Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) ended 2023 trading at $248.48 per share. While it may seem like the electric vehicle maker’s shares have been stuck between $200 and $250 per share for months, a closer look at TSLA stock’s performance over the year suggests that the electric vehicle maker actually saw some impressive growth in 2023.
As observed by avid Tesla watchers on social media, TSLA stock closed out 2023 with a total gain of 101.7%. This represented the stock’s third-best yearly gain to date. For context, Tesla grew an impressive 344% in 2013 and a whopping 743% in 2020. Tesla delivered a total of 499,550 vehicles in 2020, a number that the company achieved in but a few months this year.
The 102% gain experienced by Tesla stock is particularly impressive as it shows a strong rebound from 2022. Tesla had a brutal 2022, with the stock taking a 65% drop over the year. This represented TSLA stock’s worst year on record. Tesla saw numerous challenges in 2022, such as the mandatory shutdown of Giga Shanghai due to Covid-19 and Elon Musk’s offloading of shares to fund his takeover of Twitter.
NEWS: $TSLA stock closed out 2023 with a total gain of 101.7%, the stock’s third best yearly gain ever.$TSLA yearly performance:
2011: +7%
2012: +18%
2013: +344%
2014: +48%
2015: +8%
2016: -11%
2017: +46%
2018: +7%
2019: +25%
2020: +743%
2021: +49%
2022: -65%
2023: +102% pic.twitter.com/mebrfUDHVz— Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt) December 29, 2023
Tesla’s 2023 proved to be a lot smoother than 2022. The company immediately adopted an aggressive stance against its competitors by initiating a series of serious price cuts to its entire vehicle lineup, with some vehicles receiving as much as 20% off their previous price. Tesla’s price cuts became such a notable force that it triggered a price war in China. The company eventually had to sign a truce of sorts with its Chinese rivals to ensure that the country’s EV market remained competitive and fair.
Tesla also successfully launched two new vehicles in 2022. The first is the upgraded Model 3, better known in EV circles as the Model 3 Highland, which is currently produced exclusively in Giga Shanghai. The highly-anticipated Tesla Cybertruck also started its consumer deliveries in late November.
Even Elon Musk’s activities on X, the social media platform formerly known as Twitter, have leveled out. Musk still attracted controversy after controversy in 2023, but he no longer offloaded his personal Tesla shares to fund the social media platform. This was a departure from 2022, when Musk offloaded a total of around $22.9 billion worth of TSLA shares for his acquisition of Twitter.
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Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.
“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Short, and was portrayed by Christian Bale.
Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”
Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation
For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.
Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.
While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.
Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.
In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.
Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.
It closed at $430.14 on Monday.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2 – Full Review, the Good and the Bad
When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
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