Investor's Corner
Tesla reveals Model 3 Performance “Dual Motor” badge and new pricing
Tesla has given the Model 3 Performance and Dual Motor AWD a considerable price cut. Now, a fully-loaded Model 3 Performance costs $72,000 without Autopilot and Full Self-Driving, $6,000 less than its initial price of $78,000. Buyers opting for the non-performance variant Model 3 with dual motors and a Long Range battery pack can expect to pay $53,000, $1000 less than before. Tesla’s pricing for Enhanced Autopilot and Full Self-Driving remains the same at $5,000 and $3000, respectively, though FSD will cost $5,000 when added after delivery.
Overall, Tesla was able to achieve a significant price drop for the Model 3 Performance by making some of its features (now dubbed as a $5,000 Premium Package) optional, such as its 20″ Performance Wheels, Michelin Pilot Sport 4S summer tires, carbon fiber rear spoiler, aluminum alloy pedals, and a top speed boost that enables the electric car to max out at 155 mph. White seats and premium paint choices are also optional at $1,500 each. Without these, the Model 3 Performance, with its 0-60 mph time of 3.5 seconds and 310-mile range, could be bought for $64,000.
Particularly notable in the screenshots above is Tesla’s inclusion of the company’s Premium Connectivity package, an update that the company announced earlier this week.
“All orders placed before July 1 will receive Premium Connectivity with satellite maps with live traffic visualization, in-car streaming media and over-the-air updates via Wi-Fi & cellular,” reads the description for the Select Interior option in Tesla’s Model 3 Design Studio.
An image in the configurator also reveals, for the first time, that Model 3 Performance Dual Motor will have a “Dual Motor” badge with a red underline that Tesla has made synonymous with performance.
With the price adjustments to the Model 3 Performance, Tesla has managed to make its compact electric car an even more compelling purchase than before. At its original price of $78,000, the Model 3 Performance was already reasonably priced compared to established leaders in the high-performance compact segment, such as the BMW M3, Mercedes AMG C63S, and the Audi RS5, all of which can approach the $100,000 mark when fully loaded (the C63S actually breaches the $100,000 mark). With its adjusted price, the Model 3 Performance, which Elon Musk claimed would be 15% faster around the track than a BMW M3, just became a bargain.
The price drop trickled down to the Model 3 Dual Motor AWD as well. Prior to the recent adjustments, the additional motor for the vehicle cost an extra $5,000. Now, the Dual Motor variant costs only $4,000 more than the Long Range RWD version of the electric car. As of date, the delivery window for the Tesla Model 3 Performance is listed at 2-4 months. The Model 3 Dual Motor AWD, on the other hand, is listed with a 3-5-month delivery window, similar to the Long Range RWD variant of the compact electric car.
The Model 3 is Tesla’s first attempt at making a mass-market vehicle. Since starting production of the electric car in the middle of 2017, however, the production of the car has been beset with challenge after challenge, causing the company to miss its targets for the Model 3’s production numbers. As Q2 2018 ends, however, Tesla is closer than ever to attaining its goal of producing 5,000 Model 3 per week by the end of June, thanks in part to a new assembly line in a massive sprung structure on the grounds of the Fremont factory. In a recent tweet, Elon Musk noted that GA3, one of the Model 3 assembly lines inside the Fremont factory, is practically doing something miraculous. Sightings over the past weekend of lots filled to the brim with Model 3 were also spotted by Tesla fans, suggesting that the company has attained a production pace it has never reached before.
Tesla received a price target boost from Morgan Stanley, according to a new note on Monday morning, but there is some considerable caution also being communicated over the next year or so.
Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco took over Tesla coverage for the firm from longtime bull Adam Jonas, who appears to be focusing on embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.
Percoco took over and immediately adjusted the price target for Tesla from $410 to $425, and changed its rating on shares from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’
Percoco said he believes Tesla is the leading company in terms of electric vehicles, manufacturing, renewable energy, and real-world AI, so it deserves a premium valuation. However, he admits the high expectations for the company could provide for a “choppy trading environment” for the next year.
He wrote:
“However, high expectations on the latter have brought the stock closer to fair valuation. While it is well understood that Tesla is more than an auto manufacturer, we expect a choppy trading environment for the TSLA shares over the next 12 months, as we see downside to estimates, while the catalysts for its non-auto businesses appear priced at current levels.”
Percoco also added that if market cap hurdles are achieved, Morgan Stanley would reduce its price target by 7 percent.
Perhaps the biggest change with Percoco taking over the analysis for Jonas is how he will determine the value of each individual project. For example, he believes Optimus is worth about $60 per share of equity value.
He went on to describe the potential value of Full Self-Driving, highlighting its importance to the Tesla valuation:
“Full Self Driving (FSD) is the crown jewel of Tesla’s auto business; we believe that its leading-edge personal autonomous driving offering is a real game changer, and will remain a significant competitive advantage over its EV and non-EV peers. As Tesla continues to improve its platform with increased levels of autonomy (i.e., hands-off, eyes-off), it will revolutionize the personal driving experience. It remains to be seen if others will be able to keep pace.”
Additionally, Percoco outlined both bear and bull cases for the stock. He believes $860 per share, “which could be in play in the next 12 months if Tesla manages through the EV-downturn,” while also scaling Robotaxi, executing on unsupervised FSD, and scaling Optimus, is in play for the bull case.
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Meanwhile, the bear case is placed at $145 per share, and “assumes greater competition and margin pressure across all business lines, embedding zero value for humanoids, slowing the growth curve for Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to reflect regulatory challenges in scaling a vision-only perception stack, and lowering market share and margin profile for the autos and energy businesses.”
Currently, Tesla shares are trading at around $441.
Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.
“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Short, and was portrayed by Christian Bale.
Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”
Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation
For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.
Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.
While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.
Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.
In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.
Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.
It closed at $430.14 on Monday.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
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