Investor's Corner

Tesla Q4 delivery numbers on deck as the company pushes to meet annual guidance

After a somewhat slow start that resulted in adjusted guidance during the first half of this year, Tesla Motors knocked out a record-setting third quarter with vehicle deliveries up 114% over the same quarter in 2015 and 72% over Q2. The company also managed to bring in a profit in the third quarter for the first time since 2014. All that good news has translated into high expectations for the final quarter of the year.

Tesla started off the year with plans to deliver between 80,000 and 90,000 cars in 2016. Because of a slower than expected ramp up in Model X production in the first half of the year, the company lowered its overall guidance at the end of Q3 to 79,000 cars. To get there, the company needs to deliver 25,000 vehicles or more this quarter. Will Tesla hit its mark?

Tesla quarterly vehicles deliveries based on SEC filings. [Source: Daniel Sparks via Motley Fool]

Tesla quarterly vehicles deliveries based on SEC filings. [Source: Daniel Sparks via The Motley Fool]

It depends on sales of the Model S says financial analyst Daniel Sparks of The Motley Fool. Tesla has several incentives for buyers this quarter including the $1,000 discount via a continuation of its referral program and free unlimited Supercharger access for buyers that place an order on a new Model S or Model X by the end of the year. Vehicles purchased in 2017 will be entitled to 400 kWh of free electricity a year — enough for about 1,000 miles of driving. After that, drivers will pay a small fee designed to cover the cost of electricity used.

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