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Why Tesla Model Y tax credit inclusion is good for some and bad for others
The Tesla Model Y complete lineup was recently added to the IRS list of qualifying vehicles that will give buyers a $7,500 tax credit. While it may seem like the company’s huge price cuts coupled with the tax credit would be good for everyone, it spells bad news for competitors that offer comparable EVs in the same category.
On Friday, the Model Y’s entire lineup was added to the list of qualifying vehicles after the U.S. Department of Treasury said, “The change will allow crossover vehicles that share similar features to be treated consistently.” The Model Y’s five-seat configurations did not reach the weight requirement to be considered SUVs and were put in another category that included “All Other Vehicles.” The price limit to qualify for the tax credit differs by $25,000: $55,000 for All Others, and $80,000 for SUVs.
Tesla Model Y’s complete lineup now qualifies for EV tax credits through Inflation Reduction Act
The inclusion is obviously a good thing for consumers, and events that transpired afterward are good for the investors. With Tesla’s $13,000 price cut on Model Y configurations in early January, the automaker had quadrupled the vehicle’s addressable market. At the same time, it had offered a substantial discount to some who could already justify the purchase, and if they were on the fence, there’s no denying that this inevitably won them over.
Lower prices mean more sales. The Model Y was already making waves in terms of Tesla’s total concentration of sales by model, and it has routinely competed with the Model 3 in various markets and won in many of them. However, the cuts meant Tesla would have to eat some of its margins, which were incredibly high, trailing only Ferrari and BMW in that category. Analysts and more hellbent investors who are obsessed with the company making as much money as possible may not have loved the price cuts, and Tesla obviously will not be making as much of a profit per vehicle. However, on Saturday, following the Model Y’s inclusion to the qualifying vehicles list, Tesla bumped up prices by $1,500.
Is it the $13,000 the automaker trimmed in January? No, absolutely not. But Tesla is already making considerable money on each unit, and the company’s industry-leading tech and Supercharging network are inevitably what will win consumers over, especially as the vehicle is still vastly more affordable than before. With Tesla reaching 1.313 million deliveries last year in 2022, the company has pulled out all the stops to get sales figures off to a fast start in 2023, with various discounts and other programs to push vehicles out the door.
Credit: Tesla
The old saying goes that one’s trash is another’s treasure, and in this instance, the competition is getting the trash while consumers are getting the treasure. Tesla’s massive price cuts and now qualifying tax credits make it a pretty simple choice for consumers. Without a doubt, one of the biggest issues with EV ownership, or at least in the broad consensus of the average consumer, is “Where will I charge my EV?” While this question still makes me chuckle to myself and want to say, “That thing you live in can do it. You know? Your house?” It’s much more complex than that.
A charging network is really what sets Tesla apart from the others. Some consumers may have been willing to spend a little extra to have the confidence that they could be surrounded by charging options, and Tesla is really the only automaker that has such broad options in terms of charging that it really doesn’t have a current competitor. If Tesla does end up opening up its network to other EVs, then this conversation changes. Of course, other companies out there have a robust infrastructure that is quickly growing. Still, these companies are often plagued by maintenance issues, rising costs, and a less-than-desirable experience.
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Tesla is already controlling a majority of the U.S. market for electric vehicles, and there are worthy competitors. Volkswagen, Ford, and General Motors all have a wide variety of strategies in their plans to dethrone Tesla. Meanwhile, Polestar, Rivian, Lucid, and other startups are still working through their issues, which are usually money-related.
Tesla is well ahead of the curve, especially as it has already figured out mass production and launched a lineup of competitive vehicles with plans of more styles and applications to come. The inclusion of the Model Y, which CEO Elon Musk believes will be the best-selling car in the world one day, to the tax credit program only spells disaster for the companies attempting to catch up. Meanwhile, Tesla sits comfortably in the driver’s seat, and there does not seem to be any true comparison in current sight.
Disclosure: Joey Klender does own Tesla stock.
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In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.
Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.
Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue
Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.
The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”
Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”
Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”
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Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.
Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.
SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.
The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.
Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.
There are plenty of ways the company can do this:
Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts
SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.
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High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity
The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.
Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.
Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.
High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online
GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.
Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications
Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.
These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.
Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages
SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.
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Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.
SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.
Tesla headlights have caused a recall of over 20,000 of the company’s two most popular vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y, due to the low-beam bulb exceeding the maximum allowed intensity according to federal standards.
Tesla initiated the recall with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) this morning, stating that the low-beam output “exceeds the maximum allowed intensity in the outer upper-right and outer upper-left areas of the 10U and 90U zone, as prescribed in FMVSS No. 108.”
Tesla sourced the impacted headlights from Marelli Automotive Lighting, a Mexico-based company. The recall impacts 2020-2023 Model Y vehicles and 2017-2023 Model 3 vehicles. It is estimated that every VIN in this recall is impacted by the defect.
🚨 Tesla is recalling 20,349 2020-23 Model Y vehicles and 2017-23 Model 3 vehicles due to an excessively bright headlamp low beam.
Currently, there is no remedy plan in place, as it is still being developed. pic.twitter.com/y34cIO2U0B
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) August 11, 2026
Typically, Tesla would remedy recalls of this nature through an Over-the-Air software update, which has been a major focus of criticism by the company and its supporters because the NHTSA still refers to it as a “recall,” even though it requires no action by the vehicle owner. The fix is shipped over the internet and downloaded to the car.
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However, there appears to be a potentially different solution for this problem. Tesla has not developed a remedy for this issue, so it could potentially be on the way. The big issue appears to be the fact that these recalled lamps are out of production, and this is an old body style for both vehicles. The headlights and front-end designs are completely different.
Tesla switched to another supplier when the affected headlight design was discontinued. It plans to begin notifying owners of their remedy options by September 15.
Tesla filed a petition protesting the recall to fix the vehicles’ headlight issue, but the NHTSA denied it. Now, Tesla will come up with a solution to fix it.
Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley
SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says
