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Tesla Gigafactory 3 construction in China begins with rapid buildout of perimeter fence
Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai is beginning to take shape, with construction work on the facility entering its first phases. Drone footage taken last Wednesday, for one, recently revealed that workers have seemingly finished laying a perimeter fence around Tesla’s 864,885-square meter plot of land in Shanghai’s Lingang Industrial Zone, paving the way for more work to be done.
The drone footage of Gigafactory 3’s perimeter fence comes just over a week after Shanghai Mayor Ying Yong and Vice Mayor Wu Qing met with Tesla’s leaders in China to check out the company’s new vehicles like the Model 3. During their visit, the officials urged Tesla and other parties involved in the facility’s construction to expedite the buildout of Gigafactory 3.
Tesla’s timeframe for Gigafactory 3 has always been ambitious. When the company initially announced that it plans to start vehicle production in the facility roughly two years after the site’s construction begins, many were dismissive. Tesla critics were quick to note that such a timeframe is too ambitious. Wall Street was equally skeptical, with Consumer Edge Research senior auto analyst James Albertine dubbing Gigafactory 3’s timeline as simply “not feasible.”
Tesla, for its part, eventually opted to change its initial timeline for the facility. Instead of taking a more conservative stance, though, Tesla did the opposite, stating in its Q3 2018 vehicle production and deliveries report that it would be accelerating the construction of Gigafactory 3 even more. Tesla further noted that it expects the project to be a “capital efficient and rapid buildout, using many lessons learned from the Model 3 ramp in North America.”
While the timeframe for Gigafactory 3 is undoubtedly ambitious, the company does enjoy the favor of the Chinese government, allowing Tesla to tap into local resources and manpower. Seemingly as a response to questions about Tesla’s ability to gain funding for the project, for example, reports emerged that local Shanghai banks have given the electric car maker low-interest loans amounting to 30% of the factory’s estimated costs. Tesla’s bid for the 864,885-square meter plot of land also went unchallenged, enabling the company to quickly prepare for the facility’s construction. With this in mind, it appears that the rapid buildout of Gigafactory 3’s perimeter fence is simply yet another sign that the government fully supports the project.
Chinese Media: After Tesla China announced the new pricing structure of Model S and X, many potential customers rush to their nearest Tesla stores to check out the vehicles, many of them were ordered right at the stores, demand largely increased. $TSLA #Tesla #China #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/NnYUbvsbg4
— vincent (@vincent13031925) December 16, 2018
Gigafactory 3 will play a considerable role in Tesla’s expansion into the Chinese market. By producing vehicles locally, Tesla would be able to avoid the import tariffs placed on its vehicles coming from the United States, while allowing Tesla to release competitively priced cars to go against lower-priced EVs being produced by local carmakers.
China stands as the world’s largest market for electric cars, being a country that is aggressively pushing for sustainable transportation. With this in mind, Tesla’s success in the country would likely be dependent on how it could target the greater Chinese auto industry with its lower-priced vehicles. While the Model S and Model X are mostly seen as status symbols for the successful and wealthy, the luxury sedan and SUV nonetheless cater to the country’s upper class, which represents a much smaller market. With vehicles such as the Model Y and the Model 3 saturating the country from Gigafactory 3, Tesla could tap into China’s ever-growing mainstream electric car market, which is on pace to hit a milestone of 1 million EVs sold in 2018.
Watch the progress of Gigafactory 3 in the video below.
https://youtu.be/rx3mXjQg46U
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Another Tesla Model 3 variant sold out for January 2026 in China
A look at Tesla China’s order page shows that new Model 3 LR RWD orders now have an estimated delivery date of February 2026.
Another Tesla Model 3 variant in China appears to have sold out for January 2026, with the vehicle now showing an estimated delivery date of February 2026 for new orders. This bodes well for the all-electric sedan, which has maintained notable sales despite more affordable rivals like the Xiaomi SU7 and its crossover sibling, the Model Y.
Model 3 LR RWD joins February 2026 queue
A look at Tesla China’s order page for the all-electric sedan shows that new Model 3 Long Range Rear Wheel Drive orders now have an estimated delivery date of February 2026. Priced from RMB 259,500 ($36,810), the LR RWD sits as the second-lowest-priced trim in Tesla China’s four-variant Model 3 lineup. The move follows a similar delivery timeframe for the Model 3 Performance, which remains the most expensive option for the vehicle, as noted in a CNEV Post report.
The estimated delivery dates of the two remaining Model 3 variants remain unchanged for now. The base RWD version, starting at RMB 235,500, and the LR AWD variant, priced from RMB 285,500, both continue to list estimated delivery times of 4-6 weeks. Tesla China, for its part, has continued to list in-stock Model 3 vehicles and is actively encouraging buyers to select inventory units for delivery before the end of the year.
Model Y delays and policy shifts
Delivery timelines for the Model Y in China are also stretching into 2026. All customized Model Y variants now show February 2026 as their estimated delivery date, except for the entry-level version, which still lists January 2026. Tesla has been urging customers since November to prioritize purchasing inventory vehicles, a push aimed at maximizing year-end deliveries.
Timing matters for Chinese buyers due to upcoming changes in government incentives. China’s new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption will be scaled back in 2026, which means customers who take delivery next year could face higher tax costs compared to those who are able to receive vehicles before the end of the year.
As per data from the China Passenger Car Association, Tesla recorded retail sales of 73,145 vehicles in November, down 0.47% year over year. From January through November, Tesla’s retail sales in China totaled 531,855 units, a 7.37% year-over-year drop.
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Wedbush’s Dan Ives sees ‘monster year’ ahead for Tesla amid AI push
In a post on X, the analyst stated that the electric vehicle maker could hit a $3 trillion market cap by the end of 2026 in a bullish scenario.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives is doubling down on Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) long-term upside. In a post on X, the analyst stated that the electric vehicle maker could hit a $3 trillion market cap by the end of 2026 in a bullish scenario, thanks to the company’s efforts to develop and push its artificial intelligence programs.
An aggressive valuation upside
Ives, Wedbush’s global head of tech research, stated in his post that Tesla is entering a pivotal period as its autonomy and robotics ambitions move closer to commercialization. He expects Tesla’s market cap to reach $2 trillion in 2026, representing roughly 33% upside from current levels, with a bull case up to a $3 trillion market cap by year-end.
Overall, Ives noted that 2026 could become a “monster year” for TSLA. “Heading into 2026, this marks a monster year ahead for Tesla/Musk as the autonomous and robotics chapter begins. We believe Tesla hits a $2 trillion market cap in 2026 and in a bull case scenario $3 trillion by end of 2026… as the AI chapter takes hold at TSLA,” the analyst wrote.
Ives also reiterated his “Outperform” rating on TSLA stock, as well as his $600 per share price target.
Unsupervised Full-Self Driving tests
Fueling optimism is Tesla’s recent autonomous vehicle testing in Austin, Texas. Over the weekend, at least two Tesla Model Ys were spotted driving on public roads without a safety monitor or any other occupants. CEO Elon Musk later confirmed the footage of one of the vehicles on X, writing in a post that “testing is underway with no occupant in the car.”
It remains unclear whether the vehicle was supported by chase cars or remote monitoring, and Tesla has not disclosed how many vehicles are involved. That being said, Elon Musk stated a week ago that Tesla would be removing its Safety Monitors from its vehicles “within the next three weeks.” Based on the driverless vehicles’ sightings so far, it appears that Musk’s estimate may be right on the mark, at least for now.
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Production-ready Tesla Cybercab hits showroom floor in San Jose
Tesla has implemented subtle but significant updates to both the Cybercab’s exterior and interior elements.
Tesla has showcased what appears to be a near-production-ready Cybercab at its Santana Row showroom in San Jose, California, giving visitors the closest look yet at the autonomous two-seater’s refined design.
Based on photos of the near-production-ready vehicle, the electric vehicle maker has implemented subtle but significant updates to both the Cybercab’s exterior and interior elements, making the vehicle look more polished and seemingly more comfortable than its prototypes from last year.
Exterior and interior refinements
The updated Cybercab, whose photos were initially shared by Tesla advocate Nic Cruz Patane, now features a new frameless window design, an extended bottom splitter on the front bumper, and a slightly updated rear hatch. It also includes a production-spec front lightbar with integrated headlights, new wheel covers, and a license plate bracket.
Notably, the vehicle now has two windshield wipers instead of the prototype’s single unit, along with powered door struts, seemingly for smoother opening of its butterfly doors. Inside, the Cybercab now sports what appears to be a redesigned dash and door panels, updated carpet material, and slightly refined seat cushions with new center cupholders. Its legroom seems to have gotten slightly larger as well.
Cybercab sightings
Sightings of the updated Cybercab have been abundant in recent months. At the end of October, the Tesla AI team teased some of the autonomous two-seater’s updates after it showed a photo of the vehicle being driven through an In-N-Out drive-through by employees in Halloween costumes. The photos of the Cybercab were fun, but they were significant, with longtime Tesla watchers noting that the company has a tradition of driving its prototypes through the fast food chain’s drive-throughs.
Even at the time, Tesla enthusiasts noticed that the Cybercab had received some design changes, such as segmented DRLs and headlamps, actual turn signals, and a splitter that’s a lot sharper. Larger door openings, which now seem to have been teasing the vehicle’s updated cabin, were also observed at the time.
Another Tesla Model 3 variant sold out for January 2026 in China
Wedbush’s Dan Ives sees ‘monster year’ ahead for Tesla amid AI push
