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Investor's Corner

Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2022 earnings results: Analysts’ revenue estimates met, EPS expectations exceeded

A Tesla retail store at International Market Place in Waikiki, Honolulu, Oahu, Hawaii. Here, a Tesla Model X is on display with its falcon wing doors up. (Credit: Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States, CC BY 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons)

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Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) posted its second-quarter 2022 earnings report after markets closed today. The results, which were discussed in the Q2 2022 Update Letter, were released after the closing bell on Wednesday, July 20, 2022.

Tesla faced headwinds in the second quarter, with the company producing a total of 258,580 vehicles and delivering 254,695. Tesla’s figures could be attributed to Giga Shanghai’s Covid-related shutdowns in April, which cost the company several weeks’ worth of vehicle production. 

The following is a quick overview of Tesla’s Q2 2022 results.

REVENUE

Tesla posted total revenues of $16.934B billion with a gross profit of $4.234B billion. In comparison, analysts expected Tesla to post revenue of $16.9 billion. Overall, Tesla’s revenue grew 42% year-over-year.

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EARNINGS PER SHARE

Tesla posted non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.27 per share. In comparison, analysts were expecting Tesla to post adjusted earnings per share of $1.83

CASH

Tesla posted operating cash flow less CAPEX of $621 million in the second quarter. In total, the company was able to add $0.88 billion in its cash and cash equivalents to $18.3 billion in Q2 2022. Tesla noted that it converted approximately 75% of its Bitcoin purchases into fiat currency, bringing in $936M of cash to the company’s balance sheet.

PROFITABILITY

Tesla posted $2.5B GAAP operating income; 14.6% operating margin in Q2 2022, $2.3B GAAP net income; $2.6B non-GAAP net income (ex-SBC1) in the second quarter, and 27.9% GAAP automotive gross margin in Q2. Tesla’s operating income improved YoY to $2.5B in Q2, resulting in a 14.6% operating margin.

OTHER NOTABLE UPDATES

The Fremont factory was able to produce a record number of vehicles in the second quarter. The next generation of 4680 cell machinery has also been installed in Giga Texas. The new 4680 machinery are currently in the process of being commissioned

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Gigafactory Shanghai currently has a capacity of over 750,000 vehicles per year, but the facility will soon be able to produce more after its upgrades this month. 

Giga Berlin exhibited strong production rate improvement at the end of the second quarter, with Tesla Germany producing more than 1,000 Model Y in one week. These vehicles are also equipped with 2170 cells, and thus still use more parts. 

As for Full Self-Driving and Autopilot, the FSD Beta group has now increased to over 100,000 drivers. Tesla Vision is also now being used for other features such as tightening seatbelts earlier in certain crashes. 

Tesla Energy deployments decreased by 11% year-over-year in the second quarter to just 1.1 GWh, mainly due to semiconductor challenges. Solar deployments increased by 25% YoY in Q2 to 106 MW, however. 

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Below is Tesla’s Q2 2022 Update Letter. 

Disclaimer: I am long TSLA.

Don’t hesitate to contact us with news tips. Just send a message to simon@teslarati.com to give us a heads up.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla crushes Wall Street expectations, beats delivery estimates by over 15 percent

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Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) beat Wall Street expectations of 406,000 vehicles delivered in Q2 by reporting 480,126 deliveries for the three months ending in June.

Tesla reported it delivered 467,762  Model 3 and Model Y units, while 12,364 Model S, Model X, and Cybertrucks switched hands during the quarter. The Model S and Model X were officially sunset this past quarter and will no longer be part of the company’s Production & Delivery reports moving forward.

The quarter is a pleasant surprise and a good rebound from Q1, when Tesla slightly missed the Wall Street consensus of 365,645 cars by reporting 358,023 deliveries for the first three motnhs of the year.

Energy storage deployments also provided some strength in Tesla’s delivery report, hitting 13.5 GWh for Q2. This is a particular division of Tesla’s business that has been overwhelmingly robust over the past few years, truly being a strong point of the company’s overall model.

For the year, Tesla analysts still predict deliveries to trend in the 1.69 million unit region, a modest 3 to 5 percent increase from the 1.64 million cars the company delivered last year. Tesla will likely return to more sequential and noticeable year-over-year growth as the Cybercab project starts to ramp up considerably in the next few years.

Tesla has some other potential catalysts to spur vehicle deliveries, too. Not only is it expecting Cybercab to truly start making a change in the next few years, but other vehicles could be entering the company’s lineup.

Tesla sends production Cybercab with no steering wheel, pedals to on-road testing

The slightly longer Model Y L has been a highly speculated release candidate in the U.S. It has already done incredibly well in China, and U.S. buyers have been wanting slightly more interior space than the Model Y. Now that the Model X is gone, it is more needed than ever.

Q2 highlights a pretty stable automotive division within Tesla, and no true concerns arise from these figures, especially considering it managed to beat expectations convincingly.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’

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Credit: MarcoRP | X

Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.

In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.

In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:

“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”

This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.

The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.

The Tesla and SpaceX merger everyone is talking about is quietly building

Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.

The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.

This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets initial stock coverage from Tesla’s biggest bull

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SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12
SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12 (Credit: SpaceX)

Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).

Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.

“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”

Elon Musk called it Epic: The full story of SpaceX’s Starship Flight 12

Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.

It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”

Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.

There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:

“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”

SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.

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