Connect with us

Investor's Corner

Trucking veteran Navistar looks to outnumber Tesla Semi by 2025

Published

on

Trucking veteran Navistar International Corp. says it will launch more electric trucks on the roads than Tesla by 2025. In a statement to Trucks.com, Navistar CEO Troy Clarke declared that his firm’s electric trucks would outnumber the Tesla Semi on the roads, and cites the company’s experience as reason for its future success.

In a lot of ways, Clarke’s words towards its Elon Musk-led rival are not empty. Navistar, after all, commands a pretty large part of the trucking industry, with the brand holding 11 percent of the market in the Class 8 segment, the heaviest weight classification in the business. According to the Navistar CEO, it would be quite easy for the trucking veteran to eclipse the Tesla Semi because the firm has a lot of experience and a solid, proven reputation.

“Customers know us, and they know that when we give them a truck, it gives them a guarantee that this truck is going to serve their needs, because we understand how our customers make money.”

Quite interestingly, Navistar, just like Tesla, has not started manufacturing its electric big rigs yet. The CEO did state, however, that the veteran firm’s electric truck will be ready for a roll-out sometime in late 2019 or early 2020.

In order to bring its electric truck to life, Navistar would be collaborating with Volkswagen Truck & Bus, which is also an established, formidable presence in the long-haul industry. VW Truck & Bus currently owns 17 percent of Navistar, which allows both firms to work together on vehicle development and design, from the exterior to the motors of the upcoming truck.

While it seems quite ironic to see Navistar, which does not have an electric truck yet, challenge the Tesla Semi, Stephens Inc. transport analyst Brad Delco believes that the veteran truckmaker is well grounded in its declaration. According to the analyst, it all comes down to dealerships and service centers available to customers — something that Tesla is still in the process of achieving.

Advertisement

“(Navistar) has an established network of dealers nationwide to service the product… With established brands such as International, Peterbilt, Kenworth, and Freightliner, if something goes astray, those trucks get pulled into their dealerships to get fixed immediately, particularly when under warranty.”

Despite these reservations, however, Tesla continues to grow at a rate that is nigh-unprecedented in the auto industry. UPS has recently become the largest Tesla Semi customer to date, putting in 125 pre-orders and joining other large fleet owners such as PepsiCo, J.B. Hunt, Anheuser-Busch, Walmart, and Sysco with semi-truck reservations.

While Tesla might not have the infrastructure to rival legacy trucking firms such as Navistar head-on currently, the California-based electric carmaker has the advantage of momentum. Thus, it might only be a matter of time before Tesla catches up to the most formidable brands in the auto industry.

Apart from this, the Tesla Semi is also designed with quality and durability in mind, with CEO Elon Musk emphasizing that the massive vehicles would come with a 1 million-mile warranty. Coupled with a drivetrain that’s powered by four electric motors and Tesla’s formidable software suite that will allow for Convoy Mode, the Silicon Valley-based carmaker’s lack of facilities across the nation might ultimately end up as a non-issue.

Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

Comments

Investor's Corner

Tesla “best positioned” for Trump tariffs among automakers: analyst

Ives has a price target of $315 per share for the electric vehicle maker.

Published

on

Credit: Tesla

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives recently shared his thoughts about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) amidst the Trump administration’s tariffs. As per Ives, Tesla is best-positioned relative to its rivals when it comes to the ongoing tariff issue.

Ives has a price target of $315 per share for the electric vehicle maker.

Best Positioned

During an interview with Yahoo Finance, the segment’s hosts asked about his thoughts on Tesla, especially considering Musk’s work with the Trump administration. Musk has previously stated that the effects of tariffs on Tesla are significant due to parts that are imported from abroad.

“When it comes to the tariff issue, they are actually best positioned relative to the Detroit Big Three and others and obviously foreign automakers. Still impacted, Musk has talked about that, in terms of just auto parts,” Ives stated.

China and Musk

Ives also stated that ultimately, a big factor for Tesla in the coming months may be the Chinese market’s reactions to its tariff war. He also noted that the next few quarters will be pivotal for Tesla considering the brand damage that Elon Musk has incited due to his politics and work with the Trump administration.

Advertisement

“When it comes to Tesla, I think the worry is where does retaliatory look like in China, in terms of buying domestic. I think that’s something that’s a play. And they have a pivotal six months head, in terms of what everything we see in Austin, autonomous, and the buildout. 

“But the brand issues that Musk self-inflicted is dealing with in terms of demand destruction in Europe and the US. And that’s why this is a key few quarters ahead for Tesla and also for Musk to make, in my opinion, the right decision to take a step back from the administration,” Ives noted.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla negativity “priced into the stock at its current levels:” CFRA analyst

The CFRA analyst has given Tesla a price target of $360 per share.

Published

on

Credit: Tesla China

In recent comments to the Schwab Network, CFRA analyst Garrett Nelson stated that a lot of the “negative sentiment towards Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is priced into the stock at its current levels.”

The CFRA analyst has given Tesla a price target of $360 per share.

Q1 A Low Point in Sales

The CFRA analyst stated that Tesla’s auto sales likely bottomed last quarter, as noted in an Insider Monkey report. This was, Nelson noted, due to Q1 typically being the “weakest quarter for automakers.” He also highlighted that all four of Tesla’s vehicle factories across the globe were idled in the first quarter.

While Nelson highlighted the company’s changeover to the new Model Y as a factor in Q1, he also acknowledged the effects of CEO Elon Musk’s politics. The analyst noted that while Tesla lost customers due to Musk’s political opinions, the electric vehicle maker has also gained some new customers in the process.

CFRA’s Optimistic Stance

Nelson also highlighted that Tesla’s battery storage business has been growing steadily over the years, ending its second-best quarter in Q1 2025. The analyst noted that Tesla Energy has higher margins than the company’s electric vehicle business, and Tesla itself has a very strong balance sheet.

Advertisement

The CFRA analyst also predicted that Tesla could gain market share in the United States because it has less exposure to the Trump administration’s tariffs. Teslas are the most American-made vehicles in the country, so the Trump tariffs’ effects on the company will likely be less notable compared to other automakers that produce their cars abroad.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla average transaction prices (ATP) rise in March 2025: Cox Automotive

Tesla Model Y and Model 3 saw an increase in their average transaction price (ATP) in March 2025.

Published

on

Credit: Tesla/X

Data recently released from Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book has revealed that electric vehicles such as the Tesla Model Y and Model 3 saw an increase in their average transaction price (ATP) in March 2025.

Cox Automotive’s findings were shared in a press release

March 2025 EV ATPs

As noted by Cox, new electric vehicle prices in March were estimated to be $59,205, a 7% increase year-over-year. In February, new EV prices had an ATP of $57,015. The average transaction price for electric vehicles was 24.7% higher than the overall auto industry ATP of $47,462.

As per Cox, “Compared to the overall industry ATP ($47,462), EV ATPs in March were higher by nearly 25% as the gap between new ICE and new EV grows wider. EV incentives continued to range far above the industry average. In March, the average incentive package for an EV was 13.3% of ATP, down from the revised 14.3% in February.”

Tesla ATPs in Focus

While Tesla saw challenges in the first quarter due to its factories’ changeover to the new Model Y, the company’s ATPs last month were estimated at $54,582, a year-over-year increase of 3.5% and a month-over-month increase of 4.5%. A potential factor in this could be the rollout of the Tesla Model Y Launch Series, a fully loaded, limited-edition variant of the revamped all-electric crossover that costs just under $60,000.

This increase, Cox noted, was evident in Tesla’s two best-selling vehicles, the Model 3 sedan and the Model Y crossover, the best-selling car globally in 2023 and 2024. “ATPs for Tesla’s two core models – Model 3 and Model Y – were higher month over month and year over year in March,” Cox wrote.

Advertisement

Cox’s Other Findings

Beyond electric vehicles, Cox also estimated that new vehicle ATPs held steady month-over-month and year-over-year in March at $47,462, down slightly from the revised-lower ATP of $47,577 in February. Sales incentives in March were flat compared to February at 7% of ATP, though they are 5% higher than 2024, when incentives were equal to 6.7% of ATP. 

Estimates also suggest that new vehicle sales in March topped 1.59 million units, the best volume month in almost four years. This was likely due to consumers purchasing cars before the Trump administration’s tariffs took effect. As per Erin Keating, an executive analyst at Cox, all things are pointing to higher vehicle prices this summer. 

“All signs point to higher prices this summer, as existing ‘pre-tariff’ inventory is sold down to be eventually replaced with ‘tariffed’ inventory. How high prices rise for consumers is still very much to be determined, as each automaker will handle the price puzzle differently. Should the White House posture hold, our team is expecting new vehicles directly impacted by the 25% tariff to see price increases in the range of 10-15%,” Keating stated.

Continue Reading

Trending