers are experiencing a surge while CATL—one of the top battery suppliers in the world—is not.
The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) may be credited for South Korean battery supplier LGES and Japanese battery supplier Panasonic’s stock spike this year. In a Citi note, industry expert Christ Berry estimated that IRA credits could reach $1 trillion compared to the U.S. Congressional Budget Office’s estimate of $369 billion over 10 years.
During a Citi seminar, Berry stated that China’s dominant share in the refining market is “an obstacle to IRA mechanisms working and that various ideas to build a US-led scheme to reduce dependency on China were being considered.”
Citigroup analyst Kota Ezawa hinted that non-Chinese companies are more likely to benefit from the Inflation Reduction Act. Reports of a US-China tech war suggest that the United States aims to rely less on the Asian giant.
The Inflation Reduction Act’s influence already affects automakers in the United States and worldwide. Local automakers are teaming up with foreign battery suppliers, like LGES, to build domestic cell manufacturing in the United States.
Tesla isn’t immune to the IRA’s influence either. On March 31, 2023, The U.S. Treasury released battery guidance for the Inflation Reduction Act’s $7,500 EV tax credits. The guidance covered battery production, assembly, and mineral sourcing requirements to qualify for incentives.
Tesla’s Model 3 RWD units were immediately affected by the battery requirements. The Tesla Model 3 RWD’s battery pack is produced and assembled in China, reducing its IRA tax incentives. Earlier this month, all Tesla Model 3 units—including the RWD variant—qualified for the full $7,500 tax credit under the IRA. With state EV tax credits, the Model 3 became cheaper than the Toyota Camry in California.
Tesla’s recent stock spike may be attributed to the Model 3 reaching price parity with fossil fuel vehicles. However, maybe the true takeaway from the Model 3’s latest achievement is the full potential of the IRA.
The Teslarati team would appreciate hearing from you. If you have any tips, contact me at maria@teslarati.com or via Twitter @Writer_01001101.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’
Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.
In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.
In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:
“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”
This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.
The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.
The Tesla and SpaceX merger everyone is talking about is quietly building
Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.
The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.
This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.
Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).
Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.
“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”
Elon Musk called it Epic: The full story of SpaceX’s Starship Flight 12
Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.
It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”
Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.
There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:
“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”
SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.
Tesla has expanded the footprint of a massive safety feature worldwide with a recent Software Update labeled as 2026.20.6. The expansion of the “Blind Spot Warning While Parked” feature represents the more widespread availability of the feature, which aims to prevent “dooring.”
Dooring is when a driver or passenger opens a car door into the path of an oncoming road user, usually a cyclist or motorcyclist. It is among the most common types of cycling accidents, the League of American Bicyclists says.
For this reason, Tesla created a feature that warns occupants not to open the door because an object is approaching. The feature will sound a chime, and it will also delay the opening of the door to prevent an incident.
The release notes state (via Not a Tesla App):
“If you attempt to open a door while an approaching object is detected in your blind spot (for example, a bicyclist approaching from behind) a chime sounds, and your door will not open upon initial button press. Wait a short time and press the button a second time to override the warning.”
Tesla initially rolled out this feature back in 2024 with the Model 3 “Highland.” However, it remained with the Model 3 exclusively for over a year; that was until Tesla added it to the Cybertruck this past Spring.
Now, it is making its way to the new Model Y, 2021 and newer Model S, and 2021 or newer Model X.
The prevention of dooring incidents could eliminate many injuries to cyclists, especially in an urban setting. Dooring accounts for 10-20 percent of bike-related crashes in major cities, and over 17,000 dooring-related incidents were treated in the U.S. over the course of a decade. These usually involve fractures, contusions, and head trauma.
Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’
SpaceX gets initial stock coverage from Tesla’s biggest bull
