Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) first-quarter 2022 earnings call comes on the heels of yet another record quarter that saw the company posting $3.6 billion GAAP operating income and an impressive 19.2% operating margin. As noted by the company in its Q1 2022 Update Letter, the company is currently focused on growing as fast as is reasonably possible.
As noted by CEO Elon Musk in previous statements, Tesla is now focused on an expansion of its production capacity. The past two months are a testament to this as the company launched not just one, but two new vehicle production plants. Both Giga Texas and Giga Berlin-Brandenburg have started delivering vehicles, and both facilities feature battery production facilities.
Despite all these projects Tesla also highlighted that it is nearly debt-free. As of the end of the first quarter, the company’s outstanding recourse debt has fallen below $0.1 billion. That’s extremely impressive for a company that is still growing at Tesla’s pace.
The following are live updates from Tesla’s Q1 2022 Earnings Call. I will be updating this article in real-time, so please keep refreshing the page to view the latest updates on this story. The first entry starts at the bottom of the page.
17:35 CDT – And that wraps up Tesla’s Q1 2022 earnings call! That was very efficient, with lots of questions answered and lots of topics covered. Thank you so much for staying with us on this live blog. We will see you again next quarter!
17:30 CDT – Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney asks about opening the Supercharger Network. The company noted that there are plans to provide third-party vehicle access to the Supercharger Network not just in Europe, but in North America as well. There are challenges involved, but Tesla is working on them. “We want to do the right thing with respect to the whole system,” Musk said.
As for Tesla insurance, it is now the second-largest insurer of Teslas in Texas. The program is progressing well, however. Elon Musk noted that having real-time feedback on driving habits has been resulting in Tesla owners driving more carefully. Premiums are lower, and there’s extremely high retention. A real-time, fast feedback loop is incredibly useful, after all.
“We’re trying to turn a nightmare into a dream with Tesla Insurance,” Musk said, highlighting the idea that Tesla Insurance has turned into a passion project for the company.
17:28 CDT – Wells Fargo’s Colin Langan asks about how raw materials supply are built out. Tesla notes that flexibility is key to “solving” raw material challenges related to battery cells.
17:25 CDT – Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter asks if China’s shutdown would affect production outside the country. Elon Musk notes that this is indeed the case. “Some parts sourced in China that might impact production elsewhere,” Musk said.
In a follow-up question, Potter asked about Musk’s potential new compensation plan. The CEO stated that there are currently no plans for a new performance award.
17:22 CDT – Trip Chowdhry from Global Equities Research asks about the Cybertruck. In terms of parts, how does it compare with traditional trucks. Elon Musk noted that Tesla has not done a comparison yet, though Lars Moravy stated that the Cybertruck is simpler considering its use of megacasts. Ignoring battery cells, the Cybertruck would probably have 20-30% fewer parts than conventional pickup trucks.
As for an expansion of Giga Nevada, Elon noted that there are plans to expand the site, but the focus of expansion is currently Giga Texas.
17:20 CDT – Pierre Ferragu from New Street Research asks about Tesla’s free cash flow. He notes that Tesla is sitting on a lot of cash. Musk noted that the amount may be a lot now, but it’s difficult to predict inflation. The CEO stated that Tesla would like to do something useful with the funds. “500 billion might be worth 20 billion today,” Musk said.
Kirkhorn noted that Tesla is just focused on ramping the Robotaxi and Optimus, and make decisions about what’s next after that point.
17:15 CDT – Wolfe Research Rod Lache also inquires about potential obstructions to Ev adoption. Musk notes that cell output is crucial. Tesla might need to help with lithium mining and refining for EV adoption. He also encourages young entrepreneurs to get into the Lithium business. “Do you like minting money? Well, then lithium business is for you,” Musk joked.
In response to a follow-up from the analyst, Musk noted that Tesla is hoping that it does not need to raise prices anymore. “We hope we don’t need to increase the price further,” Musk said, though he noted that Tesla does not control the prices of raw materials. “The current prices are for vehicles in the future,” Musk added.
17:10 CDT – Analyst Dan Levy CSFB notes that one of the Model 3’s goals is to make an attainable car. He notes that given the Model 3’s goal, how does Tesla look at the vehicle’s price progression. Elon noted that it’s difficult to manage inflation, though Tesla is still aiming to make its cars as attainable as possible. Musk added that suppliers are also under heavy pressure.
Musk notes that with the Robotaxi, Tesla should be able to provide consumers with the lowest cost-per-mile transport with Robotaxi and FSD. A Robotaxi ride would cost less than a subsidized bus or subway ticket, Musk stated.
17:05 CDT – A question was asked about the dedicated Robotaxi. Elon noted that a product event for the Robotaxi would be held next year, with volume production happening in 2024.
Elon noted that volume production of 4680 cells should be likely around the end of the third quarter this year. It should also be noted that 2170 non-structural pack capability is available in Texas’ Model Ys, just like their siblings in Berlin.
17:03 CDT – An inquiry was asked about Berlin’s ramp and if it can match Giga Shanghai. Elon noted that Giga Berlin’s ramp should be faster since Tesla has learned a lot since the company had learned a lot with its China-based factory. The CEO also noted that there are special teams to help ramp production in Berlin and Texas. Musk added that with the structural pack, the body shop gets a lot simpler.
A question was also asked about the dedicated Robotaxi. Elon noted that a product event for the Robotaxi would be held next year, with volume production happening in 2024.
17:00 CDT – A question is asked about Tesla’s plan to scale to extreme size. Elon highlighted the importance of raw materials. The CEO noted that at 5, 10, 20 million-vehicle level, Tesla will need to look closer at the macro tonnage of raw materials. Tesla, however, thinks mining and refining lithium appears to be a limiting factor.
Some lithium-related announcements are due in the months to come. Tesla is also recycling about 50 tons per week worth of battery materials today, and it is only going to get more substantial with time. Musk highlights that Tesla’s recycling efforts are not just about batteries. The company is also recycling a lot of aluminum from scrap and regular wheels from conventional cars.
16:55 CDT – A question was asked about how Tesla’s 4680 cars are performing. Senior VP Drew Baglino noted that it would take several years to properly see how the vehicles are, though Elon Musk noted that 4680 structural packs would be comparable with the best alternative packs available this year. Needless to say, Tesla is working on all the areas mentioned on Battery Day.
16:53 CDT – The next question asks about Tesla’s efforts to open direct sales on a state-by-state level. A question was also asked about why Tesla doesn’t use 800v architecture. Musk stated that the US has not really shown much interest in allowing direct sales on a federal level so Tesla has to battle anti-direct sales legislation by state. (Drew Baglino) noted that higher voltage is not necessarily better. Musk noted that the advantages are small but the costs are high.
The Tesla executives Adopting 800v architecture may be worth it in the future, but high volume is needed to make the shift worth it. The Tesla Cybertruck and the Tesla Semi are candidates for 800v architecture. But for the Robotaxi, the advantages are “basically zero.”
16:50 CDT – Kirkhorn adds some details to Elon’s answer, noting that Tesla is renegotiating contracts with its suppliers. “We’re trying to anticipate where things will go,” he said.
16:48 CDT – The third question is about price increases. Musk noted that it may seem unfair that Tesla is increasing its prices despite having record profits, but the demand is there. Musk explains that Tesla’s price today anticipates logistical costs in the future. Cars ordered today will be delivered months later. Tesla is still production constrained.
16:45 CDT – The second question is about Giga Shanghai’s shutdown and the localization of the supply chain in Berlin. Musk noted that Shangai did lose lots of days. “We did lose a lot of important days of production,” the CEO noted, though he stated that “Giga Shanghai is back with a vengeance,” and it would not be surprising if the facility ramps its vehicle production line never before.
“We’ll see record production from Shanghai this quarter, albeit we are missing a few weeks,” Musk said, adding that Q3 and Q4’s production numbers will be far better. He estimates that Tesla could produce 1.5 million cars this year. Musk also noted that it takes about 12 month to go from the start of production to 5,000 vehicles per week.
16:43 CDT – First question from investors is about FSD timelines. Elon’s record here is spotty at best. The CEO reiterated that FSD development has experienced many false dawns and to solve FSD, Tesla would have to solve real-world AI. This is a challenging endeavor, of course, but it’s possible. The company has been laying the pieces for this gargantuan task, as hinted by projects like Dojo.
Musk urged those who wish to get a clearer view of Tesla’s FSD technology by joining the FSD Beta program. This actually makes sense.
16:41 CDT – “Optimus will be worth more than the car business. It will be worth more than FSD. That’s my firm belief,” Musk said, stating that the importance of the Optimus project will be apparent in the coming years.
16:40 CDT – Elon talks about the “Robotaxi,” a dedicated vehicle with no steering wheels or pedals. It will be designed solely for the Robotaxi service and optimized for FSD. Target production is set for 2024. Oh, and Cybertruck production is definitely in 2023.
Elon adds that Tesla aims to achieve 20 million vehicles per year at the end of the decade. But even today, Tesla is already at 5% of this goal.
16:38 CDT – Elon takes the floor, also for another round of opening remarks. He congratulates the Tesla team for achieving record profitability despite many different headwinds. “Q1 was once again a record quarter on many levels,” Musk said.
The CEO gave recognition to the Giga Shanghai team, which is operating once more despite getting hit hard by the city’s Covid shutdowns. Just like the Kirkhorn, Musk highlighted that Teslas’ debt is all but gone. “We have a reanonable shot at a 60% increase over last year,” Musk added.
Musk also took special care to mention that Giga Berlin and Giga Texas’ initial ramp would be deliberate, but they would be growing fast. “Initial ramp always looks small, but it grows exponentially.” He predicts that Giga Berlin and Texas will achieve high volume next year.
16:35 CDT – Interesting. CFO Zach Kirkhorn is doing the opening remarks. He states that Q1 was challenging, but it was still a successful quarter for Tesla. He highlights Tesla’s key achievements in Q1. He did admit that vehicle deliveries are pretty delayed, so some vehicles delivered today would be priced lower since they were ordered in previous months.
Kirkhorn also noted that $288 million from credit revenue. He notes that the company now has more profitable vehicles, including Model Y. The CFO highlighted that Tesla has achieved a record operating margins of over 19%.
Kirkhorn also set expectations for Q2, stating that Tesla lost about a month’s worth of vehicle production in Shanghai. Giga Berlin and Texas are also just starting up.
16:31 CDT – Looks like we’re starting on time! VP of Investor Relations Martin Viecha opens the meeting. Elon is here. here we go!
16:27 CDT – Less than five minutes left. Will we start in Elon time?
16:20 CDT – Tesla’s Q1 2022 results are extremely impressive. It’s pretty crazy to see that the company is practically debt-free at this point. The ironic part is that Tesla is still rated at Ba1 or below investment grade by Moody’s Investor Service and S&P Global Ratings. Is a facepalm in order?
16:15 CDT – Welcome once more to yet another live blog of Tesla’s earnings call! Elon Musk has stated that he would be present once more, so we all know what that means. Some important announcements are coming! What are your guesses?
Disclaimer: I am long TSLA.
Don’t hesitate to contact us with news tips. Just send a message to simon@teslarati.com to give us a heads up.
Tesla has scheduled its Earnings Call for Q4 and Full Year 2025 for next Wednesday, January 28, at 5:30 p.m. EST, and investors are already preparing to get some answers from executives regarding a wide variety of topics.
The company accepts several questions from retail investors through the platform Say, which then allows shareholders to vote on the best questions.
Tesla does not answer anything regarding future product releases, but they are willing to shed light on current timelines, progress of certain projects, and other plans.
There are five questions that range over a variety of topics, including SpaceX, Full Self-Driving, Robotaxi, and Optimus, which are currently in the lead to be asked and potentially answered by Elon Musk and other Tesla executives:
- You once said: Loyalty deserves loyalty. Will long-term Tesla shareholders still be prioritized if SpaceX does an IPO?
- Our Take – With a lot of speculation regarding an incoming SpaceX IPO, Tesla investors, especially long-term ones, should be able to benefit from an early opportunity to purchase shares. This has been discussed endlessly over the past year, and we must be getting close to it.
- When is FSD going to be 100% unsupervised?
- Our Take – Musk said today that this is essentially a solved problem, and it could be available in the U.S. by the end of this year.
- What is the current bottleneck to increase Robotaxi deployment & personal use unsupervised FSD? The safety/performance of the most recent models or people to monitor robots, robotaxis, in-car, or remotely? Or something else?
- Our Take – The bottleneck seems to be based on data, which Musk said Tesla needs 10 billion miles of data to achieve unsupervised FSD. Once that happens, regulatory issues will be what hold things up from moving forward.
- Regarding Optimus, could you share the current number of units deployed in Tesla factories and actively performing production tasks? What specific roles or operations are they handling, and how has their integration impacted factory efficiency or output?
- Our Take – Optimus is going to have a larger role in factories moving forward, and later this year, they will have larger responsibilities.
- Can you please tie purchased FSD to our owner accounts vs. locked to the car? This will help us enjoy it in any Tesla we drive/buy and reward us for hanging in so long, some of us since 2017.
- Our Take – This is a good one and should get us some additional information on the FSD transfer plans and Subscription-only model that Tesla will adopt soon.
Tesla will have its Earnings Call on Wednesday, January 28.
Elon Musk
Tesla locks in Elon Musk’s top problem solver as it enters its most ambitious era
The generous equity award was disclosed by the electric vehicle maker in a recent regulatory filing.
Tesla has granted Senior Vice President of Automotive Tom Zhu more than 520,000 stock options, tying a significant portion of his compensation to the company’s long-term performance.
The generous equity award was disclosed by the electric vehicle maker in a recent regulatory filing.
Tesla secures top talent
According to a Form 4 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Tom Zhu received 520,021 stock options with an exercise price of $435.80 per share. Since the award will not fully vest until March 5, 2031, Zhu must remain at Tesla for more than five years to realize the award’s full benefit.
Considering that Tesla shares are currently trading at around the $445 to $450 per share level, Zhu will really only see gains in his equity award if Tesla’s stock price sees a notable rise over the years, as noted in a Sina Finance report.
Still, even at today’s prices, Zhu’s stock award is already worth over $230 million. If Tesla reaches the market cap targets set forth in Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award, Zhu would become a billionaire from this equity award alone.
Tesla’s problem solver
Zhu joined Tesla in April 2014 and initially led the company’s Supercharger rollout in China. Later that year, he assumed the leadership of Tesla’s China business, where he played a central role in Tesla’s localization efforts, including expanding retail and service networks, and later, overseeing the development of Gigafactory Shanghai.
Zhu’s efforts helped transform China into one of Tesla’s most important markets and production hubs. In 2023, Tesla promoted Zhu to Senior Vice President of Automotive, placing him among the company’s core global executives and expanding his influence beyond China. He has since garnered a reputation as the company’s problem solver, being tapped by Elon Musk to help ramp Giga Texas’s vehicle production.
With this in mind, Tesla’s recent filing seems to suggest that the company is locking in its top talent as it enters its newest, most ambitious era to date. As could be seen in the targets of Elon Musk’s 2025 pay package, Tesla is now aiming to be the world’s largest company by market cap, and it is aiming to achieve production levels that are unheard of. Zhu’s talents would definitely be of use in this stage of the company’s growth.
Tesla analyst Andrew Percoco of Morgan Stanley teased the company’s dominance in its self-driving initiative, stating that its lead over competitors is “not even close.”
Percoco recently overtook coverage of Tesla stock from Adam Jonas, who had covered the company at Morgan Stanley for years. Percoco is handling Tesla now that Jonas is covering embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.
His first move after grabbing coverage was to adjust the price target from $410 to $425, as well as the rating from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’
Percoco’s new note regarding Tesla highlights the company’s extensive lead in self-driving and autonomy projects, something that it has plenty of competition in, but has established its prowess over the past few years.
He writes:
“It’s not even close. Tesla continues to lead in autonomous driving, even as Nvidia rolls out new technology aimed at helping other automakers build driverless systems.”
Percoco’s main point regarding Tesla’s advantage is the company’s ability to collect large amounts of training data through its massive fleet, as millions of cars are driving throughout the world and gathering millions of miles of vehicle behavior on the road.
This is the main point that Percoco makes regarding Tesla’s lead in the entire autonomy sector: data is King, and Tesla has the most of it.
One big story that has hit the news over the past week is that of NVIDIA and its own self-driving suite, called Alpamayo. NVIDIA launched this open-source AI program last week, but it differs from Tesla’s in a significant fashion, especially from a hardware perspective, as it plans to use a combination of LiDAR, Radar, and Vision (Cameras) to operate.
Percoco said that NVIDIA’s announcement does not impact Morgan Stanley’s long-term opinions on Tesla and its strength or prowess in self-driving.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang commends Tesla’s Elon Musk for early belief
And, for what it’s worth, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang even said some remarkable things about Tesla following the launch of Alpamayo:
“I think the Tesla stack is the most advanced autonomous vehicle stack in the world. I’m fairly certain they were already using end-to-end AI. Whether their AI did reasoning or not is somewhat secondary to that first part.”
Percoco reiterated both the $425 price target and the ‘Equal Weight’ rating on Tesla shares.
Tesla Model S completes first ever FSD Cannonball Run with zero interventions
Tesla removes Autopilot as standard, receives criticism online
