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Tesla’s Elon Musk closes in on 4th major payout as TSLA valuation hits 6-month average of $250B

(Credit: Tobias Lindh/YouTube)

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk is heading into what could very well be the fourth major payout from his unique 10-year performance award, which was approved by TSLA investors in 2018. If Tesla maintains its momentum, or better yet, if the company shows another profit for the third quarter, the Tesla CEO could end up putting another $3 billion in his pocket from his fourth payout alone. 

As of Tuesday’s trading, TSLA stock saw a six-month market cap average of $250 billion, a milestone that happens to correspond to the fourth of 12 tranches in Musk’s payment plan. Each tranche provides Musk with the option to purchase 8.44 million Tesla shares for about $70 each. That’s about a sixth of TSLA’s current price. 

(Credit: Reuters)

If Elon Musk sells the shares he acquired from the three tranches that have vested so far and the potential fourth tranche, he could make a combined profit of $11.8 billion, or almost $3 billion per tranche. Interestingly, Musk only earned the first tranche of his performance award in May, which was worth $700 million then. The value of these shares has risen since amidst TSLA’s meteoric rise. 

Elon Musk’s current 10-year performance award is one of the most high-risk, high-reward pay packages that have been granted to top US executives to date. Patterned after his previous 5-year performance award back in 2012 — which helped Tesla grow 17-fold — the current 10-year performance award requires several milestones before the CEO is compensated a single cent. 

Under the terms of the current plan, Musk would only get rewards if he meets 12 milestones, comprised of $50 billion additions to Tesla’s market cap and a series of operational targets. If successful, Musk would end up being one of the wealthiest individuals in the world. But if Tesla fails to attain its goals, Musk would receive zero compensation. 

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Elon Musk’s 10-year Performance Award. (Credit: Tesla)

Such a payment plan has unsurprisingly attracted a notable number of critics, with skeptics stating that Musk is getting paid too much for his work in Tesla. What is typically neglected in such criticisms is the fact that every Tesla employee also holds TSLA stock, which means that their net worth grows the more the company meets its milestones. With this in mind, one could argue that Musk’s performance award benefits TSLA shareholders and Tesla employees to a significant degree. 

Tesla has been on a tear this 2020, with TSLA surging 400% this year on increased sales of the Model 3 and the initial ramp of the Model Y. The company has posted a fourth consecutive profitable quarter in Q2 2020 as well, and with Tesla delivering a record 139,300 vehicles in Q3, the electric car maker seems to be within striking distance of yet another profitable quarter. Needless to say, Tesla investors are now eagerly awaiting the company’s quarterly financial report, which will likely be released later this month. 

Disclosure: I am long TSLA.

Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Elon Musk

Tesla confirmed HW3 can’t do Unsupervised FSD but there’s more to the story

Tesla confirmed HW3 vehicles cannot run unsupervised FSD, replacing its free upgrade promise with a discounted trade-in.

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tesla autopilot

Tesla has officially confirmed that early vehicles with its Autopilot Hardware 3 (HW3) will not be capable of unsupervised Full Self-Driving, while extending a path forward for legacy owners through a discounted trade-in program. The announcement came by way of Elon Musk in today’s Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call.

The history here matters. HW3 launched in April 2019, and Tesla sold Full Self-Driving packages to owners on the understanding that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. Some owners paid between $8,000 and $15,000 for FSD during that period. For years, as FSD’s AI models grew more demanding, HW3 vehicles fell progressively further behind, eventually landing on FSD v12.6 in January 2025 while AI4 vehicles moved to v13 and then v14. When Musk acknowledged in January 2025 that HW3 simply could not reach unsupervised operation, and alluded to a difficult hardware retrofit.

The near-term offering is more concrete. Tesla’s head of Autopilot Ashok Elluswamy confirmed on today’s call that a V14-lite will be coming to HW3 vehicles in late June, bringing all the V14 features currently running on AI4 hardware. That is a meaningful software update for owners who have been frozen at v12.6 for over a year, and it represents genuine effort to keep older hardware relevant. Unsupervised FSD for vehicles is now targeted for Q4 2026 at the earliest, with Musk describing it as a gradual, geography-limited rollout.

For HW3 owners, the over-the-air V14-lite update is welcomed, and the discounted trade-in path at least acknowledges an old obligation. What happens next with the trade-in pricing will define how this chapter ultimately gets written. If Tesla prices the hardware path fairly, acknowledges what early adopters are owed, and delivers V14-lite on the June timeline it committed to today, it has a real opportunity to convert one of the longest-running sore subjects among early adopters into a loyalty story.

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Elon Musk

Tesla isn’t joking about building Optimus at an industrial scale: Here we go

Tesla’s Optimus factory in Texas targets 10 million robots yearly, with 5.2 million square feet under construction.

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Tesla’s Q1 2026 Update Letter, released today, confirms that first generation Optimus production lines are now well underway at its Fremont, California factory, with a pilot line targeting one million robots per year to start. Of bigger note is a shared aerial image of a large piece of land adjacent to Gigafactory Texas, that Tesla has prominently labeled “Optimus factory site preparation.”

Permit documents show Tesla is seeking to add over 5.2 million square feet of new building space to the Giga Texas North Campus by the end of 2026, at an estimated construction investment of $5 billion to $10 billion. The longer term production target for that facility is 10 million Optimus units per year. Giga Texas already sits on 2,500 acres with over 10 million square feet of existing factory floor, and the North Campus expansion is being built to support multiple projects, including the dedicated Optimus factory, the Terafab chip fabrication facility (a joint Tesla/SpaceX/xAI venture), a Cybercab test track, road infrastructure, and supporting facilities.

Credit: TESLA

Texas makes strategic sense beyond the existing infrastructure. The state’s tax structure, lower labor costs relative to California, and the proximity to Tesla’s AI training cluster Cortex 1 and 2, both located at Giga Texas and now totaling over 230,000 H100 equivalent GPUs, means the Optimus software stack and the factory producing the hardware will share the same campus. Tesla’s Q1 report also confirmed completion of the AI5 chip tape out in April, the inference processor designed specifically to power Optimus units in the field.

As Teslarati reported, the Texas facility is intended to house Optimus V4 production at full scale. Musk told the World Economic Forum in January that Tesla plans to sell Optimus to the public by end of 2027 at a price between $20,000 and $30,000, stating, “I think everyone on earth is going to have one and want one.” He has previously pegged long term demand for general purpose humanoid robots at over 20 billion units globally, citing both consumer and industrial use cases.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla (TSLA) Q1 2026 earnings results: beat on EPS and revenues

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2026 on Wednesday afternoon. Here’s what the company reported compared to what Wall Street analysts expected.

The earnings results come after Tesla reported a miss on vehicle deliveries for the first quarter, delivering 358,023 vehicles and building 408,386 cars during the three-month span.

As Tesla transitions more toward AI and sees itself as less of a car company, expectations for deliveries will begin to become less of a central point in the consensus of how the quarter is perceived.

Nevertheless, Tesla is leaning on its strong foundation as a car company to carry forward its AI ambitions. The first quarter is a good ground layer for the rest of the year.

Tesla Q1 2026 Earnings Results

Tesla’s Earnings Results are as follows:

  • Non-GAAP EPS – $0.41 Reported vs. $0.36 Expected
  • Revenues – $22.387 billion vs. $22.35 billion Expected
  • Free Cash Flow – $1.444 billion
  • Profit – $4.72 billion

Tesla beat analyst expectations, so it will be interesting to see how the stock responds. IN the past, we’ve seen Tesla beat analyst expectations considerably, followed by a sharp drop in stock price.

On the same token, we’ve seen Tesla miss and the stock price go up the following trading session.

Tesla will hold its Q1 2026 Earnings Call in about 90 minutes at 5:30 p.m. on the East Coast. Remarks will be made by CEO Elon Musk and other executives, who will shed some light on the investor questions that we covered earlier this week.

You can stream it below. Additionally, we will be doing our Live Blog on X and Facebook.

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