Investor's Corner
Tesla is pushing to stay on schedule with Giga Berlin and Brandenburg officials want to help
Tesla wants to start producing its electric vehicles at its Giga Berlin facility in Germany in July 2021, and the Brandenburg local government, who is overseeing the approval of the project, is willing to help.
Reports out of Germany suggest that some of Tesla’s most prominent supporters within local government agencies, including Brandenburg’s Minister of Economic Affairs Jörg Steinbach, are willing to prolong exemptions to allow the company to stay on schedule with the construction of its production plant.
According to Sueddeutssche, the Brandenburg state government is willing to take advantage of the “limits of licensing practice.” This move would allow Tesla to begin construction of its German facility as long as the company assumes the risk. If the Brandenburg government were to deny Tesla’s application to break ground on construction, the company would be responsible for restoring the land to its original state.
The efforts to keep the project moving forward became apparent after Steinbach stated Tesla emphasized its ambition to keep the project on time. Steinbach has been one of the company’s most vocal supporters, citing the financial help the company’s presence would provide to the country. “The Tesla factory is a project that can also be an anchor on which others can stand up,” Steinbach said.
Typically, the government is required to listen to objections from local citizens who are concerned about issues a new business may cause. Tesla’s most significant problems, according to residents, were environmental, citing tree removal, and water consumption as their more prominent concerns.
However, this process cannot take place generally due to the social distancing regulations that are currently in place due to the coronavirus pandemic. Some suggested an online platform for the meeting so the company and government can confront environmental concerns. Still, the Federal Immission Control Act states the hearing must be accessible to everyone. The online format for the meeting does not fit this template, Sueddeutssche reports.
Others believe the meeting should still take place in person. Frauke Zelt, a member of the Ministry of the Environment in nearby Potsdam, said, “The replacement date has been postponed to a later date, which cannot yet be named.” Initial production dates for Tesla could delay to later in 2020 if the government plans to maintain an in-person meeting. Zelt added that there are “no special regulations for individual procedures, even if they are of great economic importance.”
Members of the Brandenburg State Government recognize the importance of Tesla’s presence within the country. The economic benefits that Tesla can provide to Brandenburg state and German as a whole would provide 12,000 employment opportunities and a sizeable injection of manufacturing into the country’s slumping economy.
Tesla’s benefits in Germany go past economic. The company’s electric vehicles will ultimately decrease the aggregate amount of carbon emissions that come from standard transportation. The company’s development of the land it purchased for the facility required the removal of 90 hectares of trees. Tesla will be replacing these trees by replanting them three-fold in areas that surround Germany.
It is evident Tesla plans to open the doors of Giga Berlin for production in July 2021. With the current pandemic derailing some of the current plans, like the previously scheduled late March groundbreaking, Tesla’s assistance could come from the most influential figures within the Brandenburg government.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
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