Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) first-quarter earnings call comes on the heels of a surprisingly powerful quarter that saw the electric car maker posting $5.985 billion in revenue and an earnings per share of $1.24, beating Wall Street’s estimates.
As revealed in the company’s Q1 2020 Update Letter, Tesla currently sits on $8.1 billion in cash, which should help the company weather the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. Tesla Model Y production has also outpaced the initial ramp of the Made-in-China Model 3. This is a notable feat considering the fact that Tesla China’s Model 3 ramp is already far quicker than the company’s push for the sedan in Fremont.
For today’s earnings call, Tesla executives are expected to address questions surrounding the company’s plans for the coming quarters, especially amidst the effects of the pandemic. Updates on future projects such as the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster may also be mentioned, as well as more details on future Tesla Energy projects.
The following are live updates from Tesla’s Q1 2020 earnings call. I will be updating this article in real-time, so please keep refreshing the page to view the latest updates on this story. The first entry starts at the bottom of the page.
16:36 PT – And that’s a wrap everyone! This earnings call got a bit intense thanks to Elon’s COVID-19 comments, but otherwise, it continued to emphasize that Tesla is well on its way towards optimizing its operations, from its production to the deployment of its new products to consumers.
16:35 PT – Pierre Ferragu from New Street Research asks for an update on Tesla’s gross margins. Kirkhorn stated that when Tesla looks at margins, credits are included. Shutdown inefficiencies in Fremont and Shanghai weighed down Tesla’s margins as well. The CFO did note that Tesla saw strength in gross margins across the board despite lower volumes.
Ferragu follows up with a question on energy storage and how demand is always outstripping supply. As with other battery questions asked during this earnings call, VP of Technology Drew Baglino noted that this inquiry will be addressed on Battery Day.
16:30 PT – Gene Munster from Loup Ventures asks about the Tesla Network and the company’s Robotaxi strategy. Elon states that much testing is needed for such capabilities to be rolled out. Musk discusses how Tesla rolls out its new Autopilot and FSD functionalities. He emphasized that each feature passes through several stages, from simulation to EAP to wide release.
Musk did state that he hopes full functionality of FSD will be released by the end of the year. After this point, it’s just a matter of refining the system. Initial Robotaxi services will likely start with human drivers to supervise the vehicles. But with more data, Tesla can propose a fully-autonomous ride-hailing service to regulators. Musk hopes to accomplish this to some degree next year.
16:20 PT – Ben Kallo of Baird takes the stage. He asks about Tesla’s cell strategy. The answer? Tesla does not have one specific model, though details of this would be discussed on Battery Day.
16:10 PT – Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley takes the stage. He asks about updates on Tesla’s liquidity this April. CFO Kirkhorn stated that he doesn’t have much color to add, though he emphasized that Tesla has over $8 billion in cash. He also reiterated that Tesla has more inventory now due to the effects of the pandemic.
Elon did admit that he is a bit worried about the Fremont factory’s ongoing shutdown. He reiterates his recent controversial points on Twitter, criticizing the ongoing lockdown procedures in the Bay Area. He did state that it is not only Tesla that is at risk with the ongoing shutdown, as other companies are also in crisis now.
When asked about his message to lawmakers on how to handle the C-19 crisis, Musk stated that he believes people should be allowed to leave their homes. He does this with a number of choice words. These will be very controversial statements.
16:06 PT – Now for a question about Tesla’s plan to move into the residential HVAC business. Musk noted that Tesla actually does this well already with the Model S and Model X, since both vehicles have hospital-grade filters. He also mentioned that Tesla’s HVAC could be all-in-one water creator, hot water heater, and HVAC rolled into one device.
Musk also reiterated the demand for the company’s battery storage solutions. He stated that Tesla has enough demand for its battery storage systems, at least for 2020.
16:00 PT – Next up is the Solar Roof ramp and forecasts for 2021. Elon noted that before COVID-19 shut everything down, Tesla’s Solar Roof ramp was actually seeing a lot of momentum. He remains optimistic about the flagship product nonetheless. “I’m confident that maybe by the end of the year, we may be installing about a thousand a week,” Musk said.
“Demand is good, production is good. The hold up is the installation,” Musk stated, stating that installing the Solar Roof is the hard part, with 1,000 teams installing 1,000 roofs per week.
16:00 PT – Retail investors’ questions from Say are up. Next Giga announcement? Elon says that it will happen within the next three months. He did state that the next Gigafactory will be in the United States. That’s the Cybertruck facility. Perhaps that facility will also produce the Semi? It makes sense considering that Fremont is already at full capacity with Model S, 3, X, and Y.
15:55 PT – Ah, the Battery Day question. Elon states that there will be many exciting news to tell on Battery Day. It will likely be one of the most exciting days in Tesla’s history, Musk stated. The event will likely be held around the third week of May.
As for FSD commercialization, Kirkhorn explained that in North America, Tesla takes about half of the $7,000 FSD cost for revenue while the other half is dedicated for more feature development. Deferred revenue from autopilot a little over $600M as well. Musk notes that there is a tremendous untapped potential for Autopilot and FSD as in-app purchases as well. It looks like the subscription model is indeed happening, at least for existing customers.
15:53 PT – Now it’s the COVID-19 question and how Tesla will come out of the experience. Musk states that Tesla is focusing on investing in improving and developing its products. There is an uncertainty, and there is a bumpy road, but “long-term prospects are extremely good,” Musk noted. Kirkhorn stated that Tesla’s digital nature actually deals with the pandemic situation well, with touchless deliveries and other similar initiatives. “For most people, they would rather go to the dentist than to buy a car… For Tesla, it’s as easy as ordering something from Apple’s app store or Amazon,” he said.
15:50 PT – Next question is China’s subsidies, which the MIC Model 3 does not meet today. Elon announced that Tesla China will be reducing the price of the Standard Range Model 3, allowing the vehicle to meet the requirements of the government’s subsidies. Kirkhorn adds that the cost of producing the vehicle in Shanghai is already lower than the costs of production in Fremont, and there are still opportunities to optimize this further.
15:48 PT – Questions from Say begin. First off is the possibility of FSD subscriptions. Elon states that it makes sense to buy FSD an investment in the future, and Tesla is confident of its long-term value. Kirkhorn agreed, though he stated that a subscription model can allow owners to spread out the expenses for such an option. “Our goal is to do the best thing for customers,” Musk said.
15:45 PT – CFO Zach Kirkhorn takes the stage. He begins by highlighting how the Model Y started with profitability, something that has not been accomplished in the past. Kirkhorn stated that Tesla did not see much effects from the expiration of the federal regulatory credits. Model 3 production in China is going well too.
That being said, Kirkhorn mentioned that Tesla did meet some headwinds. Production inefficiencies still happened, such as with the ramp of Solar Roof V3. The CFO added that Model Y in Shanghai and Berlin are on track, and for now, Gigafactory 3 remains the one factory that is still operating fully.
15:40 PT – Musk also touched on the Model Y’s two-piece casting design, which will make production more optimized while saving weight and cost. He also mentioned the introduction of the Model Y’s heat pump, which helps the Model Y maintain its industry-leading range despite being larger than the Model 3. Musk also stated that the reception to the Model Y from customers has been “universally positive.”
In conclusion, Tesla will be continuing Model Y production at full speed in Fremont, Shanghai, and when it’s ready, Berlin. Musk lightly remarked that this is a forward-looking statement, though he stated that by next year, he believes Tesla can have a capacity of 1 million cars per year.
15:35 PT – Elon Musk states that Tesla was able to make a profit despite the ongoing headwinds in the market and a seasonally soft quarter. Model Y production in Fremont in Q1 was faster than the first two quarters of Model 3 production. The Y is also profitable from launch, something that has not happened before.
Elon also touched on Tesla’s Traffic Light and Stop Sign Control feature. He is very optimistic, stating that the feature is growing at a rapid rate. Each use of the feature trains Tesla’s Neural Net further. “I feel extremely confident that it will be possible to do a drive from your home to your office with minimal interventions by the end of the year,” Musk said.
Musk also spoke about the Model S and Model X range increases. Musk stated that the real Model S test was 400 miles, but the vehicle ended up losing 2% of its range before it was tested. “The true range of the Model S for the past two months is 400 miles. We’re not stopping now,” Musk added.
15:33 PT – Senior investor relations officer Martin Viecha takes the floor. Elon Musk and Zachary Kirkhorn are present. Elon Musk takes the stage with his opening remarks.
15:30 PT – And the call begins, though Tesla seems to be a bit delayed. I’m strangely wondering if the call will be held using Skype or Zoom due to social distancing rules. That would make this earnings call extra interesting.
15:25 PT – T-5 minutes until the earnings call is scheduled to begin. Now it’s just a matter of seeing if Tesla will start in Elon Time V1.0 or Elon Time V2.0.
15:15 PT – It is time once more for Tesla’s quarterly earnings report! It’s pretty amazing that they were able to end the first quarter with a profit. Imagine that. A profit. In the first quarter. With some of it being under a literal global pandemic. The Q1 2020 Update Letter is full of interesting details. Fasten your seatbelts, everyone. This will be very interesting.
Tesla $TSLA Q1 2020 results: Beats on revenue, Model Y sets historic profit on launch https://t.co/0Z5Ym5t4eh
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) April 29, 2020
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) just got a price target boost from its biggest bear, Gordon Johnson of GLJ Research, who raised his expected trading level to one that is 95 percent lower than its current trading level.
Johnson pushed his Tesla price target from $19.05 to $25.28 on Wednesday, while maintaining the ‘Sell’ rating that has been present on the stock for a long time. GLJ has largely been recognized as the biggest skeptic of Elon Musk’s company, being particularly critical of the automotive side of things.
Tesla has routinely been called out by Johnson for negative delivery growth, what he calls “weakening demand,” and price cuts that have occurred in past years, all pointing to them as desperate measures to sell its cars.
Johnson has also said that Tesla is extremely overvalued and is too reliant on regulatory credits for profitability. Other analysts on the bullish side recognize Tesla as a company that is bigger than just its automotive side.
Many believe it is a leader in autonomous driving, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, who believes Tesla will have a widely successful 2026, especially if it can come through on its targets and schedules for Robotaxi and Cybercab.
Justifying the price target this week, Johnson said that the revised valuation is based on “reality rather than narrative.” Tesla has been noted by other analysts and financial experts as a stock that trades on narrative, something Johnson obviously disagrees with.
Dan Nathan, a notorious skeptic of the stock, turned bullish late last year, recognizing the company’s shares trade on “technicals and sentiment.” He said, “From a trading perspective, it looks very interesting.”
Tesla bear turns bullish for two reasons as stock continues boost
Johnson has remained very consistent with this sentiment regarding Tesla and his beliefs regarding its true valuation, and has never shied away from putting his true thoughts out there.
Tesla shares closed at $431.40 today, about 95 percent above where Johnson’s new price target lies.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock received a price target update from Pierre Ferragu of Wall Street firm New Street Research, citing the company’s growing lead in self-driving and autonomy.
On Tuesday, Ferragu bumped his price target from $520 to $600, stating that the consensus from the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas was that Tesla’s lead in autonomy has been sustained, is growing, and sits at a multiple-year lead over its competitors.
CES 2026 validates Tesla’s FSD strategy, but there’s a big lag for rivals: analyst
“The signal from Vegas is loud and clear,” the analyst writes. “The industry isn’t catching up to Tesla; it is actively validating Tesla’s strategy…just with a 12-year lag.”
The note shows that the company’s prowess in vehicle autonomy is being solidified by lagging competitors that claim to have the best method. The only problem is that Tesla’s Vision-based approach, which it adopted back in 2022 with the Model 3 and Model Y initially, has been proven to be more effective than competitors’ approach, which utilizes other technology, such as LiDAR and sensors.
Currently, Tesla shares are sitting at around $433, as the company’s stock price closed at $432.96 on Tuesday afternoon.
Ferragu’s consensus on Tesla shares echoes that of other Wall Street analysts who are bullish on the company’s stock and position within the AI, autonomy, and robotics sector.
Dan Ives of Wedbush wrote in a note in mid-December that he anticipates Tesla having a massive 2026, and could reach a $3 trillion valuation this year, especially with the “AI chapter” taking hold of the narrative at the company.
Ives also said that the big step in the right direction for Tesla will be initiating production of the Cybercab, as well as expanding on the Robotaxi program through the next 12 months:
“…as full-scale volume production begins with the autonomous and robotics roadmap…The company has started to test the all-important Cybercab in Austin over the past few weeks, which is an incremental step towards launching in 2026 with important volume production of Cybercabs starting in April/May, which remains the golden goose in unlocking TSLA’s AI valuation.”
Tesla analyst breaks down delivery report: ‘A step in the right direction’
Tesla has transitioned from an automaker to a full-fledged AI company, and its Robotaxi and Cybercab programs, fueled by the Full Self-Driving suite, are leading the charge moving forward. In 2026, there are major goals the company has outlined. The first is removing Safety Drivers from vehicles in Austin, Texas, one of the areas where it operates a ride-hailing service within the U.S.
Ultimately, Tesla will aim to launch a Level 5 autonomy suite to the public in the coming years.
Investor's Corner
Tesla Q4 delivery numbers are better than they initially look: analyst
The Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner shared his thoughts in a post on his website.
Longtime Tesla analyst and Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner Gene Munster has shared his insights on Tesla’s Q4 2025 deliveries. As per the analyst, Tesla’s numbers are actually better than they first appear.
Munster shared his thoughts in a post on his website.
Normalized December Deliveries
Munster noted that Tesla delivered 418k vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, slightly below Street expectations of 420k but above the whisper number of 415k. Tesla’s reported 16% year-over-year decline, compared to +7% in September, is largely distorted by the timing of the tax credit expiration, which pulled forward demand.
“Taking a step back, we believe September deliveries pulled forward approximately 55k units that would have otherwise occurred in December or March. For simplicity, we assume the entire pull-forward impacted the December quarter. Under this assumption, September growth would have been down ~5% absent the 55k pull-forward, a Deepwater estimate tied to the credit’s expiration.
“For December deliveries to have declined ~5% year over year would imply total deliveries of roughly 470k. Subtracting the 55k units pulled into September results in an implied December delivery figure of approximately 415k. The reported 418k suggests that, when normalizing for the tax credit timing, quarter-over-quarter growth has been consistently down ~5%. Importantly, this ~5% decline represents an improvement from the ~13% declines seen in both the March and June 2025 quarters.“
Tesla’s United States market share
Munster also estimated that Q4 as a whole might very well show a notable improvement in Tesla’s market share in the United States.
“Over the past couple of years, based on data from Cox Automotive, Tesla has been losing U.S. EV market share, declining to just under 50%. Based on data for October and November, Cox estimates that total U.S. EV sales were down approximately 35%, compared to Tesla’s just reported down 16% for the full quarter. For the first two months of the quarter, Cox reported Tesla market share of roughly a 65% share, up from under 50% in the September quarter.
“While this data excludes December, the quarter as a whole is likely to show a material improvement in Tesla’s U.S. EV market share.“
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