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SpaceX eyes West Coast for first Starlink launch of 2023

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SpaceX is reportedly planning to launch its first Starlink mission of 2023 from California’s Vandenberg Space Force Base.

Next Spaceflight reports that SpaceX is preparing to launch Starlink 2-4 no earlier than (NET) 6:54 pm PST on January 8th January 9th, almost eight weeks after unspecified issues with a Falcon 9 rocket indefinitely delayed the mission. While it’s impossible to confirm if the entire two-stage rocket and fairing were transferred, the Falcon 9 booster originally assigned to launch Starlink 2-4 on November 18th, 2022 instead launched an Israeli Earth observation satellite six weeks later.

Thankfully, after a strange and abrupt surge of technical (and indefinite) launch delays in November and December, SpaceX managed to complete its last three Falcon 9 launches without issue. The successful launch of the Falcon 9 booster assigned to Starlink 2-4 further suggests that whatever caused that surge is mostly behind SpaceX. So will the belated launch of Starlink 2-4 itself.

Signs of a return to sure footing are good for SpaceX’s plans to double down on its extraordinary growth in 2022. SpaceX rounded out the year with 61 successful orbital launches – just one shy of doubling its still impressive 31-launch record in 2021. 61 launches were also enough for Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy to tie an almost half-century-old Soviet record for the most annual launches completed by one family of rockets.

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Merely repeating that feat in 2023 would be unprecedented in the history of spaceflight. But SpaceX and CEO Elon Musk have again set their sights high and are targeting up to 100 launches this year – a 64% increase over 2022. Though it sounds improbable and will be even more difficult to achieve, SpaceX’s plans for the first month of 2023 are almost exactly what one would expect to see from a single company attempting to launch (up to) 100 times in one year.

Off to the races

SpaceX kicked off 2023 with the launch of its sixth Transporter rideshare mission on January 3rd. Unofficial public manifests like Next Spaceflight and Ben Cooper report that SpaceX wants to launch Starlink 2-4 on January 8th 9th, as well as a batch of OneWeb satellites the day prior. SpaceX’s fifth Falcon Heavy launch is scheduled to follow as early as January 12th, and a Falcon 9 rocket could launch the US military’s sixth GPS III satellite on January 18th. One or two more Starlink missions and the Amazonus Nexus geostationary communications satellite could round out the second half of the month.

Transporter-6 was the first orbital launch of 2023. (SpaceX)

Ultimately, whatever caused SpaceX’s late-year uptick in delays proved to be mostly inconsequential. Despite missing opportunities for an even busier year and not launching once between November 26th and December 8th, December 2022 was SpaceX’s first seven-launch calendar month on record. If just one of SpaceX’s most chronically delayed missions (Hakuto-R) had avoided delays, it’s likely the company would have launched eight times in one month – equivalent to 96 launches if sustained for a year.

Meanwhile, if Starlink 2-4 does launch on January 8th 9th, it will beat SpaceX’s 11.75-day West Coast turnaround record by 21 hours. If its two East Coast Falcon pads can also push the envelope throughout the year and the company can keep its extraordinary failure-free streak going, SpaceX has a surprisingly legitimate opportunity to launch 80, 90, or even 100 Falcon rockets in 2023.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’

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Credit: MarcoRP | X

Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.

In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.

In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:

“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”

This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.

The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.

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Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.

The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.

This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets initial stock coverage from Tesla’s biggest bull

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SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12
SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12 (Credit: SpaceX)

Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).

Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.

“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”

Elon Musk called it Epic: The full story of SpaceX’s Starship Flight 12

Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.

It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”

Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.

There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:

“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”

SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.

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Tesla expands massive safety feature worldwide in latest update

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has expanded the footprint of a massive safety feature worldwide with a recent Software Update labeled as 2026.20.6. The expansion of the “Blind Spot Warning While Parked” feature represents the more widespread availability of the feature, which aims to prevent “dooring.”

Dooring is when a driver or passenger opens a car door into the path of an oncoming road user, usually a cyclist or motorcyclist. It is among the most common types of cycling accidents, the League of American Bicyclists says.

For this reason, Tesla created a feature that warns occupants not to open the door because an object is approaching. The feature will sound a chime, and it will also delay the opening of the door to prevent an incident.

The release notes state (via Not a Tesla App):

“If you attempt to open a door while an approaching object is detected in your blind spot (for example, a bicyclist approaching from behind) a chime sounds, and your door will not open upon initial button press. Wait a short time and press the button a second time to override the warning.”

Tesla initially rolled out this feature back in 2024 with the Model 3 “Highland.” However, it remained with the Model 3 exclusively for over a year; that was until Tesla added it to the Cybertruck this past Spring.

Now, it is making its way to the new Model Y, 2021 and newer Model S, and 2021 or newer Model X.

The prevention of dooring incidents could eliminate many injuries to cyclists, especially in an urban setting. Dooring accounts for 10-20 percent of bike-related crashes in major cities, and over 17,000 dooring-related incidents were treated in the U.S. over the course of a decade. These usually involve fractures, contusions, and head trauma.

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