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Tesla is ‘very close’ to profitability, says Musk: ‘If we go all out, we will achieve an epic victory’

Credit: Harbles/Twitter]

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As the third quarter trickles down to its final hours, Tesla remains fully determined to power forward and end Q3 on a strong note, delivering as many vehicles as it can to reservation holders. While the delivery figures for the quarter would most likely be impressive, questions remain if Tesla can achieve its other, more ambitious goal this Q3 — profitability. If one of Musk’s recent emails to employees are any indication, it appears that the electric car maker is closing in on this goal as well.

This weekend proved to be eventful for Elon Musk and Tesla. Even before Saturday began, Musk took to Twitter to express his gratitude to the Tesla community for supporting the company, particularly owners who are serving as volunteers on delivery centers. Musk also posted a “Don’t Panic” reminder on his Twitter page, almost seemingly teasing that the threat of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s lawsuit would disappear soon. Sure enough, on Saturday, the SEC announced that Elon Musk had agreed to a settlement.

Just hours after his settlement with the SEC was announced, Elon Musk reportedly sent an email to Tesla’s employees stating that the company is incredibly close to hitting profitability. In his email, a copy of which was obtained by Bloomberg, Musk noted that if Tesla “goes all out” on Sunday,  there is a good chance that the company could achieve an “epic victory.”

“We are very close to achieving profitability and proving the naysayers wrong, but, to be certain, we must execute really well tomorrow (Sunday). If we go all out tomorrow, we will achieve an epic victory beyond all expectations,” Musk wrote.

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Considering Musk’s message, it appears that every single delivery completed this Sunday would contribute to Tesla’s profitability for Q3 2018. Tesla is going all-hands on its deliveries, and boosted by volunteers owners who are orienting newcomers with the features and functions of their electric cars; Tesla appears to be closer to its profitability goals than ever before.

Tesla’s profitability has proven to be among the company’s most elusive targets. Over the years, the company’s profits, or lack thereof, has become one of the most notable pillars of the Tesla bear thesis. Back in April, for one, speculations among the electric car maker’s skeptics suggested that Tesla would need to raise $2.5 to $3 billion this year to stay afloat. It was then that Elon Musk announced on Twitter that Tesla would be profitable and cash flow positive in Q3 and Q4, negating the need to raise more capital. Since then, Tesla has been on a dash to achieve its targets one after another, from the Model 3’s 5,000/week production rate at the end of Q2 to the production and delivery of more than 50,000 Model 3 in Q3.

Tesla’s profitability hinges largely on the Model 3, as it is the vehicle that would comprise most of the company’s deliveries this quarter. Fortunately for Tesla, teardowns and analyses of the car by third-party firms have determined that the electric car maker can make a profit on the Model 3. Sandy Munro of Munro and Associates, for one, noted in an Autoline TV segment that the Model 3 ultimately forced him to “eat crow,” as the vehicle proved to be impressive regardless of his initial reservations about the sedan. Munro, who has decades of experience with vehicles, and who has performed a thorough analysis of other electric cars like the BMW i3 and the Chevy Bolt EV, noted that Tesla could make a decent profit with the Long Range RWD Model 3.

“The Model 3 is profitable. I didn’t think it was gonna happen this way, but the Model 3 is profitable. Over 30%. No electric car is getting 30% net, nobody,” Munro said.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Elon Musk

Tesla Phone? Not quite, but close: analyst

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elon musk phone
Photo: Boss Hunting.com.au

For years, there have been images and videos across social media platforms that have reminded me of when I was a 15-year-old kid teased by “Xbox 720” videos on YouTube. These videos are of the supposed “Tesla Phone” that Elon Musk was secretly developing in between leading Tesla with its electric cars and SpaceX with its reusable rockets.

Although Musk has put those rumors to bed several times, it was never completely out of the realm that he could get involved in cell phones in some capacity. Think outside the box and more macro-level, though. Instead of reinventing the computer, Musk reinvented connectivity by developing Starlink with SpaceX.

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It could be something similar, TD Cowen analyst Gregory Williams said in a note last week, where he hinted SpaceX could be gathering some steam to acquire T-Mobile.

Williams said it would be the “clear choice” for SpaceX if it decided to go through with a network acquisition. He also suggested AT&T.

The move would be possible through selling more of its own stock, which would help SpaceX raise the money to purchase T-Mobile, which would cost roughly $300 billion. It could be one of the moves SpaceX makes post-IPO in terms of an acquisition: it already acquired Cursor AI for $60 billion.

Other analysts, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, believe SpaceX and Tesla will eventually merge into one anyway, and that conglomeration could come as soon as this year, some have said.

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The implications of SpaceX purchasing T-Mobile are massive. A combined entity would create a truly ubiquitous network: T-Mobile’s terrestrial 5G towers and Starlink’s growing constellation of Direct-to-Cell satellites. This would essentially eliminate dead zones across the U.S. and potentially globally.

SpaceX would instantly become a full-scale facilities-based carrier with satellite differentiation; a huge advantage. This would pressure AT&T and Verizon heavily.

There are also concerns like a potential reduction in long-term competition, and of course, a deal of that size would face intense scrutiny from government agencies.

The strategic fit is compelling due to the existing Starlink–T-Mobile partnership and complementary technologies (space + terrestrial). It could create a dominant integrated communications player. However, the regulatory, financial, and execution hurdles are enormous — this remains highly speculative with no indication SpaceX is actively pursuing it right now.

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Tesla reveals huge Cybercab detail in new guide for First Responders

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla revealed a major new Cybercab detail in a guide it released for First Responders, showing new territory in its beliefs and intentions for the ride-hailing-focused vehicle that entered production in April.

The First Responders Guide is released to give fire departments, paramedics, and other emergency personnel the proper guidance on what to do in the event of an accident, entrapment, or other situation that would require immediate attention.

On one of the pages of the First Responders Guide, Tesla revealed a stark detail about the Cybercab, which could help personnel enter the vehicle more easily in case of an emergency.

Tesla Cybercab has one important piece that AI4 cars might need for FSD

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It shows Tesla has no intention of releasing any Cybercab units that were initially proposed for ride-hailing services for the general public with any manual controls, meaning a steering wheel or pedals:

“A Cybercab equipped with steering wheel, brake pedal, and an acceleration pedal is typically an engineering or test vehicle, and operates at SAE Level 2 autonomy. Cybercab is not typically equipped with a steering wheel or acceleration and brake pedals.”

This is a major development for those who continue to believe Tesla planned to release the Cybercab with any sort of manual controls so that passengers could take over if needed. However, when Tesla started manufacturing production versions of the Cybercab in Giga Texas earlier this year, they were spotted without a steering wheel or pedals.

It essentially confirms the company has no intentions of bringing manual controls to the car’s production versions. Some have argued that the likelihood of Tesla having something

There still are some Cybercab units out there with a steering wheel and pedals, and as Tesla said, these cars are engineering or test vehicles, which have Safety Monitors on board to help the car out of a precarious situation or emergency.

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Tesla Full Self-Driving v14 ‘Lite’ Release Notes: new capabilities and features

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(Credit: Megan Gale/Twitter)

Tesla released the Full Self-Driving v14 ‘Lite’ suite to owners of Hardware 3 or AI3 vehicles today, adding several new features to the vehicles that were once believed to be capable of unsupervised self-driving.

Now, Tesla has released this modified suite to older Tesla vehicles, adding plenty of new features and capabilities.

Here are the full release notes for the suite:

  • Distilled the intelligence from HW4 V14 into HW3. This allows HW3 to directly learn how to handle scenarios using HW4 V14 as a guide. This process unlocks the improvements that have been made to HW4 including Reinforcement Learning (RL) and offline models for HW3.
  • Improved both proactive and reactive responsiveness across a wide variety of categories including navigation handling, merges and forks, pedestrian interactions, traffic lights, and vehicle cut-in scenarios.
  • Improved general comfort in nominal scenarios through fewer false slowdowns, smoother steering and more consistent lane centering.
  • Introduced parking, unparking, and reversing capabilities.
  • Added Arrival Options for you to select where FSD should park: in a Parking Lot, on the Street, in a Driveway, or at the Curbside.
  • Speed Profiles are now available at all times, to further customize driving style preference.

These improvements, according to Tesla’s Head of AI, Ashok Elluswamy, help distill the driving behavior from AI4’s v14 series into both the camera and compute configurations of AI3.

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14 ‘Lite’ for older cars finally gets released

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He added:

“It includes destination options and speed profiles on city roads, but more importantly significantly improved safety. We hope you’ll enjoy it, once the build ships wide.”

Tesla will continue to roll out the v14 Lite suite more widely in the coming weeks, the company said.

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