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Investor's Corner

Tesla investors should ‘enjoy it while it lasts,’ says man who predicted 2007 housing collapse

(Credit: nickyp3d via Instagram)

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Tesla stock will come crumbling down, at least that’s what Michael Burry, the man who predicted the 2007 United States housing bubble’s collapse in 2007, says.

Burry’s status as a financial prediction guru was captured in “The Big Short,” a novel turned into a Hollywood hit starring Steve Carrell and Christian Bale, who played Burry in the film. After putting an over $5 billion short on the housing market to collapse in 2007, Burry and his investors took away billions of dollars in gains, and he is predicting the same thing to happen to Tesla soon.

“Well, my last Big Short got bigger and bigger and BIGGER too,” Burry said in a now-deleted Tweet. “Enjoy it while it lasts,” he added.

In December, Burry became the most recent big-time investor to publicly admit that he was shorting Tesla stock, a move that cost those in the position over $38 billion in 2020 due to the electric automaker’s over 700% gain on Wall Street during the year. It was an unlikely scenario: a car company with limited production facilities trying to sell electric cars in the middle of a pandemic. Despite this, Tesla shares continued to rise, and 2021 is appearing to be no different.

Earlier this week, Tesla officially passed Facebook for the sixth-most valuable company in the world based on market capitalization. Additionally, the surge in stock price so far in 2021 has made Elon Musk, the company’s CEO, the richest person in the world. He officially passed Amazon frontman Jeff Bezos for the #1 spot on Thursday.

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Elon Musk passes Jeff Bezos as World’s Richest Person

Burry’s December tweet that revealed his short position was reminiscent of an email that was sent out by CEO Elon Musk, where he stated the company could be “crushed like a souffle.” “Sell that #TeslaSouffle,” Burry tweeted after stating the company had “a current ridiculous price.”

Tesla is no stranger to short-sellers, though. Through the years, the automaker has been called every name in the book by notorious hedge fund managers and investment gurus who are convinced that Tesla is on its way down. Several of these investors have admitted defeat in their mission to make money off of Tesla’s downfall. Still, several are sticking to their guns, even though it has already cost them millions of dollars.

David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital Re is one of them. Einhorn has traded barbs with Musk on Twitter for the public to feast on in the past, but despite his very public losses that he reported during his fund’s Q3 Earnings, he still cannot seem to trim back his short position. Tesla was a main contributor to the 14.9% decrease Einhorn saw in gross written premiums, the 10.7% decrease in net premiums, and a $22.8 million loss during the first nine months of 2020.

Tesla has continued to scale its production, figure out efficiencies in manufacturing, and continue on an already widely-successful product with its electric vehicles. The automaker’s focus in 2020 was battery cells and production, and it outlined its roadmap to making EVs affordable in the coming years through mass-production of EV cells. Tesla is the most successful EV company globally, dominating market share in many countries, and contributing to an accelerated transition to sustainable transportation. While some in the world are telling you to sell, the big winners are reiterating their desire for investors to get in while they can, supporting a company whose mission is much larger than money.

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Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

Investor's Corner

Tesla gets $475 price target from Benchmark amid initial Robotaxi rollout

Tesla’s limited rollout of its Robotaxi service in Austin is already catching the eye of Wall Street.

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Credit: Tesla

Venture capital firm Benchmark recently reiterated its “Buy” rating and raised its price target on Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) from $350 to $475 per share, citing the company’s initial Robotaxi service deployment as a sign of future growth potential.

Benchmark analyst Mickey Legg praised the Robotaxi service pilot’s “controlled and safety-first approach,” adding that it could help Tesla earn the trust of regulators and the general public.

Confidence in camera-based autonomy

Legg reiterated Benchmark’s belief in Tesla’s vision-only approach to autonomous driving. “We are a believer in Tesla’s camera-focused approach that is not only cost effective but also scalable,” he noted. 

The analyst contrasted Tesla’s simple setup with the more expensive hardware stacks used by competitors like Waymo, which use various sophisticated sensors that hike up costs, as noted in an Investing.com report. Compared to Tesla’s Model Y Robotaxis, Waymo’s self-driving cars are significantly more expensive.

He also pointed to upcoming Texas regulations set to take effect in September, suggesting they could help create a regulatory framework favorable to autonomous services in other cities.

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“New regulations for autonomous vehicles are set to go into place on Sept. 1 in TX that we believe will further help win trust and pave the way for expansion to additional cities,” the analyst wrote.

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Tesla as a robotics powerhouse

Beyond robotaxis, Legg sees Tesla evolving beyond its roots as an electric vehicle maker. He noted that Tesla’s humanoid robot, Optimus, could be a long-term growth driver alongside new vehicle programs and other future initiatives.

“In our view, the company is undergoing an evolution from a trailblazing vehicle OEM to a high-tech automation and robotics company with unmatched domestic manufacturing scale,” he wrote.

Benchmark noted that Tesla stock had rebounded over 50% from its April lows, driven in part by easing tariff concerns and growing momentum around autonomy. With its initial Robotaxi rollout now underway, the firm has returned to its previous $475 per share target and reaffirmed TSLA as a Benchmark Top Pick for 2025.

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Tesla blacklisted by Swedish pension fund AP7 as it sells entire stake

A Swedish pension fund is offloading its Tesla holdings for good.

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(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla shares have been blacklisted by the Swedish pension fund AP7, who said earlier today that it has “verified violations of labor rights in the United States” by the automaker.

The fund ended up selling its entire stake, which was worth around $1.36 billion when it liquidated its holdings in late May. Reuters first reported on AP7’s move.

Other pension and retirement funds have relinquished some of their Tesla holdings due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement in politics, among other reasons, and although the company’s stock has been a great contributor to growth for many funds over the past decade, these managers are not willing to see past the CEO’s right to free speech.

However, AP7 says the move is related not to Musk’s involvement in government nor his political stances. Instead, the fund said it verified several labor rights violations in the U.S.:

“AP7 has decided to blacklist Tesla due to verified violations of labor rights in the United States. Despite several years of dialogue with Tesla, including shareholder proposals in collaboration with other investors, the company has not taken sufficient measures to address the issues.”

Tesla made up about 1 percent of the AP7 Equity Fund, according to a spokesperson. This equated to roughly 13 billion crowns, but the fund’s total assets were about 1,181 billion crowns at the end of May when the Tesla stake was sold off.

Tesla has had its share of labor lawsuits over the past few years, just as any large company deals with at some point or another. There have been claims of restrictions against labor union supporters, including one that Tesla was favored by judges, as they did not want pro-union clothing in the factory. Tesla argued that loose-fitting clothing presented a safety hazard, and the courts agreed.

tesla employee

(Photo: Tesla)

There have also been claims of racism at the Fremont Factory by a former elevator contractor named Owen Diaz. He was awarded a substantial sum of $137m. However, U.S. District Judge William Orrick ruled the $137 million award was excessive, reducing it to $15 million. Diaz rejected this sum.

Another jury awarded Diaz $3.2 million. Diaz’s legal team said this payout was inadequate. He and Tesla ultimately settled for an undisclosed amount.

AP7 did not list any of the current labor violations that it cited as its reason for

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Investor's Corner

xAI targets $5 billion debt offering to fuel company goals

Elon Musk’s xAI is targeting a $5B debt raise, led by Morgan Stanley, to scale its artificial intelligence efforts.

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(Credit: xAI)

xAI’s $5 billion debt offering, marketed by Morgan Stanley, underscores Elon Musk’s ambitious plans to expand the artificial intelligence venture. The xAI package comprises bonds and two loans, highlighting the company’s strategic push to fuel its artificial intelligence development.

Last week, Morgan Stanley began pitching a floating-rate term loan B at 97 cents on the dollar with a variable interest rate of 700 basis points over the SOFR benchmark, one source said. A second option offers a fixed-rate loan and bonds at 12%, with terms contingent on investor appetite. This “best efforts” transaction, where the debt size hinges on demand, reflects cautious lending in an uncertain economic climate.

According to Reuters sources, Morgan Stanley will not guarantee the issue volume or commit its own capital in the xAI deal, marking a shift from past commitments. The change in approach stems from lessons learned during Musk’s 2022 X acquisition when Morgan Stanley and six other banks held $13 billion in debt for over two years.

Morgan Stanley and the six other banks backing Musk’s X acquisition could only dispose of that debt earlier this year. They capitalized on X’s improved operating performance over the previous two quarters as traffic on the platform increased engagement around the U.S. presidential elections. This time, Morgan Stanley’s prudent strategy mitigates similar risks.

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Beyond debt, xAI is in talks to raise $20 billion in equity, potentially valuing the company between $120 billion and $200 billion, sources said. In April, Musk hinted at a significant valuation adjustment for xAI, stating he was looking to put a “proper value” on xAI during an investor call.

As xAI pursues this $5 billion debt offering, its financial strategy positions it to lead the AI revolution, blending innovation with market opportunity.

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