News
SpaceX makes rocket fairing catch look easy with “autopilot” recovery
SpaceX has made Falcon 9 rocket fairing recovery look easy in a video of the latest nosecone catch, published hours after the company’s successful Starlink-10 launch.
Posted on Twitter by Elon Musk not long after a SpaceX webcast host and engineer revealed that one of two fairing catch attempts had been successful, the video offers the best in-action view yet of an operational fairing recovery. Backed by elevator music, it also certainly carries a clear signature of the CEO’s humor, carrying the torch from previous hits like “How Not to Land an Orbital Rocket Booster“, “Grasshopper vs. Cows“, and the successful launch of a Tesla Roadster and spacesuit-wearing mannequin into interplanetary space.
Lackadaisical theme song aside, Musk also shed some light on the actual process of catching Falcon fairings with giant ships and nets. Those new details point towards a major improvement made in the last six or so months that’s helped enable an unprecedented three successful fairing catches in less than 30 days.
According to Musk, SpaceX caught the Starlink-10 fairing half with both recovery ship GO Ms. Tree and the parasailing fairing half “operating on (SpaceX) autopilot.” While his comments leave a great deal of room for interpretation, they seem to imply that SpaceX has found ways to make fairing recovery almost as automatic as Falcon booster landings. During Falcon first stage recovery, the booster and drone ship technically operate as if the other doesn’t exist – the ship simply station keeps in a very specific location and the booster targets that same specific location.
Fairing recovery, as SpaceX would quickly find out, was a dramatically more complex and touchy ballet of humans, machinery, and rocket parts. Little is known about the specifics of fairing recovery beyond the fact that fairing halves have cold gas thrusters for positioning in vacuum and use GPS-guided parafoils to travel towards a rough landing zone. For most prior attempts, it’s believed that one or several crew members were responsible for manually maneuvering the recovery ship during catch attempts.
Including controlled helicopter drop tests, SpaceX failed a dozen or more consecutive fairing catch attempts and even shipped the entire operation from California to Florida before the first successful catch finally came in June 2019. In an apparent fluke, SpaceX managed to catch another fairing half less than two months later. Five months later, SpaceX secured its third fairing catch – possibly the very same fairing half caught on Monday. Another six months after #3, SpaceX hit a major milestone, simultaneously catching both halves of a Falcon fairing with two separate ships on July 21st, 2020.
Now, just 29 days after that spectacular double catch, SpaceX has caught another Falcon 9 fairing half – tempered only by the fact that sister ship Ms. Chief missed her own catch attempt. While it could certainly be a fluke of luck akin to SpaceX’s back-to-back STP-2 and Amos-17 catches, Musk’s note that “fairing chute control & ship control are closing the loop locally” points to cautious optimism.
Cryptic as ever, the comment seems to imply that SpaceX has debuted – or at least recently introduced – a kind of cooperative, autonomous navigation system that allows Falcon fairings and their recovery ships to communicate and function as a unit. For now, we’ll have to wait for the next catch attempt to get a better idea of just how much of a step forward SpaceX has made. SAOCOM 1B, SpaceX’s next Falcon 9 fairing recovery (and launch), is currently scheduled no earlier than (NET) August 27th.
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News
Tesla takes a step towards removal of Robotaxi service’s safety drivers
Tesla watchers are speculating that the implementation of in-camera data sharing could be a step towards the removal of the Robotaxi service’s safety drivers.
Tesla appears to be preparing for the eventual removal of its Robotaxi service’s safety drivers.
This was hinted at in a recent de-compile of the Robotaxi App’s version 25.11.5, which was shared on social media platform X.
In-cabin analytics
As per Tesla software tracker @Tesla_App_iOS, the latest update to the Robotaxi app featured several improvements. These include Live Screen Sharing, as well as a feature that would allow Tesla to access video and audio inside the vehicle.
According to the software tracker, a new prompt has been added to the Robotaxi App that requests user consent for enhanced in-cabin data sharing, which comprise Cabin Camera Analytics and Sound Detection Analytics. Once accepted, Tesla would be able to retrieve video and audio data from the Robotaxi’s cabin.
Video and audio sharing
A screenshot posted by the software tracker on X showed that Cabin Camera Analytics is used to improve the intelligence of features like request support. Tesla has not explained exactly how the feature will be implemented, though this might mean that the in-cabin camera may be used to view and analyze the status of passengers when remote agents are contacted.
Sound Detection Analytics is expected to be used to improve the intelligence of features like siren recognition. This suggests that Robotaxis will always be actively listening for emergency vehicle sirens to improve how the system responds to them. Tesla, however, also maintained that data collected by Robotaxis will be anonymous. In-cabin data will not be linked to users unless they are needed for a safety event or a support request.
Tesla watchers are speculating that the implementation of in-camera data sharing could be a step towards the removal of the Robotaxi service’s safety drivers. With Tesla able to access video and audio feeds from Robotaxis, after all, users can get assistance even if they are alone in the driverless vehicle.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
News
Tesla’s Elon Musk posts updated Robotaxi fleet ramp for Austin, TX
Musk posted his update on social media platform X.
Elon Musk says Tesla will “roughly double” its supervised Robotaxi fleet in Austin next month as riders report long wait times and limited availability across the pilot program in the Texas city. Musk posted his update on social media platform X.
The move comes as Waymo accelerates its U.S. expansion with its fully driverless freeway service, intensifying competition in autonomous mobility.
Tesla to increase Austin Robotaxi fleet size
Tesla’s Robotaxi service in Austin continues to operate under supervised conditions, requiring a safety monitor in the front seat even as the company seeks regulatory approval to begin testing without human oversight. The current fleet is estimated at about 30 vehicles, StockTwists noted, and Musk’s commitment to doubling that figure follows widespread rider complaints about limited access and “High Service Demand” notifications.
Influencers and early users of the Robotaxi service have observed repeated failures to secure a ride during peak times, highlighting a supply bottleneck in one of Tesla’s most visible autonomy pilots. The expansion aims to provide more consistent availability as the company scales and gathers more real-world driving data, an advantage analysts often cite as a differentiator versus rivals.
Broader rollout plans
Tesla’s Robotaxi service has so far only been rolled out to Austin and the Bay Area, though reports have indicated that the electric vehicle maker is putting in a lot of effort to expand the service to other cities across the United States. Waymo, the Robotaxi service’s biggest competitor, has ramped its service to areas like the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and Phoenix.
Analysts continue to highlight Tesla’s long-term autonomy potential due to its global fleet size, vertically integrated design, and immense real-world data. ARK Invest has maintained that Tesla Robotaxis could represent up to 90% of the company’s enterprise value by 2029. BTIG analysts, on the other hand, added that upcoming Full Self-Driving upgrades will enhance reasoning, particularly parking decisions, while Tesla pushes toward expansions in Austin, the Bay Area, and potentially 8 to 10 metro regions by the end of 2025.
Tesla takes a step towards removal of Robotaxi service’s safety drivers
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
