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Investor's Corner

Tesla price target reductions, Rivian recall take focus as EV stocks slide

Credit: Tesla

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Electric vehicle stocks are continuing to slide on Monday as a broader market turnover continues to affect the economy. Tesla faced several price target reductions on Monday morning amidst a lower-than-expected delivery count for Q3, while Rivian shares are down due to a recall that affected over 12,000 vehicles. However, these are not the only two companies facing heat during Monday’s trading session.

Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares have been beaten and battered over the past month, down over 27 percent. Last week alone accounted for a nearly 12 percent slip in Tesla share price, attributed to a weaker-than-anticipated delivery count when the company announced Q3 numbers earlier this month. Tesla delivered 343,890 vehicles but missed Wall Street expectations. The automaker detailed difficult supply chain conditions for the slide in deliveries, which ultimately ended up occurring in Q4 instead of Q3.

“As our production volumes continue to grow, it is becoming increasingly challenging to secure vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost during these peak logistics weeks,” Tesla said when it announced the delivery figures on October 2. “In Q3, we began transitioning to a more even regional mix of vehicle builds each week, which led to an increase in cars in transit at the end of the quarter. These cars have been ordered and will be delivered to customers upon arrival at their destination.”

These issues, while contributing to early Q4 deliveries, encouraged Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas to trim his Tesla price target from $383 to $350.

“We believe factors that drove Tesla’s weaker than expected 3Q production and deliveries could continue to present headwinds into 4Q as well as into FY23,” a note to investors said. Morgan Stanley trimmed its 2022 delivery outlook from 1.37 million vehicles to 1.31 million. The firm also revised its 2023 forecast by 200,000 cars from 2 million to 1.8 million.

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“We reiterate our OW (overweight) rating on Tesla and continue to position the name as a core holding.”

Tesla also had its price target trimmed by UBS from $367 to $350, as analyst Patrick Hummel maintained a “Buy” rating. RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak also cut the firm’s price target on Tesla to $340 from $367.

Tesla shares were trading at $222.79 at the time of publish.

Rivian

Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) saw more than a 10.5 percent dip in Monday trading following a recall of more than 12,000 vehicles on Friday.

Rivian announced last week that it was issuing a recall on 12,212 R1T, R1S, and EDV (Electric Delivery Van) units due to a “loose steering knuckle fastener.” The NHTSA stated, “The fastener connecting the front upper control arm and steering knuckle may have been improperly tightened,” which may cause the fastener to separate and cause a loss of vehicle control.

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“This is a black eye for Rivian now just starting to hit its stride on reaching its 25k production target,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said. “A modest setback.”

Rivian shares were trading at $30.63 at the time of publish.

Other EV Stocks: A rough day on Wall Street

Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID), Nio (NYSE: NIO), Li Auto (NASDAQ: LI), and Ford (NYSE: F) were all down at least 3 percent at 11:20 A.M. on the East Coast.

Ford’s 7.2 percent drop on Monday was the most notable. Wall Street continues skepticism on whether legacy automakers like Ford and GM can remain afloat among rising competition and a robust lineup of carmakers that show more promise in the EV sector. Analysts at UBS downgraded Ford and lowered its price target to $10 from $13. The Motley Fool stated in its synopsis of Ford’s struggles that the company’s key metrics for September were the weakest among U.S. automakers, making it more vulnerable during a recession than its peers.

Price increases on Ford’s F-150 Lightning have indicated the company is making the right moves to keep margins in the right place. Additionally, the company is feeling healthy demand from consumers as it recently suspended accepting orders on the Mustang Mach-E’s base trim, citing high demand and a long order backlog.

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Ford stock was trading at $11.32 at the time of publish.

Disclosure: Joey Klender owns Tesla stock, but no shares of any other automaker mentioned in this article.

I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

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Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Investor's Corner

Tesla wins $508 price target from Stifel as Robotaxi rollout gains speed

The firm cited meaningful progress in Tesla’s robotaxi roadmap, ongoing Full Self-Driving enhancements, and the company’s long-term growth initiatives.

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Credit: Joe Tegtmeyer/X

Tesla received another round of bullish analyst updates this week, led by Stifel, raising its price target to $508 from $483 while reaffirming a “Buy” rating. The firm cited meaningful progress in Tesla’s robotaxi roadmap, ongoing Full Self-Driving enhancements, and the company’s long-term growth initiatives. 

Robotaxi rollout, FSD updates, and new affordable cars

Stifel expects Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to expand into 8–10 major metropolitan areas by the end of 2025, including Austin, where early deployments without safety drivers are targeted before year-end. Additional markets under evaluation include Nevada, Florida, and Arizona, as noted in an Investing.com report. The firm also highlighted strong early performance for FSD Version 14, with upcoming releases adding new “reasoning capabilities” designed to improve complex decision-making using full 360-degree vision.

Tesla has also taken steps to offset the loss of U.S. EV tax credits by launching the Model Y Standard and Model 3 Standard at $39,990 and $36,990, Stifel noted. Both vehicles deliver more than 300 miles of range and are positioned to sustain demand despite shifting incentives. Stifel raised its EBITDA forecasts to $14.9 billion for 2025 and $19.5 billion for 2026, assigning partial valuation weightings to Tesla’s FSD, robotaxi, and Optimus initiatives.

TD Cowen also places an optimistic price target

TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating with a $509 price target after a research tour of Giga Texas, citing production scale and operational execution as key strengths. The firm posted its optimistic price target following a recent Mobility Bus tour in Austin. The tour included a visit to Giga Texas, which offered fresh insights into the company’s operations and prospects. 

Additional analyst movements include Truist Securities maintaining its Hold rating following shareholder approval of Elon Musk’s compensation plan, viewing the vote as reducing leadership uncertainty.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla receives major institutional boost with Nomura’s rising stake

The move makes Tesla Nomura’s 10th-largest holding at about 1% of its entire portfolio.

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Credit: Tesla China

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has gained fresh institutional support, with Nomura Asset Management expanding its position in the automaker. 

Nomura boosted its Tesla holdings by 4.2%, adding 47,674 shares and bringing its total position to more than 1.17 million shares valued at roughly $373.6 million. The move makes Tesla Nomura’s 10th-largest holding at about 1% of its entire portfolio.

Institutional investors and TSLA

Nomura’s filing was released alongside several other fund updates. Brighton Jones LLC boosted its holdings by 11.8%, as noted in a MarketBeat report, and Revolve Wealth Partners lifted its TSLA position by 21.2%. Bison Wealth increased its Tesla stake by 52.2%, AMG National Trust Bank increased its position in shares of Tesla by 11.8%, and FAS Wealth Partners increased its TSLA holdings by 22.1%. About 66% of all outstanding Tesla shares are now owned by institutional investors.

The buying comes shortly after Tesla reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, posting $0.50 per share compared with the $0.48 consensus. Revenue reached $28.10 billion, topping Wall Street’s $24.98 billion estimate. Despite the earnings beat, Tesla continues to trade at a steep premium relative to peers, with a market cap hovering around $1.34 trillion and a price-to-earnings ratio near 270.

Recent insider sales

Some Tesla insiders have sold stock as of late. CFO Vaibhav Taneja sold 2,606 shares in early September for just over $918,000, reducing his personal stake by about 21%. Director James R. Murdoch executed a far larger sale, offloading 120,000 shares for roughly $42 million and trimming his holdings by nearly 15%. Over the past three months, Tesla insiders have collectively sold 202,606 shares valued at approximately $75.6 million, as per SEC disclosures.

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Tesla is currently entering its next phase of growth, and if it is successful, it could very well become the world’s most valuable company as a result. The company has several high-profile projects expected to be rolled out in the coming years, including Optimus, the humanoid robot, and the Cybercab, an autonomous two-seater with the potential to change the face of roads across the globe.

@teslarati Tesla Full Self-Driving yields for pedestrians while human drivers do not…the future is here! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ 2 Little 2 Late – Levi & Mario
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Investor's Corner

Ron Baron states Tesla and SpaceX are lifetime investments

Baron, one of Tesla’s longest-standing bulls, reiterated that his personal stake in the company remains fully intact even as volatility pressures the broader market.

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Credit: @TeslaLarry/X

Billionaire investor Ron Baron says he isn’t touching a single share of his personal Tesla holdings despite the recent selloff in the tech sector. Baron, one of Tesla’s longest-standing bulls, reiterated that his personal stake in the company remains fully intact even as volatility pressures the broader market.

Baron doubles down on Tesla

Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Baron stated that he is largely unfazed by the market downturn, describing his approach during the selloff as simply “looking” for opportunities. He emphasized that Tesla remains the centerpiece of his long-term strategy, recalling that although Baron Funds once sold 30% of its Tesla position due to client pressure, he personally refused to trim any of his personal holdings.

“We sold 30% for clients. I did not sell personally a single share,” he said. Baron’s exposure highlighted this stance, stating that roughly 40% of his personal net worth is invested in Tesla alone. The legendary investor stated that he has already made about $8 billion from Tesla from an investment of $400 million when he started, and believes that figure could rise fivefold over the next decade as the company scales its technology, manufacturing, and autonomy roadmap.

A lifelong investment

Baron’s commitment extends beyond Tesla. He stated that he also holds about 25% of his personal wealth in SpaceX and another 35% in Baron mutual funds, creating a highly concentrated portfolio built around Elon Musk–led companies. During the interview, Baron revisited a decades-old promise he made to his fund’s board when he sought approval to invest in publicly traded companies.

“I told the board, ‘If you let me invest a certain amount of money, then I will promise that I won’t sell any of my stock. I will be the last person out of the stock,’” he said. “I will not sell a single share of my shares until my clients sold 100% of their shares. … And I don’t expect to sell in my lifetime Tesla or SpaceX.”

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Watch Ron Baron’s CNBC interview below.

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