Investor's Corner
Tesla is pushing to stay on schedule with Giga Berlin and Brandenburg officials want to help
Tesla wants to start producing its electric vehicles at its Giga Berlin facility in Germany in July 2021, and the Brandenburg local government, who is overseeing the approval of the project, is willing to help.
Reports out of Germany suggest that some of Tesla’s most prominent supporters within local government agencies, including Brandenburg’s Minister of Economic Affairs Jörg Steinbach, are willing to prolong exemptions to allow the company to stay on schedule with the construction of its production plant.
According to Sueddeutssche, the Brandenburg state government is willing to take advantage of the “limits of licensing practice.” This move would allow Tesla to begin construction of its German facility as long as the company assumes the risk. If the Brandenburg government were to deny Tesla’s application to break ground on construction, the company would be responsible for restoring the land to its original state.
The efforts to keep the project moving forward became apparent after Steinbach stated Tesla emphasized its ambition to keep the project on time. Steinbach has been one of the company’s most vocal supporters, citing the financial help the company’s presence would provide to the country. “The Tesla factory is a project that can also be an anchor on which others can stand up,” Steinbach said.
Typically, the government is required to listen to objections from local citizens who are concerned about issues a new business may cause. Tesla’s most significant problems, according to residents, were environmental, citing tree removal, and water consumption as their more prominent concerns.
However, this process cannot take place generally due to the social distancing regulations that are currently in place due to the coronavirus pandemic. Some suggested an online platform for the meeting so the company and government can confront environmental concerns. Still, the Federal Immission Control Act states the hearing must be accessible to everyone. The online format for the meeting does not fit this template, Sueddeutssche reports.
Others believe the meeting should still take place in person. Frauke Zelt, a member of the Ministry of the Environment in nearby Potsdam, said, “The replacement date has been postponed to a later date, which cannot yet be named.” Initial production dates for Tesla could delay to later in 2020 if the government plans to maintain an in-person meeting. Zelt added that there are “no special regulations for individual procedures, even if they are of great economic importance.”
Members of the Brandenburg State Government recognize the importance of Tesla’s presence within the country. The economic benefits that Tesla can provide to Brandenburg state and German as a whole would provide 12,000 employment opportunities and a sizeable injection of manufacturing into the country’s slumping economy.
Tesla’s benefits in Germany go past economic. The company’s electric vehicles will ultimately decrease the aggregate amount of carbon emissions that come from standard transportation. The company’s development of the land it purchased for the facility required the removal of 90 hectares of trees. Tesla will be replacing these trees by replanting them three-fold in areas that surround Germany.
It is evident Tesla plans to open the doors of Giga Berlin for production in July 2021. With the current pandemic derailing some of the current plans, like the previously scheduled late March groundbreaking, Tesla’s assistance could come from the most influential figures within the Brandenburg government.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) just got a price target boost from its biggest bear, Gordon Johnson of GLJ Research, who raised his expected trading level to one that is 95 percent lower than its current trading level.
Johnson pushed his Tesla price target from $19.05 to $25.28 on Wednesday, while maintaining the ‘Sell’ rating that has been present on the stock for a long time. GLJ has largely been recognized as the biggest skeptic of Elon Musk’s company, being particularly critical of the automotive side of things.
Tesla has routinely been called out by Johnson for negative delivery growth, what he calls “weakening demand,” and price cuts that have occurred in past years, all pointing to them as desperate measures to sell its cars.
Johnson has also said that Tesla is extremely overvalued and is too reliant on regulatory credits for profitability. Other analysts on the bullish side recognize Tesla as a company that is bigger than just its automotive side.
Many believe it is a leader in autonomous driving, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, who believes Tesla will have a widely successful 2026, especially if it can come through on its targets and schedules for Robotaxi and Cybercab.
Justifying the price target this week, Johnson said that the revised valuation is based on “reality rather than narrative.” Tesla has been noted by other analysts and financial experts as a stock that trades on narrative, something Johnson obviously disagrees with.
Dan Nathan, a notorious skeptic of the stock, turned bullish late last year, recognizing the company’s shares trade on “technicals and sentiment.” He said, “From a trading perspective, it looks very interesting.”
Tesla bear turns bullish for two reasons as stock continues boost
Johnson has remained very consistent with this sentiment regarding Tesla and his beliefs regarding its true valuation, and has never shied away from putting his true thoughts out there.
Tesla shares closed at $431.40 today, about 95 percent above where Johnson’s new price target lies.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock received a price target update from Pierre Ferragu of Wall Street firm New Street Research, citing the company’s growing lead in self-driving and autonomy.
On Tuesday, Ferragu bumped his price target from $520 to $600, stating that the consensus from the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas was that Tesla’s lead in autonomy has been sustained, is growing, and sits at a multiple-year lead over its competitors.
CES 2026 validates Tesla’s FSD strategy, but there’s a big lag for rivals: analyst
“The signal from Vegas is loud and clear,” the analyst writes. “The industry isn’t catching up to Tesla; it is actively validating Tesla’s strategy…just with a 12-year lag.”
The note shows that the company’s prowess in vehicle autonomy is being solidified by lagging competitors that claim to have the best method. The only problem is that Tesla’s Vision-based approach, which it adopted back in 2022 with the Model 3 and Model Y initially, has been proven to be more effective than competitors’ approach, which utilizes other technology, such as LiDAR and sensors.
Currently, Tesla shares are sitting at around $433, as the company’s stock price closed at $432.96 on Tuesday afternoon.
Ferragu’s consensus on Tesla shares echoes that of other Wall Street analysts who are bullish on the company’s stock and position within the AI, autonomy, and robotics sector.
Dan Ives of Wedbush wrote in a note in mid-December that he anticipates Tesla having a massive 2026, and could reach a $3 trillion valuation this year, especially with the “AI chapter” taking hold of the narrative at the company.
Ives also said that the big step in the right direction for Tesla will be initiating production of the Cybercab, as well as expanding on the Robotaxi program through the next 12 months:
“…as full-scale volume production begins with the autonomous and robotics roadmap…The company has started to test the all-important Cybercab in Austin over the past few weeks, which is an incremental step towards launching in 2026 with important volume production of Cybercabs starting in April/May, which remains the golden goose in unlocking TSLA’s AI valuation.”
Tesla analyst breaks down delivery report: ‘A step in the right direction’
Tesla has transitioned from an automaker to a full-fledged AI company, and its Robotaxi and Cybercab programs, fueled by the Full Self-Driving suite, are leading the charge moving forward. In 2026, there are major goals the company has outlined. The first is removing Safety Drivers from vehicles in Austin, Texas, one of the areas where it operates a ride-hailing service within the U.S.
Ultimately, Tesla will aim to launch a Level 5 autonomy suite to the public in the coming years.
Investor's Corner
Tesla Q4 delivery numbers are better than they initially look: analyst
The Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner shared his thoughts in a post on his website.
Longtime Tesla analyst and Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner Gene Munster has shared his insights on Tesla’s Q4 2025 deliveries. As per the analyst, Tesla’s numbers are actually better than they first appear.
Munster shared his thoughts in a post on his website.
Normalized December Deliveries
Munster noted that Tesla delivered 418k vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, slightly below Street expectations of 420k but above the whisper number of 415k. Tesla’s reported 16% year-over-year decline, compared to +7% in September, is largely distorted by the timing of the tax credit expiration, which pulled forward demand.
“Taking a step back, we believe September deliveries pulled forward approximately 55k units that would have otherwise occurred in December or March. For simplicity, we assume the entire pull-forward impacted the December quarter. Under this assumption, September growth would have been down ~5% absent the 55k pull-forward, a Deepwater estimate tied to the credit’s expiration.
“For December deliveries to have declined ~5% year over year would imply total deliveries of roughly 470k. Subtracting the 55k units pulled into September results in an implied December delivery figure of approximately 415k. The reported 418k suggests that, when normalizing for the tax credit timing, quarter-over-quarter growth has been consistently down ~5%. Importantly, this ~5% decline represents an improvement from the ~13% declines seen in both the March and June 2025 quarters.“
Tesla’s United States market share
Munster also estimated that Q4 as a whole might very well show a notable improvement in Tesla’s market share in the United States.
“Over the past couple of years, based on data from Cox Automotive, Tesla has been losing U.S. EV market share, declining to just under 50%. Based on data for October and November, Cox estimates that total U.S. EV sales were down approximately 35%, compared to Tesla’s just reported down 16% for the full quarter. For the first two months of the quarter, Cox reported Tesla market share of roughly a 65% share, up from under 50% in the September quarter.
“While this data excludes December, the quarter as a whole is likely to show a material improvement in Tesla’s U.S. EV market share.“
Elon Musk’s X will start using a Tesla-like software update strategy
Tesla FSD Supervised wins MotorTrend’s Best Driver Assistance Award
