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Apple’s electric car launch could be postponed to ‘2028 or later,’ estimates analyst

(Credit: Apple Addict/Instagram)

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In a recent research note, reliable Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo wrote that the tech giant could postpone the launch of its electric car to 2028 or later. Kuo has been dubbed the “most accurate Apple analyst in the world,” and may have more insight into the Apple Car project.

As per MacRumors, Kuo from TF Securities noted that it is far too early to be excited about the Apple Car. He estimated that the Apple’s electric vehicle could launch by 2025 to 2027 at the earliest, only if everything goes well. Otherwise, a launch of 2028 or later may be more feasible.

“We predicted in a previous report that Apple will launch Apple Car in 2023–2025 […] However, our latest survey indicates that the current development schedule of Apple Car is not clear, and if development starts this year and everything goes well, it will be launched in 2025–2027 at the earliest. Due to changes in the EV/self-driving market and Apple’s high-quality standards, we would not be surprised if Apple Car’s launch schedule is postponed to 2028 or later,” Kuo wrote.

He observed that Apple has competitive advantages, but has had difficulty launching successful new businesses before. Kuo cited examples of Apple products that have failed to become massive successes so far, such as the HomePod and HomePod mini. He also explained that the company has a lot of catching up to do when it comes to autonomous driving data.

“The market has high expectations for Apple Car. Still, we remind investors that although Apple has a variety of competitive advantages, it is not always successful in new business. For example, Apple failed to enter the smart speaker market. The demand for HomePod and HomePod mini were lower than expected, and the development of new smart speaker models had been temporarily suspended. The competition in the EV/self-driving car market is fiercer than that for smart speakers, so we think it’s perilous to jump to the conclusion that Apple Car will succeed,” he wrote.

If Apple Car wants to succeed in the future, the key success factor is big data/AI, not hardware. One of our biggest concerns about Apple Car is that when Apple Car is launched, the current self-driving car brands will have accumulated at least five years of big data and be conducive to deep learning/AI. How does Apple, a latecomer, overcome this lagging gap?”

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The Apple analyst believes the market is “overly bullish” about the Apple Car’s schedule and advised investors to avoid buying stocks related to the company’s electric passenger car project. Kuo is regarded as a reliable Apple analyst due to his close ties with the tech giant’s supply chain. So far, he has accurately predicted the 11-inch MacBook Air, the iPhone 6S’ 3D Touch feature, the iPhone X’s size, display, and glass back, and the variants of the iPhone 12 and iPhone 12 Pro lineup, among others.

The Teslarati team would appreciate hearing from you. Leave a comment down below. If you have any tips, email us at tips@teslarati.com or reach out to me at maria@teslarati.com.

Maria--aka "M"-- is an experienced writer and book editor. She's written about several topics including health, tech, and politics. As a book editor, she's worked with authors who write Sci-Fi, Romance, and Dark Fantasy. M loves hearing from TESLARATI readers. If you have any tips or article ideas, contact her at maria@teslarati.com or via X, @Writer_01001101.

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Tesla Q2 2025 earnings: What Wall Street expects

The company has faced mounting pressure this year, with TSLA stock down 19% year-to-date.

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Credit: Tesla Asia/X

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 financial results after markets close on Wednesday, July 23. The company has faced mounting pressure this year, with TSLA stock down about 19% year-to-date. 

What Wall Street expects

As noted in a TipRanks report, Wall Street has remained cautious about the electric vehicle maker due to concerns about the EV segment in general, competition, reduced margins, federal EV regulations, and CEO Elon Musk’s political activities. 

Overall, Wall Street expects Tesla to post earnings per share of $0.39, down 25% from a year ago. Tesla’s revenue is forecasted to fall 13% to $22.19 billion, and analysts also expect the electric vehicle maker to post lower margins this quarter.

Analyst expectations

Tesla delivered approximately 384,120 vehicles in Q2, a 13.5% drop year-over-year, as per Main Street Data. The company also produced over 410,000 vehicles and deployed 9.6 GWh of energy storage products during the quarter. 

Ahead of the earnings call, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Andres Sheppard reiterated a Buy rating and a $335 per share price target. He also adjusted his Q2 revenue forecast to $21 billion, down from his previous estimate of $24.1 billion. Despite short-term softness, Sheppard maintained his 2025 and 2026 projections, citing confidence in Tesla’s high-margin Robotaxi business model.

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Barclays analyst Dan Levy kept a Hold rating with a $275 price target. He stated that the company faces “increasingly weaker fundamentals,” but he also suggested that Tesla’s Robotaxi story could drive optimism. Levy expects modest gross margin improvement quarter-over-quarter and flagged the full-year EPS estimate drop from $3.20 to $1.84. Delays in launching the affordable Tesla model remain a downside risk, Levy noted.

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Tesla expands FSD Transfer offer to Europe and the Middle East

Tesla’s FSD transfer offer has long been used as a quarterly sales lever in North America.

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Credit: Tesla Europe & Middle East/X

Tesla has extended its Full Self-Driving (FSD) transfer promotion beyond North America, opening the door for owners in Europe and the Middle East to carry over their existing FSD systems to a new vehicle. 

The move comes days after Elon Musk acknowledged a user’s request for FSD transfers in Europe on X, which the CEO called a “fair” ask. Tesla Europe later confirmed the offer via its official X account.

FSD transfers reaching new markets

FSD transfers have been used as a quarterly sales lever in North America, with its most recent availability in April 2025, as noted in a Not a Tesla App report. While this incentive had remained exclusive to the U.S. and Canada, Tesla’s latest announcement marks the first time the program has been rolled out internationally. 

Interestingly enough, the offer hasn’t yet been extended to other FSD-enabled regions like China. This suggests that Tesla may be prioritizing markets where regulatory approval for FSD remains pending. European Tesla owners, after all, have been waiting literal years for FSD to be rolled out into their countries. 

How the program works

The process for FSD transfers is straightforward. Existing Tesla owners with FSD must place a new vehicle order and complete delivery during the active promotion period. During checkout, customers are instructed not to add FSD to the new car. Instead, they must notify a Tesla advisor of their intent to transfer their existing vehicle’s FSD. 

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On delivery day, FSD will be deactivated on the old vehicle and activated on the new one. Customers are not required to trade in or sell their original Tesla that had FSD, though once the license is moved, the old vehicle reverts to just Basic Autopilot features.

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Tesla Q2 2025 vehicle safety report proves FSD makes driving almost 10X safer

Tesla released its most recent vehicle safety data on its official website.

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Credit: @BLKMDL3/X

Tesla has released its most recent vehicle safety report, reiterating the idea that Autopilot and systems like Full Self Driving (FSD) are really the company’s best safety features.

Tesla released its most recent vehicle safety data on its official website. 

Tesla’s Q2 2025 safety statistics

As per the electric vehicle maker’s Q2 2025 report, the company recorded one crash for every 6.69 million miles driven for vehicles that were using Autopilot technology. In comparison, data from the NHTSA and FHWA listed one automobile crash every 702,000 million miles.

“In the 2nd quarter, we recorded one crash for every 6.69 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology. For drivers who were not using Autopilot technology, we recorded one crash for every 963,000 miles driven. By comparison, the most recent data available from NHTSA and FHWA (from 2023) shows that in the United States there was an automobile crash approximately every 702,000 miles,” Tesla wrote in its report.

FSD as a safety feature

Elon Musk has always maintained that FSD is the company’s biggest safety feature. This is no exaggeration, as the system allows vehicles to operate vehicles without human intervention. Tesla is currently proving this in Austin, where it operates the pilot program for its dedicated self-driving Robotaxi service. Customers who have used Tesla’s Robotaxi service in Austin have noted that the vehicles operate in a manner that is akin to a confident and cautious driver.

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An underrated advantage of Tesla’s FSD system is the fact that it does not get tired, nor does it ever operate the vehicle while intoxicated. It never gets distracted either. These advantages may seem minor, but they go a long way towards making Teslas the safest vehicles on the road today.

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