Investor's Corner
Tesla embraced by Wall St. as rave reviews for Model 3 Performance continue to roll in
Nearly a week after Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) surprised Wall Street with a relatively better-than-expected earnings report and a more humble Elon Musk, investors held steady, skirting any stock sell-off to retain a 15% gain or roughly $7 billion in market cap. Investor confidence can be attributed to Wall Street’s more optimistic outlook on the company’s immediate future, as well as the consistently positive reviews being received by the Model 3 Performance.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas recently maintained an equal-weight rating on the company’s shares and a $291 price target, citing a higher forecast for Tesla’s deliveries in the third quarter. Jonas still believes that Tesla would need to raise around $2.5 billion sometime this year, but he sees the electric car maker delivering 50,400 Model 3 in Q3, more than 30% up from his previous delivery forecast of 33,600 for the third quarter.
“It seems the company has been forced to think more creatively about how to run a leaner operation following its various operational and manufacturing issues. Tesla appears to be applying a greater amount of cash discipline,” Jonas said.
Tesla’s stock has held steady since the company’s successful Q2 earnings call, which saw the Elon Musk and other executives affirm their goals of making Tesla cash flow positive in the third quarter moving forward. Contrary to Jonas’ expectations, Musk was firm in the idea that Tesla will not be raising equity at any time soon, with projects such as Gigafactory 3 in China being funded by local debt.
“We do not – we will not be raising any equity at any point, at least that’s – I have no expectation of doing so, do not plan to do so. For China, I think, our default plan will be to use essentially a loan from the local banks in China and fund the Gigafactory in Shanghai with local debt, essentially. And we certainly could raise money, but I think we don’t need to and we – yeah, I think, it’s better to – it is better discipline not to,” Musk said.
Amidst what appears to be a stabilization in TSLA stock are rave reviews from major auto publications about the Model 3 Performance. The Wall Street Journal‘s Dan Neil described the car as a “magnificent” piece of auto engineering that is “representative of the next step in the history of autos.” Kim Reynolds of Motor Trend, while describing a brief sprint in a freeway ramp, stated that “in maybe 120 wheel revolutions, a high-performance hierarchy has been rattled.” Veteran auto journalist Matthew DeBord wrote in a test drive of the vehicle that with the Model 3 Performance, “velocity simply happens… like you’ve Vulcan mind-melded with the laws of physics.”
Even Jalopnik, a publication that is never one to hesitate when pointing out Tesla’s flaws, gave a positive review of the vehicle, with journalist Patrick George calling the car “the most impressive Tesla I’ve driven to date, and easily the most fun.” Mike Ballaban, also from Jalopnik, even raved about the car’s seats, stating that the Model 3 now “takes the crown for Best Seats,” beating out Volvo’s legendary seats in the S60.
The rave reviews showering the Model 3 Performance could be seen as a validation of the massive sprung structure that Tesla built near the end of the second quarter to hit its goal of producing 5,000 units of the electric car in a week. Among the assumptions expressed by Tesla’s critics about the new assembly line was that they would result in vehicles with poor build quality. Tesla VP for trucks Jerome Guillen stated in the Q2 earnings call that all Model 3 Performance are assembled in the sprung structure, but so far, there have been no complaints or even comments about build quality in all the professional reviews that have been written of the vehicle.
The Model 3 Performance is quickly developing into one of Tesla’s most compelling vehicles to date. Apart from the fun factor, it provides due to its nimble nature, the vehicle’s performance figures are also starting to impress. The Model 3 Performance has been recorded showing numbers superior to Tesla’s estimates, with a recent 0-60 mph run with a full battery being listed at 3.18 seconds, far quicker than its listed 3.5-second 0-60 time.
Investor's Corner
Tesla’s flying Roadster just revealed something bigger than the car
Analysts say the Roadster demo puts a Tesla and SpaceX merger back on the table.
The Roadster unveiling near Waco ended Thursday night, and by Friday morning much of the investor reaction had less to do with the car than with who owns the rocket technology inside it.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said the event “puts the Tesla/SpaceX relationship on the table in a tangible way,” pointing to the propulsion, pressure vessel and control hardware sitting on a Tesla product. Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management called the demo “a ridiculous display of engineering” with “no commercial value” beyond embarrassing traditional automakers, though he said it showed Musk wants the two companies together.
The more specific forecast came a day earlier from Barclays. Analyst Dan Levy told clients a deal could be announced before Tesla’s annual meeting, which must happen by December 6, and that an announcement in late October or early November could make shareholder approval harder. Barclays expects SpaceX to be the buyer in an all stock deal, with Tesla holders receiving SpaceX shares at a premium, based on market values of roughly $2.1 trillion for SpaceX and $1.5 trillion for Tesla. If nothing lands around the meeting, the bank still sees an announcement within 6 to 12 months.
The Roadster demo just added more weight to merger speculations. Tesla’s demo used cold gas thrusters and pressure tanks of the kind SpaceX uses on Falcon 9, and Musk described the car as a collaboration between Tesla and SpaceX engineers, as we mentioned in our breakdown of the three Roadster configurations.
Musk has not publicly addressed a deal since the event, as far as we have seen. His most direct answer remains the one he gave at the All In Summit, when he said that with so much collaboration, “who can imagine what action one might take” without ruling anything out. Ives has held to a 2027 timeline since his March note, and Musk pushed back on the China piece of the speculation when ARK floated a year end announcement in August.
The next test is Tesla’s third quarter earnings call on October 21. However, we recall in July that Musk told analysts, “we can’t talk about combining companies and that kind of thing on an earnings call,” so a clear answer wouldn’t be expected.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk breaks his silence on the Starlink impact to Ukraine drones
Musk says the US military and president set Starshield limits, not SpaceX, amid Ukraine complaints.
Elon Musk says the speed limit cutting out Ukraine’s military Starlink terminals is not SpaceX’s decision. In a post on X Wednesday, Musk wrote that “Starshield systems are owned and controlled by the US government. Any limits on speed or usage are decided by the US military and ultimately POTUS.” He added that Starlink is a commercial service limited to civilian or defensive activities and “cannot be used for offensive military action, as doing so would be inappropriate for a commercial company.”
He was replying to Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine’s former defense minister, who had thanked Musk for restoring connectivity at speeds up to 160 km/h and said removing the Starshield limit entirely is “now critical for Ukraine’s defense.”
Starshield systems are owned and controlled by the US government. Any limits on speed or usage are decided by the US military and ultimately POTUS.
Starlink is a commercial service owned and controlled by SpaceX. Usage of Starlink is limited to civilian or defensive activities and cannot be used for offensive military action, as doing so would be inappropriate for a commercial company.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 14, 2026
The complaint started Tuesday night, when Ukrainian officials said military terminals began losing service above roughly 100 mph. Presidential adviser Serhiy Beskrestnov said the defense forces got no warning and several missions were disrupted, as Teslarati reported earlier Wednesday. The 7th Rapid Reaction Corps told Reuters connections dropped for 10 to 20 seconds at speeds well below the limit, which made drones harder to control. Poland’s foreign minister, Radoslaw Sikorski, asked Musk on X whether he is “playing politics with your products again.”
That is why the Starlink and Starshield distinction matters. SpaceX introduced Starshield in 2022 as the government version of Starlink, with an initial focus on Earth observation, communications and hosted payloads. It won a Space Force contract in 2023 with a $70 million ceiling. In December 2024, the Pentagon moved Ukraine’s terminals onto Starshield, covering about 3,000 units across two contracts. Ukraine’s military connections therefore run through a service that Musk now says sits under Washington’s control.
While Musk’s post describes who holds authority, it does not infer that anyone ordered the limit, and neither SpaceX nor the US government has confirmed who set it. Ukrainian officials have pointed to the timing, which follows President Trump’s push for an energy ceasefire and Musk’s Saturday post that “Zelensky has gone too far.” The BBC noted Trump denied threatening to restrict intelligence sharing with Kyiv, and no evidence has been presented that Washington requested the cap.
The episode also revives a promise from 2025. After Poland accused him of threatening Ukraine’s access, Musk said Starlink “will never turn off its terminals” and would not be used as a bargaining chip. Poland has since supplied more than 29,000 terminals to Ukraine. Teslarati also covered Kyiv’s search for Starlink alternatives in 2025, and the latest dispute gives that search new urgency.
Investor's Corner
Tesla opens the Q&A for its biggest earnings call yet
Tesla opens its Q3 earnings Q&A, and Cybercab, Robotaxi, Optimus and regulators loom over October 21.
Tesla has opened its shareholder question portal for the Q3 2026 earnings call, with the Say Q&A page already listing questions. Investors have until 4:00 p.m. EDT on October 20 to submit and vote on what management should answer.
The call is set for Wednesday, October 21. Tesla will post results after the market closes, with a live webcast at 4:30 p.m. CT, or 5:30 p.m. ET, through its investor relations site.
Say ranks questions by the number of shares behind the votes, which gives institutional holders extra weight over the retail crowd.
Ahead of Q2, retail investors asked why Robotaxi growth had stalled, when Cybercab would start customer rides, and where the Optimus Gen 3 ramp stood, while an institutional holder asked how Tesla and SpaceX would split Terafab duties. Cybercab has since answered one of those. Tesla said last week it has 300 plus Cybercabs serving Austin, up eightfold in 30 days, with Dallas named as the next city. The questions now are likely to move from when to how fast.
There is also a regulatory question hanging over the call. NHTSA has demanded sworn answers on how the pedal free Cybercab was certified against federal safety standards, with responses due October 30, nine days after the call. Whether an analyst raises it live is unknown, but it is the kind of exposure that tends to find its way into a Q&A.
The numbers will not be the main draw. Tesla already reported 486,532 deliveries and 13.7 GWh of storage for the quarter. Consensus sits around 43 to 45 cents per share on roughly $27.8 billion in revenue, according to Zacks, after a Q2 report that missed on EPS. Goldman Sachs, which holds a Neutral rating and a $360 target, argues the outlook for Robotaxi, FSD and Optimus will matter more to the stock than the quarter itself.
The call also lands six days after the rescheduled Roadster event, which Tesla will stream on X on Thursday, October 15, at 7:55 p.m. CT. If the Roadster shows up with a production date or a SpaceX thruster package, expect it to climb the voting list before the deadline.
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