

Investor's Corner
Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2019 production and delivery report: What Wall St analysts are saying
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) is surging on Wednesday on the heels of the release of the company’s Q2 2019 delivery and production report. With deliveries and production far exceeding forecasts from Wall St, several analysts have weighed in on the electric car maker’s record-setting quarter, which saw Tesla producing a total of 87,048 vehicles, comprised of 14,517 Model S and Model X, and 72,531 Model 3; and delivering a total of 95,200 cars, comprised of 17,650 Model S and X and 77,550 Model 3.
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who quoted a “worst case” $10 price target on TSLA stock back in May, admitted that despite the number of leaked Elon Musk emails and reports pointing to a record quarter, Tesla’s over 95,000 vehicle deliveries were unexpected. “We had not spoken to any investors that expected deliveries to be this high. We expect the stock to squeeze and then fade on this news,” Jonas wrote in a note. Nevertheless, the analyst still pointed out that continued concerns about “sustainable” demand and competition in regions such as China would likely weigh down the stock.
“It isn’t clear how much of the beat was due to underlying demand, more attractive pricing, sales bonuses, or pull-forward from (the) third quarter after tax credit reduction. Based on year-to-date deliveries, if Tesla achieves 95,000 units in the third and fourth quarters, it would take them to about 350,000 units for 2019, just shy of guidance of 360,000-400,000 units,” Jonas, who currently has an Equalweight rating on Tesla stock with a price target of $230 per share, noted.
Nomura analyst Christopher Eberle, who has a Neutral rating and a $300 price target for TSLA, also weighed in on the electric car maker’s Q2 results. “Tesla noted that orders generated during the quarter exceeded deliveries, implying the company enters 3Q19 with an increase in its backlog,” he stated. Eberle remained cautious, adjusting his third-quarter delivery estimate by just 5% to 80,000 units.
Joseph Osha of JMP Securities, who maintains a Market Perform rating and a $347 price target on the electric car maker, stated that he expects to see Tesla’s cash balance rise to $2.67 billion in the second quarter. Osha also argued that the second quarter results prove that the company’s lower-than-expected first quarter figures were not an indicator of real end demand in the United States. “Overall, the message we hear is that Tesla’s weak first quarter was not, in fact, an indicator of real end demand in the U.S. market. The combination of U.S. demand and export volume appears sufficient to support an outlook of ~380,000 deliveries this year, and our outlook for the second half of the year remains unchanged,” the analyst stated.
Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives, who has a Neutral rating and a $230 price target on Tesla stock, noted that the company’s strong Q2 delivery numbers were “a clear step in the right direction,” which could help restore the credibility of Elon Musk’s story. Ives was among the most vocal critics of Tesla following its first-quarter results, at one point calling Q1’s results “one of (the) top debacles we have ever seen.” Ives also mocked Tesla for maintaining its optimistic forecast for the rest of 2019, stating that “Musk & Co., in an episode out of the Twilight Zone, act as if demand and profitability will magically return to the Tesla story.” Prior to the release of Tesla’s Q2 2019 production and delivery report, Ives expected the company to deliver 84,001 vehicles.
Goldman Sachs analyst David Tamberrino, one of TSLA’s most ardent critics who currently has a Sell rating and a $158 price target on the electric car maker, stood by his pessimistic outlook on the company. Tamberrino stated that “second-quarter deliveries and order flow were helped by the release of Tesla’s Standard Model 3 variant, right-hand drive Model 3s and the upcoming phasing out of U.S. tax incentives.” The Goldman Sachs analyst also expects a “sequential” stepdown in demand in the third quarter, on account of Tesla’s decision to offer lower-priced Model 3 variants and a leasing option, which he notes could have negative impacts on the vehicle’s gross margins and FCF generation. Interestingly, Tamberrino expected Tesla to deliver 91,124 vehicles in the second quarter (one of the highest on Wall Street, exceeding even that of Tesla bull and Baird analyst Ben Kallo), which is quite ironic considering his constant pessimistic stance against the electric car maker. Goldman Sachs’ investment bank is also among TSLA’s prominent shareholders.
As of writing, Tesla stock is trading +6.13% at $238.31 per share.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Investor's Corner
Tesla Board Chair defends Elon Musk’s pay plan, slams proxy advisors
The letter comes ahead of Tesla’s 2025 Annual Meeting, where shareholders will vote on several key proposals.

Tesla Chair Robyn Denholm has issued a strongly worded letter urging investors to reject the latest recommendations from proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis, saying their “one-size-fits-all” approach fails to recognize Tesla’s unique business model and track record.
The letter comes ahead of Tesla’s 2025 Annual Meeting, where shareholders will vote on several key proposals including Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award and director reelections.
Tesla slams proxy advisors’ models
Denholm criticized both firms for consistently opposing Tesla’s growth-oriented plans, noting that the company’s market capitalization has increased twentyfold since shareholders approved Musk’s 2018 performance package, which both advisors had opposed at the time.
“Our shareholders have ignored their recommendations, and it’s a good thing they did,” she wrote. “Otherwise, you may have missed out on our market capitalization soaring 20x while the proxy advisors time and time again recommended “against” Tesla proposals designed to promote the sort of extraordinary growth we have enjoyed.”
The letter argued that Glass Lewis and ISS use robotic policies that don’t account for Tesla’s innovation-driven structure. Tesla’s leadership maintained that the 2025 CEO Performance Award will only reward Musk if he achieves extraordinary market capitalization and operational goals. The plan, Denholm stated, aligns Musk’s incentives with long-term shareholder interests.
Tesla defends board leadership
Denholm also defended directors Ira Ehrenpreis and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson, calling them pivotal to Tesla’s governance and innovation strategy. She said both have driven Tesla’s growth and helped design compensation systems vital to competing in the AI and robotics talent race.
She warned that following ISS and Glass Lewis could turn Tesla into “just another car company,” and urged shareholders to “vote yes to robots, and reject robotic voting.” The letter also highlighted that neither ISS nor Glass Lewis owns Tesla stock, emphasizing that only shareholders “who have made an actual financial investment” should decide the company’s direction.
“If you prefer that Tesla turn into just another car company mired in the ways of the past, then you should follow ISS and Glass Lewis. If you believe that Tesla, under the visionary leadership of Elon and the oversight of a Board that includes business leaders with integrity like Ira, Kathleen and Joe, then you should vote with Tesla,” Denholm wrote.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst says this common earnings narrative is losing importance
“Numbers are going down next year, but that’s ok because it’s all about autonomy.”

A Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) analyst is doubling down on the idea that one common earnings narrative is losing importance as the company continues to work toward new technologies and projects.
This week, Tesla will report earnings for the third quarter, and one thing people always pay attention to is deliveries. Although Tesla reveals its deliveries for the quarter well before it reports earnings, many investors will look for commentary regarding the company’s strategy for responding to the loss of the $7,500 tax credit.
Tesla has made a few moves already, including a lease deal that takes a substantial amount of money off, launching new Standard models, and cutting up to 23 percent off of lease pricing.
Tesla makes crazy move to spur short-term demand in the U.S.
However, analysts are looking at the company in a different light.
Aligning with the narrative that Tesla is not just a car company and has many different projects, Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management believes many investors need to look at another part of the business.
Munster said the delivery figures for Q3, which landed at 497,099, the highest in company history, were padded by customers rushing to showrooms to take advantage of the expiring tax credit.
He believes that deliveries will be more realistic in subsequent quarters, but investors should not worry because the focus on Tesla is not going to be on how many cars it hands over to customers:
“Numbers are going down next year, but that’s ok because it’s all about autonomy.”
Here’s the $TSLA preview. Numbers are going down next year, but that’s ok because it’s all about autonomy. pic.twitter.com/mUb9scFtCA
— Gene Munster (@munster_gene) October 17, 2025
Tesla has been working nonstop to roll out a dedicated Robotaxi platform in various cities across the United States, and has already launched in two states: Texas and California.
It has also received regulatory approvals to test driverless Robotaxis in Arizona and Nevada, while seeking permissions in Florida and other states, according to the company’s online job postings.
Munster continued:
“Most people are hyper-focused on the Robotaxi opportunity and not focused as much on FSD.”
While Robotaxi is incredibly important, Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (Supervised) suite is also extremely crucial moving forward, as it sets the stage for the company to roll out a formidable self-driving service.
Tesla rolled out its newest FSD software to more owners last night, and as it expands, the company is gaining valuable data to refine its performance.
Earnings will be reported tomorrow at market close.
Elon Musk
Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package hits first adversity from proxy firm
ISS said the size of the pay package will enable Musk to have access to “extraordinarily high pay opportunities over the next ten years,” and it will have an impact on future packages because it will “reduce the board’s ability to meaningfully adjust future pay levels.”

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package, which was proposed by the company last month, has hit its first bit of adversity from proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS).
Musk has called the firm “ISIS,” a play on its name relating it to the terrorist organization, in the past.
“ISIS”
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 27, 2021
The pay package aims to lock in Musk to the CEO role at Tesla for the next decade, as it will only be paid in full if he is able to unlock each tranche based on company growth, which will reward shareholders.
However, the sum is incredibly large and would give Musk the ability to become the first trillionaire in history, based on his holdings. This is precisely why ISS is advising shareholders to vote against the pay plan.
The group said that Musk’s pay package will lock him in, which is the goal of the Board, and it is especially important to do this because of his “track record and vision.”
However, it also said the size of the pay package will enable Musk to have access to “extraordinarily high pay opportunities over the next ten years,” and it will have an impact on future packages because it will “reduce the board’s ability to meaningfully adjust future pay levels.”
The release from ISS called the size of Musk’s pay package “astronomical” and said its design could continue to pay the CEO massive amounts of money for even partially achieving the goals. This could end up in potential dilution for existing investors.
If Musk were to reach all of the tranches, Tesla’s market cap could reach up to $8.5 trillion, which would make it the most valuable company in the world.
Tesla has made its own attempts to woo shareholders into voting for the pay package, which it feels is crucial not only for retaining Musk but also for continuing to create value for shareholders.
Tesla launched an ad for Elon Musk’s pay package on Paramount+
Musk has also said he would like to have more ownership control of Tesla, so he would not have as much of an issue with who he calls “activist shareholders.”
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