New data on Tesla registrations from the year’s first quarter is splitting and confusing analysts.
Tesla is by far the top EV seller in the United States. According to new data from Experian, Tesla still controls more marketshare than all 23 of its competitors combined. Nonetheless, many of the indicators from the new data are setting off alarms for some analysts, creating divided opinions and confusion.
Besides Tesla’s continuing marketshare success, initially reported by Automotive News, a couple of warning signs were found in the new batch of data on vehicle registrations in the U.S. Foremost is the concern about weakening demand for Tesla vehicles. As noted by the Automotive News report, while Tesla’s first-quarter delivery numbers were by no means bad, they were far from mind-blowing, growing just 3.7% from Q4 ’22. More disturbing to some analysts, Tesla’s year-over-year growth shrank by over 40% to 35%.
Analysts’ concerns culminated in the Experian report’s findings, showing that Tesla’s marketshare had dropped drastically to 58%, despite the incredibly aggressive price cuts it has instituted since the beginning of the year. Some even argued that this is just more evidence that the price cuts put in place will continue into the future and that they are more necessary than ever.
These market results and conclusions have spiraled into two primary arguments. The first is whether Tesla’s price cuts are necessary, but the second, perhaps more notable, is whether Tesla needs to be concerned about its Q1 results.
Both sides of these arguments have pointed to Tesla’s growing competition, particularly within the luxury segment, as evidence. Traditional luxury players, including Mercedes, Porsche, and BMW, have all seen their EV sales numbers grow dramatically as their customers become more accustomed to the offerings. However, it remains unclear if this growth is at the detriment of Tesla or is simply adding to a wave of demand for EVs overall, hence lowering Tesla’s marketshare.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has pointed to two hurdles that may be affecting the automaker’s market success; record-high interest rates and lingering inflation. But not everyone is convinced that just macroeconomic forces are working against Tesla.
Analysts from iSeeCars argue that many market forces are currently working against the EV leader, including the aforementioned increase in competition. Specifically, the analysts point to the Model S, which has recently fallen from America’s top 10 most popular EVs after a long period of leadership in the segment.
Tesla’s solution to these issues thus far has been continual price cuts, hoping to attract a new set of lower-budget buyers. However, even this strategy has its drawbacks. Not only is Tesla slowly cutting away at its profit margins, which remain industry-leading, but it may also be damaging its brand image, a critical part of any luxury offering.
Looking forward, with an increasing number of offerings from new and old competitors alike, Tesla certainly has its work cut out for it. Nonetheless, many remain hopeful. Despite the rising competition, interest in Tesla vehicles continues to climb, along with their overall sales, even with its supposed sinking growth rate. Nonetheless, Tesla’s success or failure may only become apparent in the coming quarters as it looks to introduce new models, new product upgrades, and much more.
What do you think of the article? Do you have any comments, questions, or concerns? Shoot me an email at william@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @WilliamWritin. If you have news tips, email us at tips@teslarati.com!
News
Tesla offers interesting promo to future ride-hailing rival’s drivers
Lyft drivers will get $1,000 in vehicle credits if they complete 100 rides by the cutoff date for the promo.
Tesla has offered an interesting promotion for its vehicles to the drivers of one of its future ride-hailing rivals as it continues to work toward the launch of its autonomous Robotaxi platform.
This morning, Tesla launched a $1,000 off promotion to Lyft drivers who plan to utilize one of the company’s EVs for ride-hailing purposes. The promo applies to all five Tesla models: the Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, and Cybertruck.
It is not offered at the point of sale. Instead, to ensure the vehicle is properly utilized for ride-hailing purposes and to prove the discount, Tesla will offer $1,000 in vehicle credits to the Lyft driver after they complete 100 trips on or before July 13, 2025. Delivery must be taken by June 30.
🚨 Tesla is offering $1,000 off for those who purchase a vehicle for Lyft purposes! https://t.co/ND9sKiykMW pic.twitter.com/AP8tSP1cbN
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) May 16, 2025
It is an interesting move by Tesla because Lyft, along with Uber, will become a rival in the coming years as the companies continue to develop driverless ride-hailing platforms of their own. Lyft has partnered with May Mobility and Mobileye to develop driverless, fully autonomous vehicles purpose-built for ride-hailing.
Tesla plans to launch its Robotaxi platform next month in Austin, Texas.
Meanwhile, Lyft’s plans are more down the road. Earlier this year, the company said it would launch autonomous rides sometime next year.
For now, the move seems to be just another way Tesla is incentivizing consumers to buy one of their vehicles. Earlier this week, it also launched another $1,000 off promo for teachers, students, retirees, active-duty members, their spouses, and surviving spouses.
Previously, Tesla only offered that discount to military members.
It is unclear why Tesla would be offering these discounts, but it could be more of a thank you or an act of recognition, more than anything. If it were a measure that was taken to increase demand, it would be substantially more of a discount. For example, when Tesla was trying to rid its inventory of legacy Model Y units as the new, updated vehicle was set to be released, discounts were over $5,000.
News
Tesla Giga Berlin seems to be using FSD Unsupervised to move Model Y units
Tesla may be doing something quite special in the Giga Berlin-Brandenburg complex.
Tesla may be doing something quite special in the Giga Berlin-Brandenburg complex. Based on observations from a recent drone flyover of the site, it appears that Tesla may also be using FSD Unsupervised to move freshly produced Model Y vehicles to the factory’s staging area.
New Drone Footage
Recent footage of the Giga Berlin complex from longtime Tesla watcher Tobias Lindh included several interesting updates around the Model Y factory. These include a new warehouse that is currently being built, as well as a tunnel is currently being constructed. More interestingly, the drone operator observed that some cars now seem to be moving to Giga Berlin’s distribution area without human drivers.
If the drone operator’s observations prove accurate, it would be quite an impressive accomplishment for Tesla. FSD Unsupervised, after all, has only been confirmed in vehicles that are produced at the Fremont Factory and Gigafactory Texas.
Potential Next Steps
If Giga Berlin is now using FSD Unsupervised to transport some Model Y units from the factory building to the site’s staging area, it might only be a matter of time before Tesla also implements a similar system for Gigafactory Shanghai. The Shanghai-based Tesla plant, after all, is the company’s largest factory by volume, and it also serves as a primary vehicle export hub. FSD Unsupervised could then pave the way for Giga Shanghai to operate in an even more optimal manner.
FSD Unsupervised is the cornerstone of Tesla’s robotaxi business, which is expected to start rolling out in Austin, Texas, next month. Previous reports have suggested that Tesla is pushing hard in its preparations to roll out its robotaxi service this June. Tesla has reportedly even worked and trained with Austin’s first responders from the fire and police departments as part of its robotaxi service preparations.
Check out a recent flyover of the Tesla Giga Berlin complex in the video below.
Investor's Corner
Tesla welcomes Chipotle President Jack Hartung to its Board of Directors
Tesla announced the addition of its new director in a post on social media platform X.
Tesla has welcomed Chipotle president Jack Hartung to its Board of Directors. Hartung will officially start his tenure at the electric vehicle maker on June 1, 2025.
Tesla announced the addition of its new director in a post on social media platform X.
Jack Hartung’s Role
With Hartung’s addition, the Tesla Board will now have nine members. It’s been a while since the company added a new director. Prior to Hartung, the last addition to the Tesla Board was Airbnb co-founder Joe Gebbia back in 2022. As noted in a Reuters report, Hartung will serve on the Tesla Board’s audit committee. He will also retire from his position as president and chief strategy officer at Chipotle, and transition into a senior advisor’s role at the restaurant chain, next month.
Hartung has had a long career in the Mexican grill, joining Chipotle in 2002. He held several positions in the company, most recently serving as Chipotle’s President and Chief Strategy Officer. Tesla highlighted Hartung’s accomplishments in a post on its official account on X.
“Over the past 20+ years under Jack’s financial leadership, Chipotle has seen significant growth with over 3,700 restaurants today across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. Jack was named ‘CFO of the Year’ by Orange County Business Journal and Best CFO in the restaurant category by Institutional Investor,” Tesla wrote in its post on X.
Tesla Board and Musk
Tesla is a controversial company with a controversial CEO, so it is no surprise that the Board of Directors tend to get flak as well. Two weeks ago, for example, Tesla Board Chair Robyn Denholm slammed The Wall Street Journal for publishing an article alleging that company directors had considered a search for a potential successor to Elon Musk. Denholm herself has also been criticized for offloading her TSLA shares.
More recently, news emerged suggesting that the Tesla Board of Directors had formed a special committee aimed at exploring a new pay package for CEO Elon Musk. The committee is reportedly comprised of Tesla board Chair Robyn Denholm and independent director Kathleen Wilson-Thompson, and they would be exploring alternative compensation methods for Musk’s contributions to the company.
Tesla offers interesting promo to future ride-hailing rival’s drivers
Tesla Giga Berlin seems to be using FSD Unsupervised to move Model Y units
Tesla welcomes Chipotle President Jack Hartung to its Board of Directors
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