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Tesla’s 2023 Schedule & Expectations

(Credit: Petersen Auto Museum)

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Tesla already has a full plate for 2023. Even without the Q4 2022 delivery numbers, the company aims to grow another 50% this year. Below are just a few of Tesla’s biggest goals in 2023.

Tesla Cybertruck Production

Tesla also aims to start the Cybertruck’s initial production at Giga Texas, and might deliver a few Cybertrucks by the end of the year. The company will probably concentrate on Cybertruck production this year, with first deliveries likely starting in the second half.

Cybertruck bodies were spotted at Tesla’s Texas HQ in the weeks leading up to the new year. In early December, a Cybertruck rear megacast was seen at Giga Texas. Later that same month, equipment for the Cybertruck assembly line also started arriving at the Texas HQ.

The EV manufacturer might also be working on a smaller two-door Cybertruck concept. However, it will likely focus on the Cybertruck that it unveiled a few years ago.

Tesla Model 3 Revamp

First on Tesla’s list is the Model 3 revamp, otherwise known as “Project Highland.” The revamped Model 3 is expected to introduce updates to the all-electric sedan’s interior, infotainment system, and other crucial features. 

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People familiar with the Project Highland noted that Tesla managed to decrease the Model 3’s components. The revamped Model 3 would also get a better display. At the Q3 2022 earnings call, Elon Musk noted that next-generation Tesla vehicles might utilize the company’s smaller platform.

“But at this point, we’ve done the engineering for Cybertrucks and for Semi. So, it’s obviously against what we’re working on, which is the next-generation vehicle, which will be probably about the cost of 3 and Y platform. It will be smaller, to be clear,” Musk said.

Tesla Gigafactories and Other Projects

Tesla is still ramping up production at Giga Texas, Giga Berlin, and its Megafactory. The company’s other factories, including the Fremont Factory, Giga Nevada, and Giga Shanghai, will likely continue to improve and grow. 

Tesla is also expected to announce the location of its next gigafactory. The top contenders seem to be Mexico, Canada, Indonesia, and South Korea.

Besides the Model 3—and possibly work on the company’s smaller vehicle—and the start of Cybertruck production, Tesla is also ramping Semi production. So the company’s gigafactories will be plenty busy year-round. 

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Tesla China’s Big Boss Gets Bigger Role

Elon Musk may also give Tesla China boss Tom Zhu more responsibilities at the company, which would be a big transition for Tesla. Zhu is expected to take on a bigger role in Tesla as its new Global Operations manager, as per previous reports. 

Tesla has not confirmed Zhu’s new role at the company, but he has already stepped down as Tesla China’s main legal representative and some people have bid farewell to him on Weibo.

Zhu and his team of engineers from China have been spending time at the Fremont Factory and Giga Texas. They have also allegedly been working closely on Cybertruck production preparations.

Tesla still has a bunch of products in development, like the Roadster and the humanoid robot Optimus. Plus, Tesla has yet to officially unveil its $25,000 vehicle, dubbed by some in the EV community as the Model 2. Then there are updates for Full Self-Driving and Autopilot and 4680 production. As 2023 continues, Tesla will likely add more events to its packed schedule. 

I’d appreciate tips about any of the projects mentioned in this article. Contact me at maria@teslarati.com or via Twitter @Writer_01001101.

 

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Maria--aka "M"-- is an experienced writer and book editor. She's written about several topics including health, tech, and politics. As a book editor, she's worked with authors who write Sci-Fi, Romance, and Dark Fantasy. M loves hearing from TESLARATI readers. If you have any tips or article ideas, contact her at maria@teslarati.com or via X, @Writer_01001101.

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Elon Musk

SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly

The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas. 

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Credit: SpaceX/X

SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas. 

SpaceX’s initial comment

As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.

“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X. 

Incident and aftermath

Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.

Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now

The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers. 

The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.

Analysts highlight autonomy progress

During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.

The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report. 

Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”

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Street targets diverge on TSLA

While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.

Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements. 

Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs. 

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SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing

Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.

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Credit: SpaceX/X

SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory. 

Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired. 

Booster test failure

SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.

Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.

Tight deadlines

SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.

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While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.

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