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Tesla poised to streamline China’s Model Y production with next-gen casting machine
It appears that Tesla China is making the necessary preparations to adopt a streamlined production process for the Model Y, and perhaps even the Model 3, in Gigafactory Shanghai. Signs of such a strategy was recently revealed in a drone flyover from Tesla enthusiast Wuwa Vision, who was able to capture images of an extension to the Phase 1 building’s body stamping area.
The tail end of Gigafactory Shanghai Phase 1 is widely considered to be allotted for body stamping activities. The section was completed together with the rest of the Phase 1 building last year before the construction of the Phase 1.5 zone (a battery and powertrain assembly facility) started. Interestingly enough, the recent drone flyover shows that workers are now expanding the body stamping area.
What’s more, the construction in the body stamping workshop involves what appeared to be deep excavations, suggesting that the area will be hosting a large machine, or at least one that is larger than the ones used in the existing Model 3 line. Patents from Tesla and statements from CEO Elon Musk have hinted at such a process—one that can very well revolutionize the Model Y’s production in China.
Interestingly enough, the massive casting machine seems to be going to the Phase 1 building, which is widely believed to be allotted only for the Model 3. The reasons behind his have not been revealed by Tesla, though it’s plausible that the new casting machine may also be used for the Model 3’s production. Otherwise, this could suggest that the Model Y may begin production in the Phase 1 area, at least until Phase 2A is complete. Such a strategy would allow Tesla to start producing the crossover despite the second phase of Gigafactory 3’s buildout still ongoing.
Last July, a patent application from Tesla was published that pointed to the utilization of a giant casting machine for the production of electric vehicles. The new casting machine will feature a central hub to receive several dies that are then assembled into specific portions of a vehicle frame before being cast. The patent, in a way, reflected Elon Musk’s comments during his appearance at the Ride the Lightning podcast, where he discussed some of the manufacturing improvements in the Model Y.
“There are some manufacturing improvements for the [Model] Y. The rear underbody we’re moving to an aluminum…casting instead of a series of stamped steel and aluminum pieces. When we get the big casting machine, it’ll go from 70 parts to 1 with a significant reduction in capital expenditure on all the robots to put those parts together,” Musk said.
Musk has mentioned this large casting machine multiple times, including in his recent appearance at the Third Row Podcast, where he mentioned that the idea was amusingly inspired by a diecast Tesla Model S on his desk. Speaking about his thought process, Musk noted that he thought the Model S diecast “doesn’t cost much, and it looks pretty detailed.” Thus, he thought that it might be a good idea to “make this bigger.”
The Model Y’s giant casting machine and its results have been teased in the ongoing teardown of the vehicle from automotive veteran Sandy Munro. Compared to the Model 3, the Model Y’s casts are larger, and the body of the car seems far more refined. With such a system in place, Tesla would be able to produce the Model Y in a faster, more efficient manner. This is extremely valuable for Tesla, since the Model Y is poised to be its most high-volume vehicle yet, with Musk stating that the crossover would likely outsell the Model S, Model X, and Model 3 combined.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
