Investor's Corner
Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in China starts preparations with 6-month construction permit
Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in China is under a very ambitious timeline, considering that electric car maker is expecting to start producing vehicles on the site sometime in the second half of 2019. So far, preparations for the buildout of the upcoming facility are being put in place, including the construction of a perimeter fence that surrounds the company’s 864,885-square meter plot of land in Shanghai’s Lingang Industrial Zone.
Just recently, documents have emerged pointing to Tesla acquiring a construction permit to start building facilities for Gigafactory 3. The construction permit, which was granted by the Shanghai Municipal Government, is good for two stages of construction and effective for 180 days, starting from December 29, 2018. The contractor for the project was listed as China Construction Third Engineering Bureau Co., Ltd, a subsidiary of China Construction, a large government-owned construction firm.
Tesla China has obtained a construction permit (GF3) from the Shanghai Municipal Government. The construction permit date starts from December 29, 2018.
Constructor: China Construction Third Engineering Bureau Co.,Ltd
Credit: @congcongcui1 $TSLA #Tesla $China #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/ThvUkgPIpG— vincent (@vincent13031925) January 2, 2019
It should be noted that the involvement of a government-owned construction company bodes well for Gigafactory 3’s buildout. With such parties involved, after all, there is little that could get in the way of the project being completed on time. Thus, for now, at least, it would appear that the speed of Gigafactory 3’s construction would likely depend on how fast Tesla can ship and set up its assembly lines for the upcoming facility. If Tesla can accomplish this, there is a very good chance that China’s first locally-made Model 3 would indeed roll out of Gigafactory 3 sometime in the second half of 2019.
So far, Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 buildout has been seeing notable support from the Chinese government. Last year, China all but changed its rules for Tesla when it allowed the company to be the sole owner of Gigafactory 3. After the project was officially announced, things moved at an even faster pace. Local Shanghai banks were quick to grant low-interest loans to fund part of Gigafactory 3’s construction. Tesla’s bid for the 864,885-square meter plot of land in Shanghai’s Lingang Industrial Zone also went unchallenged, allowing the electric car maker to secure the land it needed for the facility without any problems.
While Tesla attracts some negative publicity in China, the company also gets support and favorable coverage from state media. Last month, for one, local Chinese news outlets reported that the facility’s progress is about one year ahead of its original schedule. Shanghai Mayor Ying Yong and Vice Mayor Wu Qing also addressed Gigafactory 3 during a meetup with Tesla’s leaders in China, where they urged the electric car maker and companies involved in the facility’s construction to expedite the factory’s buildout.
When Tesla announced its initial timeline for Gigafactory 3, many were skeptical. The company initially estimated that vehicle production would begin roughly two years after construction begins. This was met by many raised eyebrows from Tesla critics and Wall Street, with Consumer Edge Research analyst James Albertine dubbing the timetable as “not feasible.” Tesla eventually adjusted its timeframe for Gigafactory 3 on its Q3 2018 vehicle production and deliveries report. Instead of being more conservative, though, Tesla opted to do the opposite, stating that it is accelerating the construction of the upcoming Shanghai facility.
Elon Musk, for his part, has teased that he would be visiting China soon for the groundbreaking of Gigafactory 3. Once that is done, the progress of the battery and electric car facility would likely move at an even faster pace.
Thanks Tesla owners in China! Looking forward to visiting soon for the groundbreaking of Gigafactory Shanghai!
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) December 30, 2018
Investor's Corner
Tesla wins $508 price target from Stifel as Robotaxi rollout gains speed
The firm cited meaningful progress in Tesla’s robotaxi roadmap, ongoing Full Self-Driving enhancements, and the company’s long-term growth initiatives.
Tesla received another round of bullish analyst updates this week, led by Stifel, raising its price target to $508 from $483 while reaffirming a “Buy” rating. The firm cited meaningful progress in Tesla’s robotaxi roadmap, ongoing Full Self-Driving enhancements, and the company’s long-term growth initiatives.
Robotaxi rollout, FSD updates, and new affordable cars
Stifel expects Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to expand into 8–10 major metropolitan areas by the end of 2025, including Austin, where early deployments without safety drivers are targeted before year-end. Additional markets under evaluation include Nevada, Florida, and Arizona, as noted in an Investing.com report. The firm also highlighted strong early performance for FSD Version 14, with upcoming releases adding new “reasoning capabilities” designed to improve complex decision-making using full 360-degree vision.
Tesla has also taken steps to offset the loss of U.S. EV tax credits by launching the Model Y Standard and Model 3 Standard at $39,990 and $36,990, Stifel noted. Both vehicles deliver more than 300 miles of range and are positioned to sustain demand despite shifting incentives. Stifel raised its EBITDA forecasts to $14.9 billion for 2025 and $19.5 billion for 2026, assigning partial valuation weightings to Tesla’s FSD, robotaxi, and Optimus initiatives.
TD Cowen also places an optimistic price target
TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating with a $509 price target after a research tour of Giga Texas, citing production scale and operational execution as key strengths. The firm posted its optimistic price target following a recent Mobility Bus tour in Austin. The tour included a visit to Giga Texas, which offered fresh insights into the company’s operations and prospects.
Additional analyst movements include Truist Securities maintaining its Hold rating following shareholder approval of Elon Musk’s compensation plan, viewing the vote as reducing leadership uncertainty.
@teslarati Tesla Full Self-Driving yields for pedestrians while human drivers do not…the future is here! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ 2 Little 2 Late – Levi & Mario
Investor's Corner
Tesla receives major institutional boost with Nomura’s rising stake
The move makes Tesla Nomura’s 10th-largest holding at about 1% of its entire portfolio.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has gained fresh institutional support, with Nomura Asset Management expanding its position in the automaker.
Nomura boosted its Tesla holdings by 4.2%, adding 47,674 shares and bringing its total position to more than 1.17 million shares valued at roughly $373.6 million. The move makes Tesla Nomura’s 10th-largest holding at about 1% of its entire portfolio.
Institutional investors and TSLA
Nomura’s filing was released alongside several other fund updates. Brighton Jones LLC boosted its holdings by 11.8%, as noted in a MarketBeat report, and Revolve Wealth Partners lifted its TSLA position by 21.2%. Bison Wealth increased its Tesla stake by 52.2%, AMG National Trust Bank increased its position in shares of Tesla by 11.8%, and FAS Wealth Partners increased its TSLA holdings by 22.1%. About 66% of all outstanding Tesla shares are now owned by institutional investors.
The buying comes shortly after Tesla reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, posting $0.50 per share compared with the $0.48 consensus. Revenue reached $28.10 billion, topping Wall Street’s $24.98 billion estimate. Despite the earnings beat, Tesla continues to trade at a steep premium relative to peers, with a market cap hovering around $1.34 trillion and a price-to-earnings ratio near 270.
Recent insider sales
Some Tesla insiders have sold stock as of late. CFO Vaibhav Taneja sold 2,606 shares in early September for just over $918,000, reducing his personal stake by about 21%. Director James R. Murdoch executed a far larger sale, offloading 120,000 shares for roughly $42 million and trimming his holdings by nearly 15%. Over the past three months, Tesla insiders have collectively sold 202,606 shares valued at approximately $75.6 million, as per SEC disclosures.
Tesla is currently entering its next phase of growth, and if it is successful, it could very well become the world’s most valuable company as a result. The company has several high-profile projects expected to be rolled out in the coming years, including Optimus, the humanoid robot, and the Cybercab, an autonomous two-seater with the potential to change the face of roads across the globe.
@teslarati Tesla Full Self-Driving yields for pedestrians while human drivers do not…the future is here! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ 2 Little 2 Late – Levi & Mario
Investor's Corner
Ron Baron states Tesla and SpaceX are lifetime investments
Baron, one of Tesla’s longest-standing bulls, reiterated that his personal stake in the company remains fully intact even as volatility pressures the broader market.
Billionaire investor Ron Baron says he isn’t touching a single share of his personal Tesla holdings despite the recent selloff in the tech sector. Baron, one of Tesla’s longest-standing bulls, reiterated that his personal stake in the company remains fully intact even as volatility pressures the broader market.
Baron doubles down on Tesla
Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Baron stated that he is largely unfazed by the market downturn, describing his approach during the selloff as simply “looking” for opportunities. He emphasized that Tesla remains the centerpiece of his long-term strategy, recalling that although Baron Funds once sold 30% of its Tesla position due to client pressure, he personally refused to trim any of his personal holdings.
“We sold 30% for clients. I did not sell personally a single share,” he said. Baron’s exposure highlighted this stance, stating that roughly 40% of his personal net worth is invested in Tesla alone. The legendary investor stated that he has already made about $8 billion from Tesla from an investment of $400 million when he started, and believes that figure could rise fivefold over the next decade as the company scales its technology, manufacturing, and autonomy roadmap.
A lifelong investment
Baron’s commitment extends beyond Tesla. He stated that he also holds about 25% of his personal wealth in SpaceX and another 35% in Baron mutual funds, creating a highly concentrated portfolio built around Elon Musk–led companies. During the interview, Baron revisited a decades-old promise he made to his fund’s board when he sought approval to invest in publicly traded companies.
“I told the board, ‘If you let me invest a certain amount of money, then I will promise that I won’t sell any of my stock. I will be the last person out of the stock,’” he said. “I will not sell a single share of my shares until my clients sold 100% of their shares. … And I don’t expect to sell in my lifetime Tesla or SpaceX.”
Watch Ron Baron’s CNBC interview below.
@teslarati :rotating_light: This is why you need to use off-peak rates at Tesla Superchargers! #tesla #evcharging #fyp ♬ Blue Moon – Muspace Lofi
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Tesla adds new surprising fee to Robotaxi program
