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How 2023 will be Tesla’s true ‘breakout’ year

(Credit: @FutureJurvetson/ Twitter)

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The Tesla Cybertruck. The Tesla Roadster. The Tesla Semi.

The three products above saw new expected production dates from Tesla CEO Elon Musk on Thursday at its “Cyber Rodeo” at Gigafactory Texas. Despite Tesla accomplishing so many incredible things over the past fourteen years, from basically financial ruin to the most valuable automaker in the world, 2023 is a chance for the company to truly break away from its competitors once and for all. It just has to come through on its promises.

It is no secret Tesla has come up short with some of its delivery timelines. The Cybertruck was slotted for production in late 2020. The Roadster’s revamped version has been pushed back several times. The Semi is still a priority, but so are saving battery cells for the mass-market vehicles Tesla produces. Full Self-Driving was slotted to be completed for the first time in 2018. 30,000 Robotaxis were expected to hit the streets by the end of 2021.

Then the pandemic hit in 2020, and the entire automotive industry felt the effects. While resilient in its efforts to avoid chip shortages, supply bottlenecks, and an extending backlog, Tesla took matters into its own hands. It said it developed 19 versions of microcontrollers thanks to the efforts of its in-house engineers, it ramped production of its 4680 battery cells, which it implemented in the first Made-in-Austin Model Ys, and it opened two new factories in the first four months of 2022, effectively doubling its production output as a company.

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But more than anything, 2023 is a chance for Tesla to truly break away from its competitors in terms of its product line. While many companies are focused on passenger or commercial electric vehicles exclusively, Tesla has an opportunity to expand its product line to fit nearly every sector of transportation.

The Cybertruck will be the fourth all-electric pickup on the market, following the Rivian R1T, the GMC Hummer EV, and the Ford F-150 Lightning.

The Roadster will be the first of its kind: an estimated 600+ miles of range combined with an already proven and lightning-fast powertrain, and it might even hover.

Meanwhile, the Semi will expand the commercial electric vehicle market as Volvo’s VNR electric semi, and Nikola’s plans for commercial EVs continue to work through a tumultuous year.

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Tesla’s Elon Musk predicts that 2023 will see massive “wave of new products”

The Cybertruck is absolutely the priority for Tesla: the truck has over 1 million pre-orders, and the list of reservations continues to grow with every new sighting. If Tesla can dial in production of the Cybertruck in 2023, it will not only deny so many naysayers of their skepticism, but it will also prove the company has effectively outgrown its cell supply shortages and parts bottlenecks.

The Roadster, while more of a novelty item, will bring the automaker’s revamped and revolutionary vehicle back from the dead. After so many customers and Referral Program winners may have given up on ever seeing the next-gen Roadster, Tesla bringing that project back from the dead would mean so much to the early adopters and the patient and loyal fans who have ached for the futuristic and sleek rebirth of the original Tesla vehicle.

The Semi would only prove Tesla dominance even further. It would be a large-scale commercial vehicle that supplements Tesla’s already robust and expansive product line. Covering the luxury, mass market, pickup truck, and commercial sectors would be monumental for a company that has already changed the overall architecture of the global automotive industry.

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“My view is that many on the Street and the auto industry do not appreciate just how important and revolutionary the Austin factory is for Tesla,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said. “It changes the game for Tesla from a supply perspective along with Berlin-further flexes production muscles when other autos struggling.”

I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Tesla arson suspect pleads guilty, faces up to 70 years in prison

The update was announced by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Nevada.

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Credit: Tesla China

A Las Vegas man has pleaded guilty to federal arson charges tied to a March 2025 attack on a Tesla Collision Center in Nevada.

The update was announced by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Nevada.

According to court documents, on March 18, 2025, Paul Hyon Kim spray-painted the word “RESIST” on the front entrance of the Tesla Collision Center before damaging the facility and multiple vehicles.

Federal prosecutors stated that Kim used a PA-15 multi-caliber firearm equipped with a .300 BLACKOUT upper receiver and a 7.62mm silencer to shoot out surveillance cameras. He then fired multiple rounds into Tesla vehicles on the property.

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Authorities stated that Kim later threw three Molotov cocktails into three separate Tesla vehicles. Two of the devices exploded and ignited the vehicles, while a third did not detonate. In total, five Tesla vehicles were damaged in the incident.

Kim pleaded guilty to two counts of arson of property used in interstate commerce, one count of attempted arson of property used in interstate commerce, and one count of unlawful possession of an unregistered firearm classified as a destructive device.

The mandatory minimum sentence for the charges is five years in federal prison, though the total maximum statutory penalty is 70 years, as per a release from the United States Attorney’s Office of the District of Nevada. 

Sentencing is scheduled for May 27, 2026, before U.S. District Judge Jennifer A. Dorsey. A federal judge will determine the final sentence after considering the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines and other statutory factors.

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The case was investigated by the FBI, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, and the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department, with assistance from the Clark County Fire Department.

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SpaceX pursues 5G-level connectivity with Starlink Mobile V2 expansion

SpaceX noted that the upcoming Starlink V2 satellites will deliver up to 100 times the data density of the current first-generation system.

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX has previewed a major upgrade to Starlink Mobile, outlining next-generation satellites that aim to deliver significantly higher capacity and full 5G-level connectivity directly to mobile phones.

The update comes as Starlink rebrands its Direct-to-Cell service to Starlink Mobile, positioning the platform as a scalable satellite-to-mobile solution that’s integrated with global telecom partners.

SpaceX noted that the upcoming Starlink V2 satellites will deliver up to 100 times the data density of the current first-generation system. The company also noted that the new V2 satellites are designed to provide significantly higher throughput capability compared to its current iteration.

“The next generation of Starlink Mobile satellites – V2 – will deliver full cellular coverage to places never thought possible via the highest performing satellite-to-mobile network ever built. 

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“Driven by custom SpaceX-designed silicon and phased array antennas, the satellites will support thousands of spatial beams and higher bandwidth capability, enabling around 20x the throughput capability as compared to a first-generation satellite,” SpaceX wrote in its official Starlink Mobile page. 

Thanks to the higher bandwidth of Starlink Mobile, users should be able to stream, browse the internet, use high-speed apps, and enjoy voice services comparable to terrestrial cellular networks. 

In most environments, Starlink says the upgraded system will enable full 5G cellular connectivity with a user experience similar to existing ground-based networks.

The satellites function as “cell towers in space,” using advanced phased-array antennas and laser interlinks to integrate with terrestrial infrastructure in a roaming-like architecture. 

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“Starlink Mobile works with existing LTE phones wherever you can see the sky. The satellites have an antenna that acts like a cellphone tower in space, the most advanced phased array antennas in the world that connect seamlessly over lasers to any point in the globe, allowing network integration similar to a standard roaming partner,” SpaceX wrote.

Starlink Mobile currently operates with approximately 650 satellites in low-Earth orbit and is active across more than 32 countries, representing over 1.7 billion people through partnerships with mobile network operators. Starlink Mobile’s current partnerships span North America, Europe, Asia, Africa, and Oceania, allowing reciprocal access across participating nations.

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Tesla FSD (Supervised) fleet passes 8.4 billion cumulative miles

The figure appears on Tesla’s official safety page, which tracks performance data for FSD (Supervised) and other safety technologies.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system has now surpassed 8.4 billion cumulative miles.

The figure appears on Tesla’s official safety page, which tracks performance data for FSD (Supervised) and other safety technologies.

Tesla has long emphasized that large-scale real-world data is central to improving its neural network-based approach to autonomy. Each mile driven with FSD (Supervised) engaged contributes additional edge cases and scenario training for the system.

Credit: Tesla

The milestone also brings Tesla closer to a benchmark previously outlined by CEO Elon Musk. Musk has stated that roughly 10 billion miles of training data may be needed to achieve safe unsupervised self-driving at scale, citing the “long tail” of rare but complex driving situations that must be learned through experience.

The growth curve of FSD Supervised’s cumulative miles over the past five years has been notable. 

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As noted in data shared by Tesla watcher Sawyer Merritt, annual FSD (Supervised) miles have increased from roughly 6 million in 2021 to 80 million in 2022, 670 million in 2023, 2.25 billion in 2024, and 4.25 billion in 2025. In just the first 50 days of 2026, Tesla owners logged another 1 billion miles.

At the current pace, the fleet is trending towards hitting about 10 billion FSD Supervised miles this year. The increase has been driven by Tesla’s growing vehicle fleet, periodic free trials, and expanding Robotaxi operations, among others.

With the fleet now past 8.4 billion cumulative miles, Tesla’s supervised system is approaching that threshold, even as regulatory approval for fully unsupervised deployment remains subject to further validation and oversight.

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