Investor's Corner
Tesla price targets move as analysts unravel massive Q2 earnings beat
Following Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) second-quarter Earnings Call that took place on Monday evening, analysts tasked with following the automaker’s stock have revised their price targets, working to unravel the massive beat that the company reported. Here is a quick rundown of what a few analysts are saying and how their outlook of the stock has changed after Tesla’s Q2 2021 Earnings Call.
Canaccord Genuity: Jed Dorsheimer lowers Tesla PT, maintains ‘Buy’ rating
Dorsheimer lowered his price target on Tesla to $768.00 from $812.00, maintaining a “Buy” rating on the stock. Impressed with Tesla’s “surprisingly strong Q2,” Dorsheimer and fellow analysts stated that Model Y builds from Germany and Texas will equip the 4680 cells Tesla has long worked to perfect. Energy generation and storage revenue doubled from Q1, and the selling-out of Megapacks until 2023 outlines a drastic need for Tesla’s energy products. However, the main concern moving ahead for Canaccord is “increased chip shortage concerns highlighted on the Earnings Call.”
Tesla did indicate that engineers had worked to create new configurations of controllers to combat semiconductor shortages.
The company stated:
“Our team has demonstrated an unparalleled ability to react quickly and mitigate disruptions to manufacturing caused by semiconductor shortages. Our electrical and firmware engineering teams remain hard at work designing, developing, and validating 19 new variants of controllers in response to ongoing semiconductor shortages.”
Dorsheimer holds a 55% success rate and an average return of 32.9%, according to TipRanks. He is ranked 213th out of 7,609 analysts.
RBC Capital: Shanghai’s Export “Hub,” Auto GM ex-credits hit record
RBC Capital analyst Joseph Spak raised Tesla’s price target to $745 from $718 with a “sector perform” rating.
Spak said, “Volumes were higher, but cost improved. In particular, we believe a good part of this improvement is because Tesla is now using Shanghai as the ‘primary vehicle export hub.’” Additionally, Tesla’s reports of Auto GM ex-credits hit a record of 25.8%, which was +380bps q/q, +710bps y/y, according to StreetInsider (per @SawyerMerritt).
Spak has a 53% success rate with an average return of -8.3%. He is ranked 7,456 out of 7,609 analysts on TipRanks.
CFRA: Increase to $675 from $650
CFRA analysts raised their outlook on TSLA stock by only $25 after the wildly successful earnings report, but the outlook is positive. “The beat was driven by a stronger-than-expected top line and margins, as revenue rose 90% to $11.96B ($560 above consensus) and auto gross margin expanded 300 bps to 28.4% (230 bps above consensus.).”
Tesla’s anticipated forecast to begin Model Y production at Berlin and Austin by EoY 2021 is also highlighted by CFRA, especially considering falsified reports that Musk’s inner circle expected Berlin to not begin production until early 2022, months later than originally expected.
CFRA maintains a “Hold” rating on Tesla stock.
* CFRA raises Tesla PT to $675
“We increase our 12-month price target by $25 to $675, based on a ‘22 P/E of 95.1x. We raise our adjusted EPS estimates by $0.40 to $4.95 for ‘21 and by $0.10 to $7.10 for ‘22.”$TSLA pic.twitter.com/QD6JyrhXxz
— David Tayar (@davidtayar5) July 27, 2021
At the time of writing, TSLA shares traded at $636.24, down 3.25%, despite the company’s strong Q2 earnings.
Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk breaks his silence on the Starlink impact to Ukraine drones
Musk says the US military and president set Starshield limits, not SpaceX, amid Ukraine complaints.
Elon Musk says the speed limit cutting out Ukraine’s military Starlink terminals is not SpaceX’s decision. In a post on X Wednesday, Musk wrote that “Starshield systems are owned and controlled by the US government. Any limits on speed or usage are decided by the US military and ultimately POTUS.” He added that Starlink is a commercial service limited to civilian or defensive activities and “cannot be used for offensive military action, as doing so would be inappropriate for a commercial company.”
He was replying to Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine’s former defense minister, who had thanked Musk for restoring connectivity at speeds up to 160 km/h and said removing the Starshield limit entirely is “now critical for Ukraine’s defense.”
Starshield systems are owned and controlled by the US government. Any limits on speed or usage are decided by the US military and ultimately POTUS.
Starlink is a commercial service owned and controlled by SpaceX. Usage of Starlink is limited to civilian or defensive activities and cannot be used for offensive military action, as doing so would be inappropriate for a commercial company.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 14, 2026
The complaint started Tuesday night, when Ukrainian officials said military terminals began losing service above roughly 100 mph. Presidential adviser Serhiy Beskrestnov said the defense forces got no warning and several missions were disrupted, as Teslarati reported earlier Wednesday. The 7th Rapid Reaction Corps told Reuters connections dropped for 10 to 20 seconds at speeds well below the limit, which made drones harder to control. Poland’s foreign minister, Radoslaw Sikorski, asked Musk on X whether he is “playing politics with your products again.”
That is why the Starlink and Starshield distinction matters. SpaceX introduced Starshield in 2022 as the government version of Starlink, with an initial focus on Earth observation, communications and hosted payloads. It won a Space Force contract in 2023 with a $70 million ceiling. In December 2024, the Pentagon moved Ukraine’s terminals onto Starshield, covering about 3,000 units across two contracts. Ukraine’s military connections therefore run through a service that Musk now says sits under Washington’s control.
While Musk’s post describes who holds authority, it does not infer that anyone ordered the limit, and neither SpaceX nor the US government has confirmed who set it. Ukrainian officials have pointed to the timing, which follows President Trump’s push for an energy ceasefire and Musk’s Saturday post that “Zelensky has gone too far.” The BBC noted Trump denied threatening to restrict intelligence sharing with Kyiv, and no evidence has been presented that Washington requested the cap.
The episode also revives a promise from 2025. After Poland accused him of threatening Ukraine’s access, Musk said Starlink “will never turn off its terminals” and would not be used as a bargaining chip. Poland has since supplied more than 29,000 terminals to Ukraine. Teslarati also covered Kyiv’s search for Starlink alternatives in 2025, and the latest dispute gives that search new urgency.
Investor's Corner
Tesla opens the Q&A for its biggest earnings call yet
Tesla opens its Q3 earnings Q&A, and Cybercab, Robotaxi, Optimus and regulators loom over October 21.
Tesla has opened its shareholder question portal for the Q3 2026 earnings call, with the Say Q&A page already listing questions. Investors have until 4:00 p.m. EDT on October 20 to submit and vote on what management should answer.
The call is set for Wednesday, October 21. Tesla will post results after the market closes, with a live webcast at 4:30 p.m. CT, or 5:30 p.m. ET, through its investor relations site.
Say ranks questions by the number of shares behind the votes, which gives institutional holders extra weight over the retail crowd.
Ahead of Q2, retail investors asked why Robotaxi growth had stalled, when Cybercab would start customer rides, and where the Optimus Gen 3 ramp stood, while an institutional holder asked how Tesla and SpaceX would split Terafab duties. Cybercab has since answered one of those. Tesla said last week it has 300 plus Cybercabs serving Austin, up eightfold in 30 days, with Dallas named as the next city. The questions now are likely to move from when to how fast.
There is also a regulatory question hanging over the call. NHTSA has demanded sworn answers on how the pedal free Cybercab was certified against federal safety standards, with responses due October 30, nine days after the call. Whether an analyst raises it live is unknown, but it is the kind of exposure that tends to find its way into a Q&A.
The numbers will not be the main draw. Tesla already reported 486,532 deliveries and 13.7 GWh of storage for the quarter. Consensus sits around 43 to 45 cents per share on roughly $27.8 billion in revenue, according to Zacks, after a Q2 report that missed on EPS. Goldman Sachs, which holds a Neutral rating and a $360 target, argues the outlook for Robotaxi, FSD and Optimus will matter more to the stock than the quarter itself.
The call also lands six days after the rescheduled Roadster event, which Tesla will stream on X on Thursday, October 15, at 7:55 p.m. CT. If the Roadster shows up with a production date or a SpaceX thruster package, expect it to climb the voting list before the deadline.
Elon Musk
FAA kicks off review of SpaceX’s bid to fly Starship nearly every day
FAA is reviewing SpaceX’s plan for 456 Starship launches a year, up from 25 today.
The FAA said Tuesday that it will prepare an environmental impact statement on SpaceX’s proposal to run as many as 456 Starship launches and 912 landings a year from Starbase, Texas. SpaceX is currently authorized for 25 launches and 50 landings annually, which makes the request roughly 18 times the existing ceiling. The notice of intent is set to publish in the Federal Register on Wednesday.
The plan comes in two phases. Phase 1 would allow up to 100 launches and 200 landings a year, on any day and at any hour. Phase 2, which the FAA says could arrive within several years, would raise the limit to the full 456 launches, still at any hour but only on weekdays. The agency noted that 912 landings is the upper limit for the Texas facility no matter where a given mission begins, and that Starship and Super Heavy could come down at the launch site or in the Gulf and open ocean.
A draft statement will be released for public comment at a later date, and the FAA has not said when. According to the Federal Registar, written comments are due November 30 on regulations.gov under docket FAA-2026-12808, with in person scoping meetings on November 17 in Brownsville and November 19 in Port Isabel, plus a virtual session on November 18. The review will weigh air quality, wildlife, coastal resources, water, noise, and aviation, and the FAA said any increase beyond this proposal would need its own separate review.
The numbers look large next to what Starbase has actually done. Starship has flown three times from Texas this year, including Flight 14 on September 28, the first orbital flight, which deployed 26 Starlink V3 satellites. Bloomberg reported that Starbase has never launched more than five times in a calendar year. The current cap of 25 comes from an FAA approval in May 2025. In February, the agency also approved up to 44 Starship launches a year from Launch Complex 39A in Florida, so Phase 1 in Texas alone would more than double that allowance.
Musk has said Starship could eventually fly more than once per hour within less than a decade, per Bloomberg. The nearer term target is Flight 15. Musk said on October 10 that it is hopefully four to six weeks away and will try to catch the ship with the tower, as Teslarati covered. That flight still runs under the existing 25 launch limit, and so would every Starbase launch for as long as the new review takes.
As of mid morning Pacific time on Tuesday, SpaceX had not posted about the filing on its own account.