Investor's Corner
Tesla embraced by Wall St. as rave reviews for Model 3 Performance continue to roll in
Nearly a week after Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) surprised Wall Street with a relatively better-than-expected earnings report and a more humble Elon Musk, investors held steady, skirting any stock sell-off to retain a 15% gain or roughly $7 billion in market cap. Investor confidence can be attributed to Wall Street’s more optimistic outlook on the company’s immediate future, as well as the consistently positive reviews being received by the Model 3 Performance.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas recently maintained an equal-weight rating on the company’s shares and a $291 price target, citing a higher forecast for Tesla’s deliveries in the third quarter. Jonas still believes that Tesla would need to raise around $2.5 billion sometime this year, but he sees the electric car maker delivering 50,400 Model 3 in Q3, more than 30% up from his previous delivery forecast of 33,600 for the third quarter.
“It seems the company has been forced to think more creatively about how to run a leaner operation following its various operational and manufacturing issues. Tesla appears to be applying a greater amount of cash discipline,” Jonas said.
Tesla’s stock has held steady since the company’s successful Q2 earnings call, which saw the Elon Musk and other executives affirm their goals of making Tesla cash flow positive in the third quarter moving forward. Contrary to Jonas’ expectations, Musk was firm in the idea that Tesla will not be raising equity at any time soon, with projects such as Gigafactory 3 in China being funded by local debt.
“We do not – we will not be raising any equity at any point, at least that’s – I have no expectation of doing so, do not plan to do so. For China, I think, our default plan will be to use essentially a loan from the local banks in China and fund the Gigafactory in Shanghai with local debt, essentially. And we certainly could raise money, but I think we don’t need to and we – yeah, I think, it’s better to – it is better discipline not to,” Musk said.
Amidst what appears to be a stabilization in TSLA stock are rave reviews from major auto publications about the Model 3 Performance. The Wall Street Journal‘s Dan Neil described the car as a “magnificent” piece of auto engineering that is “representative of the next step in the history of autos.” Kim Reynolds of Motor Trend, while describing a brief sprint in a freeway ramp, stated that “in maybe 120 wheel revolutions, a high-performance hierarchy has been rattled.” Veteran auto journalist Matthew DeBord wrote in a test drive of the vehicle that with the Model 3 Performance, “velocity simply happens… like you’ve Vulcan mind-melded with the laws of physics.”
Even Jalopnik, a publication that is never one to hesitate when pointing out Tesla’s flaws, gave a positive review of the vehicle, with journalist Patrick George calling the car “the most impressive Tesla I’ve driven to date, and easily the most fun.” Mike Ballaban, also from Jalopnik, even raved about the car’s seats, stating that the Model 3 now “takes the crown for Best Seats,” beating out Volvo’s legendary seats in the S60.
The rave reviews showering the Model 3 Performance could be seen as a validation of the massive sprung structure that Tesla built near the end of the second quarter to hit its goal of producing 5,000 units of the electric car in a week. Among the assumptions expressed by Tesla’s critics about the new assembly line was that they would result in vehicles with poor build quality. Tesla VP for trucks Jerome Guillen stated in the Q2 earnings call that all Model 3 Performance are assembled in the sprung structure, but so far, there have been no complaints or even comments about build quality in all the professional reviews that have been written of the vehicle.
The Model 3 Performance is quickly developing into one of Tesla’s most compelling vehicles to date. Apart from the fun factor, it provides due to its nimble nature, the vehicle’s performance figures are also starting to impress. The Model 3 Performance has been recorded showing numbers superior to Tesla’s estimates, with a recent 0-60 mph run with a full battery being listed at 3.18 seconds, far quicker than its listed 3.5-second 0-60 time.
A Tesla analyst today said that investors should not lose sight of what is truly important in the grand scheme of being a shareholder, and that any near-term drama between CEO Elon Musk and U.S. President Donald Trump should not outshine the progress made by the company.
Gene Munster of Deepwater Management said that Tesla’s progress in autonomy is a much larger influence and a significantly bigger part of the company’s story than any disagreement between political policies.
Munster appeared on CNBC‘s “Closing Bell” yesterday to reiterate this point:
“One thing that is critical for Tesla investors to remember is that what’s going on with the business, with autonomy, the progress that they’re making, albeit early, is much bigger than any feud that is going to happen week-to-week between the President and Elon. So, I understand the reaction, but ultimately, I think that cooler heads will prevail. If they don’t, autonomy is still coming, one way or the other.”
BREAKING: GENE MUNSTER SAYS — $TSLA AUTONOMY IS “MUCH BIGGER” THAN ANY FEUD 👀
He says robotaxis are coming regardless ! pic.twitter.com/ytpPcwUTFy
— TheSonOfWalkley (@TheSonOfWalkley) July 2, 2025
This is a point that other analysts like Dan Ives of Wedbush and Cathie Wood of ARK Invest also made yesterday.
On two occasions over the past month, Musk and President Trump have gotten involved in a very public disagreement over the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which officially passed through the Senate yesterday and is making its way to the House of Representatives.
Musk is upset with the spending in the bill, while President Trump continues to reiterate that the Tesla CEO is only frustrated with the removal of an “EV mandate,” which does not exist federally, nor is it something Musk has expressed any frustration with.
In fact, Musk has pushed back against keeping federal subsidies for EVs, as long as gas and oil subsidies are also removed.
Nevertheless, Ives and Wood both said yesterday that they believe the political hardship between Musk and President Trump will pass because both realize the world is a better place with them on the same team.
Munster’s perspective is that, even though Musk’s feud with President Trump could apply near-term pressure to the stock, the company’s progress in autonomy is an indication that, in the long term, Tesla is set up to succeed.
Tesla launched its Robotaxi platform in Austin on June 22 and is expanding access to more members of the public. Austin residents are now reporting that they have been invited to join the program.
Elon Musk
Tesla surges following better-than-expected delivery report
Tesla saw some positive momentum during trading hours as it reported its deliveries for Q2.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) surged over four percent on Wednesday morning after the company reported better-than-expected deliveries. It was nearly right on consensus estimations, as Wall Street predicted the company would deliver 385,000 cars in Q2.
Tesla reported that it delivered 384,122 vehicles in Q2. Many, including those inside the Tesla community, were anticipating deliveries in the 340,000 to 360,000 range, while Wall Street seemed to get it just right.
Tesla delivers 384,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, deploys 9.6 GWh in energy storage
Despite Tesla meeting consensus estimations, there were real concerns about what the company would report for Q2.
There were reportedly brief pauses in production at Gigafactory Texas during the quarter and the ramp of the new Model Y configuration across the globe were expected to provide headwinds for the EV maker during the quarter.
At noon on the East Coast, Tesla shares were up about 4.5 percent.
It is expected that Tesla will likely equal the number of deliveries it completed in both of the past two years.
It has hovered at the 1.8 million mark since 2023, and it seems it is right on pace to match that once again. Early last year, Tesla said that annual growth would be “notably lower” than expected due to its development of a new vehicle platform, which will enable more affordable models to be offered to the public.
These cars are expected to be unveiled at some point this year, as Tesla said they were “on track” to be produced in the first half of the year. Tesla has yet to unveil these vehicle designs to the public.
Dan Ives of Wedbush said in a note to investors this morning that the company’s rebound in China in June reflects good things to come, especially given the Model Y and its ramp across the world.
He also said that Musk’s commitment to the company and return from politics played a major role in the company’s performance in Q2:
“If Musk continues to lead and remain in the driver’s seat, we believe Tesla is on a path to an accelerated growth path over the coming years with deliveries expected to ramp in the back-half of 2025 following the Model Y refresh cycle.”
Ives maintained his $500 price target and the ‘Outperform’ rating he held on the stock:
“Tesla’s future is in many ways the brightest it’s ever been in our view given autonomous, FSD, robotics, and many other technology innovations now on the horizon with 90% of the valuation being driven by autonomous and robotics over the coming years but Musk needs to focus on driving Tesla and not putting his political views first. We maintain our OUTPERFORM and $500 PT.”
Moving forward, investors will look to see some gradual growth over the next few quarters. At worst, Tesla should look to match 2023 and 2024 full-year delivery figures, which could be beaten if the automaker can offer those affordable models by the end of the year.
Investor's Corner
Tesla delivers 384,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, deploys 9.6 GWh in energy storage
The quarter’s 9.6 GWh energy storage deployment marks one of Tesla’s highest to date.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has released its Q2 2025 vehicle delivery and production report. As per the report, the company delivered over 384,000 vehicles in the second quarter of 2025, while deploying 9.6 GWh in energy storage. Vehicle production also reached 410,244 units for the quarter.
Model 3/Y dominates output, ahead of earnings call
Of the 410,244 vehicles produced during the quarter, 396,835 were Model 3 and Model Y units, while 13,409 were attributed to Tesla’s other models, which includes the Cybertruck and Model S/X variants. Deliveries followed a similar pattern, with 373,728 Model 3/Ys delivered and 10,394 from other models, totaling 384,122.
The quarter’s 9.6 GWh energy storage deployment marks one of Tesla’s highest to date, signaling continued strength in the Megapack and Powerwall segments.
Year-on-year deliveries edge down, but energy shows resilience
Tesla will share its full Q2 2025 earnings results after the market closes on Wednesday, July 23, 2025, with a live earnings call scheduled for 4:30 p.m. CT / 5:30 p.m. ET. The company will publish its quarterly update at ir.tesla.com, followed by a Q&A webcast featuring company leadership. Executives such as CEO Elon Musk are expected to be in attendance.
Tesla investors are expected to inquire about several of the company’s ongoing projects in the upcoming Q2 2025 earnings call. Expected topics include the new Model Y ramp across the United States, China, and Germany, as well as the ramp of FSD in territories outside the US and China. Questions about the company’s Robotaxi business, as well as the long-referenced but yet to be announced affordable models are also expected.
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