Investor's Corner
Tesla (TSLA) stock under pressure as pandemic slows CA momentum
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) recorded weak vehicle registrations in California in the second quarter of 2020. However, while it is alarming considering California is one of the electric automaker’s most robust markets, there is no reason for TSLA short-sellers to get excited. There was a pandemic that was affecting the Golden State, and it undoubtedly impacted Tesla’s registration numbers.
Marketing research company Cross-Sell released a report that detailed automobile title and research data on Wednesday night and Tesla’s performance in California was sub-par compared to past quarters.
The data suggested that Tesla registered less than 10,000 of its all-electric vehicles in California in Q2, which is less than the same month in 2018 and 2019. But Cross-Sell also said two factors could have affected the registration figures: Tesla’s lag time for reporting vehicle registration figures, and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Tesla takes a few weeks to register its vehicles, and cars that are sold at the end of a month usually end up becoming apart of the next month’s figures, Cross-Sell said. If a vehicle is sold at the tail end of April, it typically will not be apart of April’s numbers. It is attributed to May instead.
In March, Tesla was on track to beat registration figures for the same month in 2019. But the virus struck, and Tesla was forced to close its Fremont production facility on March 23. The vehicle plant did not reopen until May 10.
Even though Tesla experienced a lengthy closure at Fremont, its performance in the stock market has been anything but indicative of a struggling company. Tesla has been an outlier in recent times, increasing in value on an almost consistent basis. When the pandemic closed Fremont, TSLA shares were trading at $434.29.
At the time of writing, TSLA was valued at $1,480.04 per share.
Although TSLA stock has taken a 4.5% hit today, there is no reason for long-term holders of the company to worry. On the contrary, there is no reason for short-sellers to celebrate, either. After all, TSLA bears have lost an estimated $23 billion in 2020.
Tesla’s newest vehicle, the Model Y, was registered 801 times in June compared to 958 registrations in April. Cross-Sell said that about 1,900 units of the all-electric crossover were recorded in total in Q2. There are no doubts that the COVID-19 pandemic slowed down the production and registrations of Tesla’s newest car, which is expected to be its biggest seller.
Tesla is preparing for a large-scale production push of the Model Y at its Fremont facility. Documents submitted by Tesla to Fremont’s local government indicate that the company plans to expand production lines at the Northern California manufacturing plant.
Despite the company’s momentum amidst the pandemic, there are still vocal skeptics of the electric automaker’s potential in the future. According to Barron’s, about 15 analysts rate TSLA shares as “Sell,” with only one in four “Buy” ratings. Additionally, roughly 10% of the total stock is short interested, which is around four to five times higher than a typical stock in the Dow.
Although Tesla experienced setbacks in California in Q2, not all is bad. The car company beat out Wall Street estimates for its Q2 delivery figures after it reported 90,650 total cars were given to customers in the second quarter of the year. The stock has also gained over $1,000 in value, making it the most valuable car company in the world.
Tesla will detail its second-quarter performance during its Q2 2020 Earnings Call on July 22.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Elon Musk
Tesla AI boss reveals how big Optimus is going to get
Tesla’s Optimus chief corrected himself on X, confirming a staggering 10 million robot production target.
Tesla’s Optimus program has a new number attached to it, after Ashok Elluswamy, the executive who has run the humanoid robot program since June 2025, posted a three word correction on X Thursday, “Correction, 10 million robots.”
The line clarifies the long term annual capacity Tesla is building toward its planned second Optimus production line at Gigafactory Texas, a figure Musk has cited repeatedly since last year’s shareholder meeting.
The scale is worth noting, because ten million robots a year would mean Tesla building more units annually than most countries sell in new cars. Tesla has framed this as a second line, not the first. The buildout is happening in two phases: a roughly one million unit per year line inside Tesla’s Fremont factory, installed on the floor space vacated when Model S and Model X production ended earlier this year, and a much larger dedicated facility under construction at Giga Texas that broke ground on its first steel structure in May. That Texas facility is the one Elluswamy’s correction refers to, and is expected to reach volume production sometime in 2027.
Correction, 10 million robots https://t.co/0z4nyQNTzp
— Ashok Elluswamy (@aelluswamy) July 30, 2026
Tesla Optimus project fires up as Musk sees production line progress
Elluswamy took over Optimus from Milan Kovac last summer and has spent the months since talking up the program’s trajectory. Elon Musk has also floated the ten million figure at Tesla’s 2025 shareholder meeting.
Ending Model S and Model X production to make room for the first Optimus line was one of the more consequential manufacturing decisions in the company’s recent history, retiring two flagship vehicles in favor of a robot that has yet to enter mass production. Musk has previously estimated per unit production costs at $20,000 to $25,000 once Tesla reaches a million units a year, though he hasn’t said what that cost looks like at ten times the volume.
Elon Musk
SpaceX scores another massive Pentagon deal to support military satellites
SpaceX just picked up another $1.6 billion from the Pentagon, with the U.S. Space Force awarding two task orders worth $1.6 billion to fly 18 Falcon 9 missions from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California through the end of 2027. The launches will carry satellites for the Space Based Sensing and Targeting portfolio, a set of programs meant to help the military detect and track airborne threats and relay that information across forces in near real time.
The award falls under National Security Space Launch Phase 3 Lane 1, the Space Force’s faster, commercial style procurement track for missions that do not require the military’s most demanding certification process. It is also the largest single order publicly disclosed under that program so far, and the first task order issued since the Space Force nearly tripled Lane 1’s contract ceiling from $5.6 billion to $17 billion on July 17.
SpaceX to become America’s Military data backbone for missiles, drones, and warfighters
Eric Zarybnisky, the Space Force’s acting portfolio acquisition executive for space access, said the entire process, from identifying the requirement to signing the contract, took about two months, including a month set aside for companies to prepare proposals.
SpaceX is not just launching these satellites. It already holds the contracts to build two of the programs within the same portfolio, $4.16 billion for the Space Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator system and $2.29 billion for the Space Data Network Backbone, which Teslarati covered in May. That means SpaceX is now responsible for both building key pieces of the military’s next generation sensing network and getting them into orbit.
With this latest award, SpaceX’s Pentagon contract total for 2026 alone tops $8 billion, adding to a defense portfolio that already includes the Golden Dome missile defense software group SpaceX joined in April and a string of GPS launches it inherited after ULA’s Vulcan rocket ran into a booster anomaly, which we detailed in March.
Lane 1’s vendor pool technically includes seven companies: SpaceX, ULA, Blue Origin, Rocket Lab, Stoke Space, Impulse Space, and Relativity Space. In practice, SpaceX remains the only provider with the combination of launch cadence, flight proven Falcon 9 hardware, and West Coast infrastructure to support a campaign requiring roughly one Vandenberg launch a month for the next year and a half.
Some lawmakers have flagged the growing concentration of national security launches with one company as a risk worth watching. For now, the Space Force keeps backing SpaceX, with it being the company that shows up ready to launch.
Investor's Corner
SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.
SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before
The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.
Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.
SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.
It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.
The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.
Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

